China doomsayers misguided and will be proven wrong – Vale CEO – by Juan Pablo Spinetto & David Biller (Mineweb.com/Bloomberg – March 20, 2014)

http://www.mineweb.com/

Vale CEO, Murilo Ferreira, says investors betting against China and its demand for iron ore from the company will be proven wrong.

Investors betting against China and the nation’s demand for iron-ore from top producer Vale SA will be proven wrong, Chief Executive Officer Murilo Ferreira said.

“The biggest enemy to our share price is a certain belief that China will be over,” Ferreira said during a presentation in Sao Paulo today. “They are once more betting against China as they did in 2004, 2005, 2006 and beyond and I think that people are going to fail again with their projections.”

Shares of Vale, which ships about half its iron ore and pellets to China, dropped to a five-year low earlier this month on concern a possible economic slowdown in the biggest buyer of the mineral will hurt sales. Iron-ore entered a bear market on March 7, losing 23 percent from a five-month high in August through today, as Australian miners including Rio Tinto Group boost supply and China tightens monetary conditions.

The world’s third-largest mining company has underperformed its main peers in the stock market for the past year as weakening demand growth in China and a multibillion-dollar tax dispute with Brazil weighed on investors’ confidence.

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Nickel Enters Bull Market as Supply Concerns Mount After Crimea – by Maria Kolesnikova (Bloomberg News – March 18, 2014)

http://www.businessweek.com/

Nickel entered a bull market on speculation Russian supplies will be disrupted at a time when some shipments are already banned in Indonesia.

Last year’s worst performer among industrial metals trading on the London Metal Exchange is this year’s best, gaining 16 percent and on track for the first annual gain since 2010. Prices fell 24 percent in 2011 after touching $29,425 a metric ton in February that year, the highest since April 2008. Indonesia, the biggest producer of mined nickel, banned ore exports in January.

The U.S. and the European Union slapped sanctions on Russia after a disputed vote in Crimea paved the way for President Vladimir Putin to annex the region from Ukraine. Russia’s OAO GMK Norilsk Nickel is the world’s biggest producer of the metal used to make stainless steel. The price reached a record $51,800 in May 2007.

“Nickel has enjoyed the support from expectations that a potential supply deficit is building,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S in Copenhagen. “Nickel suffered some of the biggest losses since the peak in 2011, and on that basis, many funds may view the upside potential as quite significant.”

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New tech to help gold miners tackle tough veins – by Geoff Candy (Mineweb.com – March 19, 2014)

http://www.mineweb.com/

As mines get deeper and costs and safety concerns ratchet upwards so, increasingly, gold and platinum miners are looking for new technological ideas to help solve their problems.

GRONINGEN (MINEWEB) – New technologies look set to provide some solace to deep level gold and platinum miners that continue to struggle with rapidly increasing costs, narrow veins and significant safety issues.

Speaking to Mineweb on the sidelines of this year’s the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada Conference earlier this month, Jean-Yves Therien, VP Development at Rocmec Mining, said that right now is the “best time” for the company, because its patented thermal fragmentation process solves many of the problems currently being faced by the sector.

“This technology has the potential to have the same impact on the mining sector as shale gas fracking has had on the oil and gas sector,” he says. Adding, “We will be the Apple of the mining industry, I think one day everyone will be proud to have a Dragon [the name of the machine that actually does the thermal fragmentation] in their mine, it is just a matter of time and I think that right now is the best time for it.”

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Australian Nickel Processor Eyes Indonesian Ore Piles – by James Regan (Jakarta Globe – March 18, 2014)

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/

Perth. At a small plant on the outskirts of Perth, metallurgists have been turning raw ore shipped from top Indonesian nickel miner Aneka Tambang (Antam) into a concentrate to meet the country’s new export guidelines.

After a year of tests, Australia’s Direct Nickel says it has now entered into a joint venture with Antam for a feasibility study on building a full-scale plant on Indonesia’s Halmahera island using its new nitric acid-based technology.

The agreement comes as Antam struggles to meet Indonesia’s tough new export rules, which prevent the company from shipping raw mineral ore to Chinese nickel pig iron producers and instead demand it processes the ore before export.

“We could not have asked for a better time to start planning our first commercial plant in Indonesia,” said Direct Nickel Chief Executive Russell Debney. Antam has warned its nickel ore production could fall by as much as 87 percent this year as sales to China dry up due to the ban.

