International Media Resource Articles – Page 750

Miners Chopping $10 Billion Search Bodes Next Price Boom – by Elisabeth Behrmann and Rebecca Keenan (Bloomberg News – January 17, 2014)

January 17, 2014

http://www.businessweek.com/

Mining companies are extending massive cuts in exploration budgets for a second year, setting up the next price boom as China continues its relentless pursuit of metals and energy.

Exploration spending plunged by 30 percent or $10 billion last year, squeezing budgets to search for minerals and sustain supplies, according to MinEx Consulting Pty, whose clients include BHP Billiton Ltd. (BHP), the world’s biggest miner. Payments may drop another 10 percent this year for geologists, drilling exploratory holes and analyzing mineral specks to unearth the next copper, iron ore or gold El Dorado, MinEx said.

Investors in mining companies and metals may welcome the cuts because they’ll help propel a rebound in prices. Platinum, aluminum, silver, nickel, zinc, lead and uranium all are forecast to rise by 2017, according to the median of analyst estimates compiled Jan. 16 by Bloomberg. The losers will be buyers of cans, cars and all the goods made from metals.

Mining companies are extending massive cuts in exploration budgets for a second year, setting up the next price boom as China continues its relentless pursuit of metals and energy.

COLUMN-China moves to cut coal use look bearish for imports, may not be – by Clyde Russell (Reuters India – January 17, 2014)

January 17, 2014

http://in.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, Jan 17 (Reuters) – Coal miners in Australia and Indonesia could be forgiven for feeling depressed, given the plethora of news coming out from top buyer China on how it intends to cut demand for the dirty fuel.

In the past few days China’s National Energy Administration has set a target of lowering coal’s share of energy use to below 65 percent in 2014 from last year’s 65.7 percent, three years ahead of initial plans. Beijing’s mayor has urged an “all-out effort” to tackle air pollution, pledging to cut coal use by 2.5 million tonnes a year in his polluted city.

In neighbouring Hebei province, the country’s biggest steel-making region, authorities have said they will block new projects, punish officials in areas of high pollution, and cut steel output and coal use by 15 million tonnes each this year.

This all sounds bearish for coal, and the gloom of miners that export to China could be deepened by signs that domestic supply in the biggest producer and user of the fuel is rising.

Is Goldcorp’s Osisko bid just the start of a gold M&A rush? – by Lawrence Williams (Mineweb.com – January 17, 2014)

January 17, 2014

http://www.mineweb.com/

While not the first recent takeover bid in the gold space, Goldcorp’s offer for Osisko suggests that the bigger players may now feel the decline in the gold price is near its end and could prompt others to follow.

LONDON (MINEWEB) – There has been considerable speculation as the gold price has fallen and previously profitable gold miners struggled to keep their heads above water that the predators with strong balance sheets are poised to strike and attempt to swallow up smaller – or just less well cashed up – miners in the gold space.

Goldcorp’s hostile bid for Osisko – the one time darling of the Canadian exploration and development sector, but now a mid-tier gold miner in its own right – could thus just be the start of a flood of M&A moves as the gold price looks to be nearing its bottom and gold stock valuations are seen as being close to their likely lows.

While there have already been other M&A moves in the space over the past year although mostly at a much lower level – Hecla’s ‘white knight’ acquisition of Aurizon, Centamin’s Ampella transaction and Asanko’s PMI takeover all immediately spring to mind. But none of these have had the impact of the Goldcorp bid given the sizes of the two companies involved.

Rio Tinto Slashes Costs as Iron-Ore, Coal Output Hit Records – by David Stringer and Jesse Riseborough (Bloomberg News – January 16, 2014)

January 16, 2014

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Rio Tinto Group (RIO), the world’s second-largest mining company, beat its 2013 cost-cutting targets as fourth-quarter iron ore production advanced to a record on increased Chinese demand.

Output climbed 7 percent to 55.5 million metric tons last quarter from 52 million tons a year earlier, London-based Rio said today in a statement, in-line with the 55.7 million-ton median estimate of five analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Rio cut cash costs by more than $2 billion and halved exploration spending across its suite of commodities to $948 million last year, beating the targets set by Chief Executive Officer Sam Walsh after he replaced Tom Albanese in February following failed aluminum and coal deals. The cuts came even as production of iron ore, thermal coal and bauxite rose to records, Walsh said.

“What Rio is trying to articulate is that it’s delivering on its promises, it has a very solid business and it’s leveraged to the iron ore price,” said Peter Esho, chief market analyst at Invast Financial Services Pty. in Sydney.

Struggling small miners vulnerable to mid-sized rivals – by Stephen Eisenhammer (Reuters India – January 16, 2014)

January 16, 2014

http://in.reuters.com/

LONDON, Jan 16 (Reuters) – A year of tumbling share prices and a shrinking pool of funding have left smaller mining companies vulnerable to the approaches of medium-sized rivals with cash in the bank and an eye for a bargain.

Investors and executives told Reuters they saw opportunities for mid-caps and turnaround specialists in regions such as Latin America and Africa as some small companies, typically those involved in the capital-intensive early stages of a project, struggle to secure funding from banks or the market.

