Nickel takes the prize for being the most volatile of the base metals and while it is hovering around the low point of where it has traded since 2004 it seems to have finally found a base.
Nickel takes the prize for being the most volatile base metal, and while it is hovering around the low point of where it has traded since 2004, when the mining boom started to gain traction, it does seem to have found a base in the vicinity of $US5.70 a pound.
Analysts at UBS noted last week London Metals Exchange’s (LME) nickel inventory stood at about 460,000 tonnes and that over the past two weeks stocks had eased a total of 12,000 tonnes in 11 straight days of declines.
The broker also said cancelled warrants could potentially be a lead indicator of physical metal demand. A substantial increase in April imports from China strengthens nickel’s macroeconomic case.
UBS is forecasting a significant increase in price in 2016 and sees the current sub-$US6 a pound price as representing good value.