“What they want now is cheaper alternatives to enable them to apply to the government for concessions to keep exporting,” Debney said.

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PUTIN’S POWER PLAY – by James Surowiecki (The New Yorker – March 24, 2014)

http://www.newyorker.com/

Vadimir Putin, in his campaign to restore Russian dominance over post-Soviet states, has an unconventional weapon in his arsenal: vast supplies of natural gas. In 2006 and 2009, Gazprom, the Russian gas company, cut off supplies to Ukraine (the second time, this created shortages in Europe, too). In 2010, it reduced supplies to Belarus, and last fall Russia threatened Moldovans with the same if they didn’t abandon plans to sign a free-trade accord with the European Union. “We hope that you will not freeze,” a Russian deputy foreign minister said ominously.

During the current crisis in Crimea, Putin’s readiness to use natural resources for strategic ends has made it difficult for Europeans to take a hard line against him, since Europe gets roughly thirty per cent of its gas from Russia, mostly via pipelines running through Ukraine. “One big difference between the U.S. and Europe on this issue is energy,” Jeffrey Mankoff, a Russia expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told me. “The assumption that, because of the energy relationship, Europe was not going to risk a major confrontation over Ukraine was surely part of Russia’s calculations.”

You might take Putin’s brandishing of the gas weapon as a shrewd geopolitical move. But it’s a classic case of putting short-term interests ahead of long-term gain. Although the region’s need for Gazprom supplies may strengthen his hand in the present, the strategy is forcing Europe to end its reliance on Russia. After the crises of 2006 and 2009, Europe increased imports from Norway and Qatar.

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INTERVIEW-Congo PM says economy to boom in 2014, reassures investors – by Peter Jones (Reuters India – March 18, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

KINSHASA, March 17 (Reuters) – A sharp increase in mining production will drive economic growth in Democratic Republic of Congo to around 9.5 percent this year, one of the highest rates in Africa, Prime Minister Augustin Matata Ponyo said in an interview.

Congo, a country the size of Western Europe in the heart of Africa, has rich reserves of gold, diamonds, copper, cassiterite and coltan but development of its resources has been hampered by poor infrastructure, corruption and decades of conflict.

Ponyo, a technocrat who took over as prime minister in April 2012, is credited with taming inflation, curbing government debt and boosting economic growth on the back of a mining bonanza. Congo’s roughly $20 billion economy grew by 8.5 percent last year, according to the IMF, as copper production hit a record 942,000 tonnes – making it the largest producer in Africa.

“Mining production is practically exploding and it’s forecast that in 2014 we’ll see much higher production than in 2013,” Ponyo told Reuters. “For 2014, we predict economic growth of around 9.5 percent … among the highest on the continent.”

His forecast topped the IMF’s estimate that Congo’s economy would grow by 8.7 percent this year. Despite robust growth in recent years, most of Congo’s 65 million people live in poverty.

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World Bank scornful of Indonesia’s mineral ore ban – by Jonathan Thatcher (Reuters India – March 18, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

JAKARTA – (Reuters) – The World Bank delivered a blunt assessment of Indonesia ban on mineral ore exports on Tuesday, warning that it would hit trade and government revenue and risked undermining already weak investor sentiment towards Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.

Implemented in January, five years after the law was initially passed, the ban has been met with confusion in the mining sector.

It was introduced to encourage mineral processing in Indonesia in order to increase the value of exports. But, one group of mining companies has mounted a legal challenge, warning that the ban on exports will force them out of business.

“The long term gains are at best uncertain,” Jakarta-based World Bank economist Jim Brumby said, adding there were no success stories elsewhere in the world where countries had tried to impose similar bans.

Brumby was speaking at the launch of the Bank’s quarterly economic report. The World Bank estimated that for the period 2014-2017, the negative impact on net trade could be $12.5 billion because of the loss of export revenue while capital goods imports, to build smelting capacity, will have to rise.

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Rio unveils big potash find near BHP mine – by Matt Chambers (The Australian – March 18, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

RIO Tinto has declared it is sitting on a big potash deposit in Saskatchewan in the same basin where its rival BHP Billiton is spending $US3.8 billion ($4.2bn) just to be ready to mine the fertiliser ingredient when global food demand warrants it.

In its annual report, Rio described the KP405 potash discovery as the eighth “tier-one” discovery in the past decade by its exploration group. “Drilling results indicate encouraging potash grade and thickness,” Rio said.

