LAUNCESTON, Australia, Jan 21 (Reuters) – The latest production reports from mining giants BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto hammer home an uncomfortable truth: No matter how much output increases and costs are cut, falling commodity prices triumph.
Both BHP and Rio Tinto released reports this week that met market expectations and re-affirmed production guidance for the world’s top two mining companies.
While it’s no doubt positive for the Anglo-Australian miners that they are successfully executing plans to boost output while containing costs, the numbers make for some sobering reading.
Rio Tinto, the world’s second-largest iron ore producer after Brazil’s Vale, said it expected to mine 330 million tonnes of the steel-making ingredient at its Western Australia mines in 2015 on a 100 percent basis, up from 280.6 million tonnes last year. (www.riotinto.com)
The average price achieved in 2014 was $84.30 a tonne, Rio Tinto said, which would yield revenue of about $23.65 billion, on a 100 percent basis from the Pilbarra region. Rio Tinto’s actual share of that would be about $18.95 billion, as some of its mined output accrues to partners.
And given the structural oversupply in the market and muted demand growth from top importer China, it seems unlikely that the price will rally significantly in 2015.