http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business
MINERS, commodity experts and China watchers believe this year’s dramatic fall in iron ore is a short-term issue, suggesting that the price of Australia’s biggest export earner will rally to around $US110 a tonne in response to China’s ¬urbanisation and industrialisation demand imperative.
A procession of speakers at the Australia in China’s Century Conference in Melbourne yesterday cautioned against reading too much into the near 30 per cent decline in iron ore prices so far this year to $US95.70 a tonne — a price at which Australia’s highest-cost producers will be feeling the pinch.
They cited a combination of reasons for their faith in the ability of iron ore prices to rebound to around $US110 a tonne. While that would represent a 15 per cent improvement on the current price, it would nevertheless still be 18 per cent below the full-year average in 2013, which matched the year-end price of $US135 a tonne.
Fortescue chairman and major shareholder Andrew Forrest told the conference that Chinese steel production was continuing to run at record levels despite patchy economic indicators.
“The Chinese ability to manage poverty out of its country is unprecedented and their consumption of steel is still running at record rates,” Mr Forrest said.