“Higher nutritional standards, population growth and limited arable land make potash a critical factor in maintaining global food security.” Rio’s Russian partner, Acron, has been more animated, saying there is the potential for a long-life, low-cost mine at the “massive” KP405 deposit.

BHP chief Andrew Mackenzie describes potash as a potential “fifth pillar” of BHP’s commodities business, indicating the potential he thinks the company has in Saskatchewan’s Elk Point Basin.

BHP last year approved a $US2.6bn spend to gain access to the deposit, bringing total approved spending to $US3.8bn before it has made a definite decision to mine.

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Juniors jump at chance in Mongolia – by Sarah-Jane Tasker (The Australian – March 18, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

MONGOLIA — a landlocked country in central Asia — boomed as the resources cycle peaked but just as quickly as the investment flooded in, it flowed out as the government radically changed the rules.

MONGOLIA — a landlocked country in central Asia — boomed as the resources cycle peaked but just as quickly as the investment flooded in, it flowed out as the government radically changed the rules.

Now, after years of largely being ignored by foreign investors, the country is trying to win favour with the global resources sector with another change of its rules — but this time in a move to say it is open for business.

David Paull, who heads junior Aspire Mining, has witnessed the rise and fall of Mongolia’s appeal in the competitive global resources space. Having penned an exploration deal in the country in October 2009, just weeks before a government agreement for the massive Oyu Tolgoi project was signed, Paull has been front row for the roller-coaster ride.

“It was a very hot environment, then it got extremely cold from mid-2012 onwards and that coincided with the fading of the global commodities boom,” he says.

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Drug cartel a misnomer as Mexico criminal group earns more from mining, logging, extortion – by E. Eduardo Castillo (Associated Press/U.S. News and World Report – March 17, 2014)

 http://www.usnews.com/

LAZARO CARDENAS, Mexico (AP) — Forget crystal meth. The pseudo-religious Knights Templar drug cartel in western Mexico has diversified to the point that drug trafficking doesn’t even rank among its top sources of income.

The cartel counts illegal mining, logging and extortion as its biggest moneymakers, said Alfredo Castillo, the Mexican government’s special envoy sent to restore the rule of law in Michoacan, the state controlled by the Knights Templar the last several years.

Iron ore “is their principle source of income,” Castillo told The Associated Press. “They’re charging $15 (a metric ton) for the process, from extraction to transport, processing, storage, permits and finally export.” The ore itself doesn’t go for that price; the cartel skims $15 for every ton arriving in port. While it’s long been known that Mexican cartels engage in other types of criminal activity, including trafficking of people and pirated goods, this is the government’s first official acknowledgement that a major organized crime group has moved beyond drugs. The Knights Templar and its predecessor, La Familia, started out as major producers and transporters of methamphetamine.

The implications are enormous that organized crime in general in Mexico stands to diversify and become even more entrenched.

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Bruised gold miners start hedging output, in a limited way – by Silvia Antonioli and Clara Denina (Reuters U.S. – March 14, 2014)

http://www.reuters.com/

LONDON, March 14 (Reuters) – Increasing numbers of gold miners, battered by last year’s drop in bullion prices, are selling planned output forward to help shore up their finances for stormy times, but these hedges are only for the short term.

Large miners and their shareholders typically rail against the practice of forward sales because locking in prices ahead of production closes off opportunities to benefit from a rise in the metal’s value.

That was particularly pertinent during the 2001-2012 gold bull run, when prices swept from around $260 an ounce to a record $1,920.30 in late 2011. But last year, a 28 percent dive in bullion prices caught producers by surprise, putting balance sheets under stress.

Now some miners are warming up to the idea of selling a portion of their gold a few months forward at a fixed price, banking and industry sources said, and investors seem to agree.

“I see a short-term hedge as a weapon in the arsenal of a financial director to protect the company and generate some short to medium-term security,” said Markus Bachmann, manager of precious metals and global resources funds at Craton Capital.

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Speculators See Gold Gaining With Wheat on Ukraine: Commodities – by Debarati Roy (Bloomberg News – March 17, 2014)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

After shunning gold and wheat for most of last year, hedge fund managers are piling back in as the escalating crisis in Ukraine spurs a rebound in the prices of both commodities.

