Saskatchewan Mining

http://www.thestarphoenix.com/index.html

Saskatchewan potash producers have two billion reasons to feel secure.

They don’t have to worry too much about the spot price of the fertilizer ingredient in 2015, or the outcome of the recently announced provincial royalty review, or even the machinations of competitors flooding the market with product to grab market share.

Those two billion reasons represent the expected increase in world population in the next 35 years, so the major expansions underway at Saskatchewan potash mines appear to be safe bets, according to industry representatives.

“Food security is a defining issue of our time; and for the next century, demand for food will only accelerate,” says Walt Precourt, senior vice-president of potash for The Mosaic Company.

Precourt noted those two billion new mouths to feed are equivalent to the entire world population in 1940. Today there are seven billion people on Earth, with some forecasts putting the population at more than 10 billion in 2050.

“The investments we have made in expanding our potash operations in Saskatchewan will ensure we have the capacity to meet the demand for potash and help the world grow the food it needs,” says Precourt.

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http://www.leaderpost.com/index.html

Province’s first in 40 years

The $4.1-billion Legacy solution potash mine being built by K+S Potash Canada on the edge of the Qu’Appelle Valley near Bethune, about 75 km northwest of Regina, is still on track and on budget to meet its goal of producing potash by the end of next year.

“Everything’s according to plan,’ said Sam Farris, vice-president and general manager of operations for K+S’s Legacy project – the first new potash mine in Saskatchewan in 40 years. “It’s an aggressive plan, but we’re managing to hold to the plan.’

K+S Group, the parent company of K+S Potash Canada, which issued its firstquarter results last Tuesday, announced that “K+S is well on the way to commissioning the plant as scheduled from summer 2016 onward and producing the first tonnes of potash fertilizers towards the end of the year, thus meeting the investment budget of $4.1 billion.”

K+S Group, which is Europe’s biggest potash producer, said its total capital budget for 2015 was 1.3 billion euros, or just under $1.8 billion Cdn. “Expenditure connected with the Legacy project accounts for most of this figure,’ the Kassel, Germany-based company said.

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The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Premier Brad Wall of Saskatchewan is now under fire for his 2015 Budget that promises a potash tax review as well as a curb on some investment incentives for the potash industry. Some are calling his bold move a “Stelmach” moment, comparing the ever-popular Saskatchewan Party’s premier to Premier Ed’s royalty review for the Alberta’s oil and gas industry in 2007-8.

‎Saskatchewan’s royalty review is far from being a comparable situation to Alberta’s. Brad Wall inherited a clumsy complicated potash royalty system devised by the NDP in 2001-2 while the Alberta royalty system was relatively well designed before Stelmach started stirring the pot.

If anything, the Stelmach government was making the system worse with proposals that increased rather than reduced distortions. Moreover, Stelmach’s play was a revenue grab while Wall has finally taken a step to clean up a messy system with the promise not to raise revenues under the review. If there is any criticism to be laid, it’s that Wall should have acted sooner.

Wall now has a unique opportunity to not only reform potash taxation but also to ensure a politically stable tax system that has the right balance between competitiveness and public revenues. The major flaws in the current Saskatchewan system are threefold.

First, the system is unfair with differential treatment of potash companies depending on whether they existed before or after 2001-2. Companies after 2002 are taxed on their volumes differently than companies operating before this time.

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The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Saskatchewan is preparing to review its byzantine potash royalty regime, and Premier Brad Wall thinks it is long overdue.

“Without the incentives that are overlaid on top of the royalty structure for brownfield and greenfield investment, we have the highest potash taxes on earth,” he said in an interview. “Higher than Russia.”

But in this week’s budget, Mr. Wall introduced one interim tax change that has already drawn a furious response from the world’s biggest fertilizer company.

Saskatchewan is stretching out the timing in which miners make deductions for expansions and maintenance spending. That has a significant impact on Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., which is wrapping up a $6-billion expansion program in the province. Potash Corp. expects budget proposals will cut its pre-tax earnings by $75-million to $100-million this year.

“Changing the rules midstream impacts the ability of our shareholders to earn a fair return on their capital and undermines Saskatchewan’s relative competitiveness,” chief executive Jochen Tilk said in an uncharacteristically harsh statement.

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The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Saskatchewan is blessed with the world’s largest bounty of potash – and cursed with the worst tax system for capitalizing on its bounty of the naturally-occurring fertilizer. It is a regime so complex that nobody – miners, investors or governments – has a clue how to forecast the tax outlay from year to year. Even University of Calgary tax expert Jack Mintz, who has written extensively about it, calls the regime “the most complicated thing I’ve seen in my whole career.”

Finally, after much prodding, the government of Brad Wall is promising to do something. In the provincial budget tabled this week, the Premier promised “a broad review of the entire potash tax regime.” Change can’t come soon enough. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, the industry’s largest miner, isn’t happy, but it has a lot of nerve to complain.

Saskatchewan’s potash tax system, according to a recent paper co-written by Dr Mintz, is convoluted, inefficient and uncompetitive. There are three levels of levies, creating a “tax jungle” that leaves producers subject to marginal effective tax and royalty rates last year ranging from 0.3 per cent to 22.6 per cent. It’s a wild and ridiculous range, especially considering the rate in other potash-producing countries amounts to one number, usually in the mid-teens or low 20s.

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