Harper-Wynne meeting a ‘good discussion,’ but not end of their cold war [Ring of Fire conflict] – by John Ivison (National Post – January 9, 2015)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

The late unpleasantness between Kathleen Wynne and Stephen Harper may appear to have been resolved by their meeting last Monday in Toronto.

But, behind the scenes, all is not well and hostilities may be resumed when the Ontario Premier travels to Ottawa to speak on the state of the federation at a Canada 2020 conference on Jan. 20.

The suspicion at Queen’s Park is that the Prime Minister met Ms. Wynne simply to buy some peace and shut down a source of relentless criticism. The Premier had previously bemoaned the fact that Mr. Harper had refused to meet with her in 2014.

In her media availability following the pre-hockey game summit, she called the meeting a “positive step forward” and refrained from the kind of megaphone diplomacy that has characterized their relationship to this point.

But it is understood that the Premier expects to see some concrete results emerging from the conversation and that if those don’t materialize, she will go back on the offensive. The catalyst for a new cold war is likely to be the Ring of Fire in Northern Ontario.

Ms. Wynne said that she and Mr. Harper had a “good discussion” over the mineral deposit project and the provincial request for $1-billion in federal funding to match the provincial government’s planned investment.

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What’s wrong with BHP Billiton? – by Amanda Saunders (Australian Financial Review – January 7, 2015)

http://www.afr.com/

What is wrong with BHP Billiton? Well, a lot, according to Bernstein’s senior mining analyst, Paul Gait. London-based Mr Gait says the Big Australian is “a colossus with feet of clay” in a 54-page note that puts BHP through the wringer.

His views are understood to be in line with those held by pockets of the market in London. BHP shares have taken a hammering there in the past five weeks, falling 13 per cent since the start of December to 1324.50 pence on Tuesday. In Australia, BHP has plunged 29 per cent since August to $28.11.

BHP does not deserve the valuation premium it enjoys over its “high-quality” peers, particularly arch-rival in iron ore, Rio Tinto, Mr Gait said.

And he said it is doubtful BHP is ¬willing to take responsibility for capital discipline, including withholding supply. He accuses the mining giant of “hubris” over its potash strategy.

BHP has a set of some of the highest quality, best-run assets in the game across its four pillar commodities – iron ore, copper, coal and petroleum. That quality, combined with low operating costs and broad diversification have made BHP a “must-own” mining stock.

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Commodities conundrum a hard one to puzzle out – by Hilary Joffe (Business Day Live – January 7, 2015)

 http://www.bdlive.co.za/

WILL the positives for SA’s economy of a lower oil price outweigh the negatives of lower commodity prices all round? It’s hard to get economists to agree on the question, let alone the answer.

The new year’s collapse in the oil price has fuelled a raging debate on how low it will go and for how long. What will happen to other commodity prices is the subject of almost as much debate, however, and the balance matters a great deal for SA.

In oil, the fall has been sudden and steep and, at not much more than $51 a barrel yesterday, the Brent crude oil price was about 55% down on its June 2014 level. But the 40% slide in iron-ore prices over the past year or so has been almost as sharp, if more gradual, as was a 40% decline in thermal coal prices since 2011.

The common factor is weak global growth, and in particular the slowdown in China’s economic growth rate and the shift in the composition of China’s growth away from the heavy investment and infrastructure-led pattern of the past. That’s the underlying factor in what most would agree is a structural shift in global commodity markets over the past couple of years — some would call it the popping of the commodity supercycle bubble.

SA and other emerging market commodity exporters benefited hugely from that supercycle in the years leading up to the crisis.

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China challenges India’s polished diamond throne – by Tanya Ashreena (Reuters U.S. – December 25, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

NEW DELHI, Dec 26 (Reuters) – India’s long-held position as the world’s top diamond polisher is being challenged by soaring output from China, compelling the south Asian country to seek help from ally and top rough diamond supplier Russia to defend its market share.

India has traditionally relied on the middlemen in trading hubs of Antwerp, Tel Aviv and Dubai for its supply of rough diamonds, which mainly come from Russia or Africa. Most of the world’s diamond output is sent to India for cutting and polishing before being retailed around the world.

But China has managed to break the established trade route by getting diamonds directly from African mines in which Chinese companies have a stake. This has boosted the value of China’s net exports of polished diamonds by 72 percent in the past five years to $8.9 billion.

While India’s exports, supplied by firms such as Asian Star , Gitanjali Gems Ltd and Venus Jewel, rose 49 percent to $14 billion over that time, shipments have seen a sharp drop this year.

“China’s active procurement of rough supply from African countries was reducing the supply available to Indian manufacturers,” said Sandeep Varia, an executive of Indian industry body Assocham. “Many units across the country had to lay off workers due to losses.”