The gold sector is likely to see the most M&A activity as the metal price languishes 25 percent lower than a year ago, and a number of potential deals are already in the works. Equities were hit even harder than bullion; the Thomson Reuters Global Gold Index of 43 gold miners more than halved in 2013.

Industry insiders said the trend would also spread across base metals and iron ore. Nearly all junior miners were hit last year, with the Thomson Reuters index of 144 resources companies listed on London’s alternative market (AIM) down 33 percent in 2013.

UPDATE 1-India PM: POSCO to start work on steel plant in coming weeks – by Krishna N Das (Reuters India – January 16, 2014)

January 16, 2014

http://in.reuters.com/

NEW DELHI, Jan 16 (Reuters) – South Korea’s POSCO will be able to start work on its planned $12-billion Indian steel plant over the coming weeks, India’s prime minister said on Thursday, ending an eight year delay for environmental and legal clearances.

Manmohan Singh said the firm’s request for an iron ore mining licence – the final regulatory hurdle for the project which would be the biggest foreign direct investment in India – was at an “advanced stage of processing”.

The 12 million-tonnes-per-year plant in the eastern state of Odisha, formerly Orissa, will help world No.4 steel producer India to expand output.

India produced 77.6 million tonnes of crude steel in the past fiscal year, a fraction of top producer China’s nearly 800 million last year. India’s total iron ore reserve was estimated at 28 billion tonnes as of 2010 by the Indian Bureau of Mines.

India’s new Environment and Forest Minister Veerappa Moily last week gave approval to the plant but asked POSCO to spend 5 percent of the total investment on social commitments, which would raise the project’s cost to $12.6 billion.

COLUMN-Indonesia bauxite ban slow-burn issue for aluminium – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.S. – January 14, 2014)

January 15, 2014

http://www.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, Jan 15 (Reuters) – The immediate impact of Indonesia’s ban on exporting unprocessed mineral ores has been felt in nickel markets, but the slow burn, and potentially larger, may be in aluminium.

London Metal Exchange three-month nickel jumped 7.4 percent between the close on Jan. 9 and Jan. 14, when it ended at $14,340 a tonne. In contrast, London aluminium futures barely nudged up 0.6 percent over the same three-day trading period, and the benchmark contract in Shanghai weakened by 0.6 percent.

It may well be that the market is accurately reflecting more immediate concern over the supply of nickel, since Indonesia supplies about 13 percent of the world’s mined nickel.

But the likelihood is that any loss of Indonesian cargoes will act merely to lower the available surplus of nickel, suggesting that the current rally may not be sustained. However, the story with aluminium may be slightly different, at least over the medium to long term.

Shrugging off China risks, Australia miners dig deep for more iron ore – by James Regan (Reuters India – January 15, 2014)

January 15, 2014

http://in.reuters.com/

SYDNEY, Jan 15 (Reuters) – Australian miners shoveled record tonnages of iron ore in the December quarter, supported by billions of dollars worth of expansion plans coming on stream and despite signs of weakening demand from top consumer China.

Iron ore continues to generate big returns even as prices fall, and miners in Australia – the world’s biggest supplier – are counting on economies of scale to maintain profits for the steel making material.

Production data from Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals Group will be released over the next two weeks, but port data already shows record tonnages were shipped in the last quarter even as Chinese demand lost steam.

Chinese iron ore purchases fell 5.6 percent to 73.4 million tonnes in December, down from a record 77.8 million in November and ore prices have dipped to a six-month low.

And weaker steel prices have prompted some mills to reduce production, putting China’s average daily crude steel output at 1.961 million tonnes in late December, the first time the pace fell below 2 million tonnes since last February.

Goldman’s Currie still looking for $1050 gold, bearish on all commodities – by Lawrence Williams (Mineweb.com – January 15, 2014)

January 15, 2014

http://www.mineweb.com/

Goldman Sachs’ Jeffrey Currie remains bearish on virtually all commodities, but particularly so on gold reiterating his prediction of last year that gold will fall to $1050 by end 2014.

LONDON (MINEWEB) – In a new interview with CNBC, Goldman Sachs Head of Commodities Research, Jeffrey Currie, was nothing but consistent in his 2014 gold price forecast and is sticking to his $1050 target for gold by end 2014 – a figure he first came up with in the first half of last year. Thus he feels that gold’s relatively strong start to the current year is likely to be shortlived and, as in 2013, gold will likely shed value throughout 2014.

Now, the principal problem for gold bulls with Currie’s forecasts is that they can tend to be self-fulfilling prophecies given the God-like status of Goldman Sachs in financial markets. Currie famously told clients to sell gold short in April last year – just two days before many big gold investors seem to have followed this advice and the gold price plunged.

Later in the year, in October, Currie told a conference panel in London that gold had to be a ‘slam dunk sell’ with the U.S. Fed likely to begin its tapering programme and reduce its $85 billion a month bond buying programme once the then prevalent budget impasse ended. This too generated gold price weakness, although perhaps not to the extent of his earlier ‘short gold’ call.

