Teck Resources Ltd. (TCK/B) and HudBay Minerals Inc. (HBM) are among resource companies poised to profit from a sliding Canadian dollar even as analysts call an end to the commodity boom.
Canada’s currency has fallen 5.8 percent to C$1.0515 per U.S. dollar from parity at the beginning of the year in the steepest first half slide since 1984. Miners with costs in Canadian dollars and sales in the U.S. stand to benefit if the slide continues and they repatriate revenue.
A further 5 percent drop would translate into a 25 percent jump in cash flow per share this year for Vancouver-based Teck and a 38 percent gain for Toronto-based HudBay, according to National Bank of Canada. (NA)
“It’s a silver lining,” Paolo Lostritto, a mining analyst at National Bank said in a phone interview from Toronto on June 27. “If the Canadian dollar weakens, the costs of doing business in Canada falls relative to the U.S., and therefore on a relative basis they should outperform.”
The foreign exchange boost, which may also benefit oil companies and other exporters, comes as commodity prices have plunged and growth in China, the world’s biggest commodity consumer, is forecast to slow.