JAKARTA, Feb 12 (Reuters) – Ibris Nickel Pte Ltd has not made a shipment from its remote mine in Indonesia’s Southeast Sulawesi for six weeks and is bleeding $12 million a month, one of hundreds of small miners squeezed by a controversial mineral export ban imposed last month.
The problems at privately owned Ibris illustrate one of several headwinds facing Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s biggest economy, despite a spate of surprisingly strong economic data.
Indonesia is not only confronting a mining crisis, but also the delayed effects of the central bank’s aggressive monetary tightening, political uncertainty in an election year, a slowdown in China, and the tapering of U.S. monetary stimulus.
“We very much doubt the economy has bottomed and expect the downturn to resume form in the current quarter,” said Robert Prior-Wandesforde, an economist at Credit Suisse. Recent data has looked good: December’s trade surplus, at $1.52 billion was double the market consensus, the largest in two years and the third straight monthly surplus, the government said last week.