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History of Mining: The evolution of shaft sinking systems (Part 5 of 7) – by By C. Graham and V. Evans (CIM Magazine – February 2008)

http://www.cim.org/en/

Shaft sinking from 1940 to 1970: The Golden Age

The period between 1940 and 1970 can really be called the golden age of shaft sinking. It was during this period of time that the shaft sinking records, which still stand today, were in a number of countries around the world. Listed below are the shafts which were sunk at record-breaking speeds:

January 1960: President Steyn #3 shaft (South Africa) — 1,020 feet (311 metres)
March 1962: Buffelsfontein shaft (South Africa) — 1,251 feet (381 metres)
September 1964: Staric main shaft (Czechoslovakia) — 1,053 feet (321 metres)
April 1964: Proletarskaya (USSR) — 1,280 feet (390 metres)
May 1969: 17–17 Bis mine (Ukraine) — 1,316 feet (401 metres)

Shaft sinkers from the Republic of South Africa generally claim to hold the shaft sinking record for their sinking project at the Buffelsfontein mine in 1962; however, as can be seen from the list above, both the Russians and the Ukrainians were faster.

The South Africans used much larger sinking crews than Europe or North America. Table 1 compares statistics on some of the shafts sunk during this period. Note the number of persons employed on the Buffelsfontein project.

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History of Mining: The evolution of shaft sinking systems (Part 4 of 7) – by By C. Graham and V. Evans (CIM Magazine – February 2008)

http://www.cim.org/en/

Shaft sinking from 1900 to 1940: start of the Modern Era

Mine shafts sunk during 1900 to 1940 in North America were almost all rectangular, timbered shafts while in Europe nearly all were circular and lined with brickwork or concrete. The reason for this was ground conditions. The majority of North American shafts were sunk in hard, competent rock. In Europe, on the other hand, the majority of the shafts sunk were in soft sedimentary rock, often with major water-bearing strata.

This was a busy period for shaft sinkers in a number of areas in the world. In the Ruhr district of Germany alone over 200 shafts were sunk: 124 shafts (1904–1914); 71 shafts (1915–1932); 13 shafts (1933–1940).

This was also an exciting time for the Canadian mining industry, with many of the famous mining camps opening up from 1900 to 1940. After the discovery of silver in Cobalt, Ontario, in 1903, prospectors ranged widely over the Precambrian areas of Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and the Northwest Territories. In Ontario and Quebec, Abitibi and Larder Lake were discovered in 1906, Porcupine in 1909, Swastika in 1910, Kirkland Lake in 1911, Matachewan in 1916, Rouyn-Noranda in 1924 and Red Lake in 1925.

In Manitoba, the Rice Lake district was discovered in 1911, and in the Northwest Territories the deposits in the sediments in the Yellowknife area were discovered in 1933 and those in the greenstones in 1935. In Saskatchewan, the Box and Athona mines were discovered in 1934 and three shafts were sunk at these properties in the La Ronge gold belt.

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Rare earths and China’s self-correcting folly – Alan Beattie (Financial Time – January 8, 2015)

http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/

This week, a trade war that was supposed to tear the world of high-tech manufacturing apart ended peacefully, quietly and with few casualties.

China announced plans that would comply with a WTO decision from last year by removing export quotas and other restrictions on rare earth elements (REEs), the minerals used widely in the manufacture of electronics, computers and cars. It was another success for the US, which has not only chalked up a series of impressive wins against China in the WTO’s dispute settlement process but also (by no means a given) often succeeded in getting Beijing to implement the decisions.

So, a big victory for global governance? Huzzah for the international rule of law, and a celebratory round of Dan Drezners? Sort of. In reality, it was the free market as much as trade rules that did for China’s attempt to corner global commerce in rare earths. Moreover, in a rather choice irony, Chinese companies employed the very tricks that they use to sidestep trade restrictions by other governments to sabotage the export quotas set by their own.

By 2010, China produced 97 per cent of the world’s basic rare earth oxide production and much of the processing business. In its submission to the WTO, Beijing laughably argued that a complex system of export restrictions it had placed on its REE companies since the mid-2000s was aimed at protecting the environment by controlling mining.

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Platreef PFS underpins ‘excellent’ economics – Ivanhoe – by Natasha Odendaal (Mining Weekly.com – January 8, 2015)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

JOHANNESBURG (miningweekly.com) – The prefeasibility study (PFS) of TSX-listed Ivanhoe Mines’ Platreef project had demonstrated the robust nature of the latest major new underground, mechanised platinum mine, near Mokopane, in Limpopo, executive chairperson Robert Friedland said on Thursday.

Ivanhoe aimed to develop the Platreef platinum, palladium, rhodium, gold, nickel and copper mine in three phases, with an initial production rate of four-million tonnes a year to establish an operating platform to support future expansions.