Speculators have the biggest bet on a gold rally since December 2012 and turned bullish on wheat for the first time since November, government data show. Bullion last week reached a six-month high and wheat entered a bull market as Crimea prepared for a referendum. Almost 97 percent of voters in the Black Sea peninsula yesterday backed leaving Ukraine to join Russia, the head of the election commission, Mikhail Malyshev, told reporters. The results exclude one city, Sevastopol.

Global equities erased this year’s gains last week as the turmoil in Ukraine escalated and the U.S. and the European Union discussed sanctions against Russia, poised to be this season’s fifth-biggest wheat exporter. Investors who rejected gold in 2013 are now buying the metal at the fastest pace since 2007, surprising bearish forecasters including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Investors also bought more coffee, sugar and corn.

“We have already seen higher prices for gold because of safe-haven bids, and I expect to see more tensions unfolding if sanctions are imposed,” said Ryan Larson, the Chicago-based head of U.S. equity trading at RBC Global Asset Management (U.S.) Inc., which oversees $290 billion.

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Nickel’s run rekindles sale hope – by Barry Fitzgerald (The Australian – March 17, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

SURGING nickel prices have boosted interest in a planned sale by Chinese-controlled MMG of its mothballed Avebury nickel mine on Tasmania’s west coast, which was developed at a cost of $880 million.

Nickel’s price surge — brought on by Indonesia’s export ban on laterite nickel ores — has already prompted BHP Billiton to put out the feelers on a sale of its West Australian nickel business, valued at up to $1 billion, because of the strategy of chief executive Andrew Mackenzie to focus on the “four pillars” of iron ore, coal, copper and petroleum.

Unlike the rest of the metals, nickel has started the year strongly, rising 13 per cent to a 12-month high of $US7.14 a pound. The rise for the stainless steel ingredient is a response to the tightening in supplies caused by Indonesia’s mineral ore export ban taking effect in mid-January.

The ban is an attempt to compel more value-adding to Indonesia’s mineral exports through the development of onshore processing operations. The country is the world’s biggest exporter of nickel and is the main supplier of low-grade nickel laterite ores to China’s nickel pig iron industry.

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Can Coal Ever Be Clean? – by Michelle Nijhuis (National Geographic – April 2014)

http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/

It’s the dirtiest of fossil fuels. We burn eight billion tons of it a year, with growing consequences.The world must face the question.

Coal provides 40 percent of the world’s electricity. It produces 39 percent of global CO₂ emissions. It kills thousands a year in mines, many more with polluted air.

Environmentalists say that clean coal is a myth. Of course it is: Just look at West Virginia, where whole Appalachian peaks have been knocked into valleys to get at the coal underneath and streams run orange with acidic water. Or look at downtown Beijing, where the air these days is often thicker than in an airport smoking lounge. Air pollution in China, much of it from burning coal, is blamed for more than a million premature deaths a year. That’s on top of the thousands who die in mining accidents, in China and elsewhere.

These problems aren’t new. In the late 17th century, when coal from Wales and Northumberland was lighting the first fires of the industrial revolution in Britain, the English writer John Evelyn was already complaining about the “stink and darknesse” of the smoke that wreathed London.Three centuries later, in December 1952, a thick layer of coal-laden smog descended on London and lingered for a long weekend, provoking an epidemic of respiratory ailments that killed as many as 12,000 people in the ensuing months.

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Takeover of Augusta would heighten concern over Rosemont’s promises – by Tony Davis (Arizona Daily Star – March 16, 2014)

http://azstarnet.com/

If Hudbay Minerals Inc. takes over Augusta Resource Corp., it will inherit far more than a massive copper mine site outside Tucson, a potential for huge production and profits, and an equally massive controversy.

It will face a truckload of legal obligations and commitments to mitigate and compensate for the mine’s environmental impacts. It will also face questions and concerns from the community about how real those commitments are — questions that don’t always have simple answers.

Over the past seven years, Rosemont Copper and its Canadian parent Augusta have promised verbally and in writing to carry out dozens if not hundreds of mitigation measures for the planned Rosemont Mine in the Santa Rita Mountains. Those commitments have mushroomed in number and scale as the mine has inched closer to final federal permitting decisions, which Augusta expects by June but which Hudbay has predicted will take much longer.

Toronto-based Hudbay is nearing the final stages of its Augusta takeover effort. On Friday, it extended the deadline for Augusta shareholders from Wednesday to April 2 to decide whether to accept the takeover bid.

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