The latest study confirmed the “excellent” economics and technical viability of the low-cost operation, Friedland said of the mine that would eventually expand production to eight-million tonnes a year, before reaching a steady-state 12-million-tonne-a-year operation in the third phase.

The PFS – an important milestone in Ivanhoe’s planned transformation of the Platreef discovery into one of the pre-eminent South African platinum-group metals producers – covered the first phase of development, including the construction of an underground mine, concentrator and other associated infrastructure to support initial concentrate production by 2019.

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Inquest into Fram, Chenier mining deaths called for April 8 – by Ben Leeson (Sudbury Star – January 7, 2015)

The Sudbury Star is the City of Greater Sudbury’s daily newspaper.

Briana Fram knows the coroner’s inquest into the death of her brother, Jordan Fram, and Jason Chenier will a difficult time for her family, but hopes it will result in a safer workplace for those who work in mines.

Dr. Reuven Jhirad, deputy chief coroner of the Office of the Chief Coroner for Ontario, announced Tuesday that an inquest will be held into the deaths of Fram, 26, and Chenier, 35, both killed at the 3,000-foot level of Vale’s Stobie Mine when they were overcome by a run of muck on June 8, 2011.

Inquests into workplace deaths are mandatory in Ontario. “With tragedy, often good emerges,” Briana Fram said. “We’re hopeful that this inquest will bring results that will prevent deaths in the future and protect the lives of miners and people that work in mines.”

Dr. David Eden will preside as inquest coroner. Susan Bruce and Roberta Bald will be counsel to the coroner. The inquest will be at the Sudbury Courthouse, 155 Elm St. in Sudbury, beginning on April 20 at 9 a.m. and is expected to last 10 days, according to the chief coroner’s office.

The inquest will examine the circumstances surrounding the Stobie accident and the inquest jury may make recommendations aimed at preventing similar deaths from occurring.

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Iron ore bounce likely to be shortlived – by Neil Hume (Financial Times – January 6, 2015)

http://www.ft.com/home/us

Few in the iron ore industry will remember 2014 with any fondness. The steelmaking ingredient was the worst performing major commodity, plummeting 50 per cent as a flood of new supply hit the market and swamped demand.

But it has started 2015 on the front foot with benchmark Australian ore advancing almost 8 per cent since Christmas. The question for the industry is whether this is a dead cat bounce or the start of a recovery in prices, which recently hit a five-and-a-half-year low of $65.60 a tonne.

So far few are convinced the rally will last. Analysts believe the bounce in prices is being driven by restocking at steel mills ahead of the Chinese new year and changes to reserve requirements for Chinese banks. With more supply set to come on line and demand in China weak, many believe prices will come under further pressure this year, even trading into the $50s.

This would be bad news for big mining houses such as BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Vale, which have spent billions of dollars expanding operations and generate most of their profits from iron ore.

“We view the upward correction as a similar experience to that recently encountered while climbing Skiddaw (the fourth highest mountain in England) . . . in a gale,” said analysts at Investec Securities in a report.

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Sask. potash royalty structure ‘alarmingly inefficient:’ report (Canadian Press/CTV News – January 7, 2015)

http://regina.ctvnews.ca/

A new report says Saskatchewan’s potash royalty structure needs to be overhauled because it is too complex and “alarmingly inefficient.”

Jack Mintz, a professor at the University of Calgary, says the royalty program is the most complicated in the world. “Hardly anyone understands the Saskatchewan system,” said Mintz, who is the director of the university’s School of Public Policy.

His report released Wednesday says that while Saskatchewan produces almost one-third of the world’s potash, its tax on the resource isn’t competitive on an international level. “What you really want is something that’s stable,” said Mintz, who added that there are wide fluctuations in the current approach.

The royalties collected by governments from resource companies help fill provincial coffers. Saskatchewan’s system includes a production-based levy, revenue-based levies, profit-based taxes and other taxes on capital investment.

“Saskatchewan is competitive as long as there is a lot of investment that is undertaken by firms,” Mintz said. “But it’s not very competitive — in fact it actually has the highest effective tax rate on investments compared to any other country that we look at — when companies aren’t investing as much as the 2002 period.”

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2015 Black Swans – or another BRIC in the wall – by Lawrence Williams (Mineweb.com – January 8, 2015)

http://www.mineweb.com/

A New Year newsletter offers some fascinating interpretations of current geopolitical issues and a positive view on gold as the best currency at such a time of uncertainty.

China set to play leading role in setting up and financing financial entities which will be strong rivals to the IMF and the World Bank.

As Mineweb’s principal commentator on precious metals matters I tend to be in receipt of various emails virtually everyday or so from precious metals and geopolitical analysts and commentators – some of whom provide some really good and interesting new material, while others provide views and thoughts which, quite frankly, are not worth taking the time to scan them.

Some of these analysts are somewhat trapped in a groove saying the same things over and over again. Eventually they may well turn out to be right – what goes around comes around – but sometimes this can take an awful long time eventuating. And of course, there are a number out there trying to promote their own premium services, which is fair enough as people need to make a living, but the problem here is that too many of them preach entirely to their own vested interests.

While there is often much that is good in what they have to say it is sometimes difficult to separate the wheat from the chaff.

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History of Mining: The evolution of shaft sinking systems in the western world and the improvement in sinking rates (Part 3 of 7) – by C. Graham and V. Evans (CIM Magazine – November 2007)

http://www.cim.org/en/

Shaft sinking from 1800 to 1900: Cousin Jacks

During the latter part of the reign of the Tudors in England (1485–1603), Saxon technicians were brought to England to teach Cornishmen to sink shafts and mine Cornwall’s extensive tin and copper deposits. This worked so effectively that by the early 19th century Cornwall possessed some of the best contemporary European mining technology.

Beginning about 1840 and repeating in 1865, Cornish mining prosperity slumped disastrously for a number of technical and economic reasons. The discovery of rich overseas copper deposits coupled with a degree of mismanagement in the Cornish mines worsened the situation, throwing Cornish shaft sinkers and miners out of work. At the same time, the 1800s saw a great deal of British capital investment in overseas mining ventures.

These British-owned mining operations recruited their skilled labour from Cornwall and by the mid-1820s, Cornish miners, or “Cousin Jacks” as they were called, were to be found all across Latin America sinking shafts and developing mines. Cornish miners were also brought in to develop and mine lead deposits in the United States, as well as in Norway and Spain.

Copper was discovered in Australia in 1848 and more Cornish miners emigrated to that area to develop the mines there. Additional mineral strikes across the Americas and Australia followed, which attracted Cornish miners. By 1850, there were an estimated 7,000 Cornish miners and dependents in the upper Mississippi region.

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History of Mining: The evolution of shaft sinking systems in the western world and the improvement in sinking rates (Part 2 of 7) – by C. Graham and V. Evans (CIM Magazine – September/October 2007)

http://www.cim.org/en/

Shaft Sinking from 1600 to 1800 – The Industrial Revolution

It was during this period of time that the first mining schools were opened in North America and the first technical societies for mining were formed. The first School of Mines in the United States was opened in 1864 at Columbia University in New York. In Canada, McGill University opened a mining engineering program in 1871. This was followed by the University of Toronto in 1892, and Queen’s University in 1893.

Also helping to spread the expertise involved in shaft sinking were the mining technical institutes. In Canada, the first of these to be formed was “The Gold Miners Club of Nova Scotia” in 1887. This organization was reorganized the following year as “The Gold Miners Association of Nova Scotia.” A number of other provinces also set up provincial mining associations in the 1890s. In 1898 the Canadian Mining Institute was formed.

One of the early improvements to shaft sinking techniques during this period was the introduction of horse whims for the removal of material from the shaft bottom. This development occurred in the late 17th and early 18th centuries. A well-designed horse whim could remove material from the shaft bottom many times faster than windlasses operated by manpower.

The second improvement to take place during this period was the replacement of fire setting with drilling and blasting. It took three centuries after gunpowder became known in Europe before some resourceful miner, probably in the late 1500s, thought to stuff some into the cracks in rocks, ignite it, and let chemistry do the work.

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History of Mining: The evolution of shaft sinking systems in the western world and the improvement in sinking rates (Part 1 of 7) – by C. Graham and V. Evans (CIM Magazine – August 2007)

http://www.cim.org/en/

Shaft sinking prior to 1600 (ancient times)

The sinking of mine shafts has been going on for thousands of years. The Egyptians mined gold as long as 4,000 years ago, and it is thought that the Persians, Greeks, and Romans learned their shaft sinking techniques from the Egyptians.

Shaft sinking in the Egyptian period and early Roman period was carried out by prisoners of war and criminals, and conditions were terrible. Towards the end of the Roman period, prisoners of war became less available and working conditions improved dramatically.

With the fall of the Roman Empire in the 5th century, shaft sinking and mining activity decreased substantially due to the instability in Western Europe. The social chaos and general economic instability persisted until the 11th century.

From 1100 – 1500 AD the status of the miner was much changed from Roman times. The trade of mining, which included shaft sinking, became a respected profession. Agricola, in his book De Re Metallica published in 1556, gives a number of references to shaft sinking. Advance rates at the end of this period were probably in the range of one to two metres per month.

The period from antiquity to 1600 AD covers a huge time period and many changes in civilization; however, from the early mining by the Egyptians, through Roman times, the Dark Ages, and then the Medieval period, very little changed as far as the techniques utilized for sinking shafts.

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