Gold mining: Squandered opportunity – by James Wilson (Financial Times – January 14, 2014)

January 14, 2014

http://www.ft.com/home/us

In the vast open pit at Goldstrike, electric shovels 20 metres tall crunch easily through the rock of northern Nevada. Three scoops fill a truck that hauls off 300 tonnes of gold-bearing ore, while underground teams nearby bore richer deposits at 25 metres a day.

The site, excavated over almost three decades, set Barrick Gold on its way to becoming the world’s largest gold miner. Yet more than 9,000km to the south, at a mine the company hopes will one day be as successful, things are very different.

Pascua Lama, 5,000 metres up in the Andes straddling Chile and Argentina, has been blighted by cost overruns and environmental disputes. Barrick has written off more than $5bn on the incomplete project: engineers are now putting it into what might be a long hibernation until the gold price – and the Canadian company’s balance sheet – recover.

The tale of two mines epitomises the profound change in fortunes for the gold mining industry. Barrick and its peers once enjoyed premium valuations as eager investors anticipated outsized returns from a climbing gold price. Profits flowed easily from the likes of Goldstrike’s 2m ounces of annual production in pro-mining and accessible jurisdictions such as Nevada. Now, mishandled investments and bloated projects have taken the shine off gold miners, which in recent years have generally underperformed the metal itself.

INTERVIEW-Gold miners should consider investors in reserves math-BlackRock – by Silvia Antonioli and Clara Denina (Reuters India – January 13, 2014)

January 14, 2014

http://in.reuters.com/

LONDON, Jan 13 (Reuters) – To attract shareholders in a climate of weaker bullion prices gold miners need to use more conservative price forecasts to determine how much ore is economical to extract, focusing on a return for investors rather than flat out production.

BlackRock fund manager Evy Hambro says miners have to shrug off habits formed when bullion prices were racing ahead in the last 12 years and to add a rate of return for shareholders when estimating production costs. Ideally that should be 20 percent.

At the beginning of each year gold miners calculate their reserves, or how much gold it is worth their while to produce, depending on their costs of production and based on average gold price assumptions.

This shift to refocus on shareholder return could mean reducing the amount of gold miners produce, but making profits on that output, rather producing gold that could end up being sold at a loss. Less focused miners could find themselves running short of investors.

Some investors have complained that miners’ price assumptions have been too optimistic in the last few years, while cost estimates have not included a rate of return for shareholders.

Indonesia to China: Stop Buying Our Stuff – by Bruce Einhorn, Yoga Rusmana, and Eko Listiyorini (Bloomberg News – January 13, 2014)

January 14, 2014

http://www.businessweek.com/

Indonesian mines account for about 20 percent of the world’s nickel supply and a hefty chunk of the bauxite (used to make aluminum). China has been importing ever-larger amounts of these and other minerals from its Asian neighbor. Ironically, the more the Chinese buy, the angrier Indonesians become: Rather than purchasing refined minerals from Indonesia, China imports the raw rocks and does the processing itself, thus depriving Indonesians of jobs and tax revenue.

Miners took more than 250,000 tons of nickel out of Indonesian mines last year but processed only about 16,000 tons in-country, exporting the rest. Meanwhile, China refined more than half a million tons.

To make matters worse, through much of last year, China stockpiled Indonesian ore to hedge against any action the government in Jakarta might take to encourage more of the value-added work to stay home. The stockpiling makes Indonesian officials even more irritated. “I just returned from China, and I saw with my own eyes there are 3 million tons of bauxite and 20 million tons of nickel over there,” Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat told reporters on Jan. 8. “That’s what we want to stop.”

Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono is taking action do just that.

Intel’s Ban on Conflict Minerals Wows National Geographic Photographer – by Tom O’Neill (National Geographic – January 9, 2014)

January 14, 2014

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/

Marcus Bleasdale has spent a decade documenting brutal conditions in eastern Congo’s mines. He calls the Intel announcement “huge.”

Intel’s announcement that every microprocessor that it ships will be made without conflict minerals from Africa hit both a personal and professional nerve for photographer Marcus Bleasdale.

Bleasdale has spent the past decade photographing in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) to bring the issue to the world’s eyes: workers, including children, toiling in brutal conditions in mines overseen by militias in eastern Congo. In October National Geographic magazine published “The Price of Precious,” which featured Bleasdale’s powerful photos dramatizing the suffering of people caught in the middle of the violent, illegal grab for minerals like tin, tungsten, and gold. They’re referred to as “conflict minerals” because of the ongoing strife between army commanders and militia chiefs over control of the mines.

Japan nickel users face higher costs, supply hunt after Indonesia ban – by Yuka Obayashi (Reuters U.S. – January 13, 2014)

January 14, 2014

http://www.reuters.com/

TOKYO – Jan 13 (Reuters) – Japan, home to some of the world’s biggest stainless steel producers, will face higher costs and a scramble to find new nickel supply after Indonesia enforced an export ban on the raw material.

Global nickel prices and mining shares rallied a day after Indonesia banned unprocessed exports of nickel and bauxite, in a move aimed at getting higher returns for its resources by forcing companies to refine the minerals on Indonesian soil.

The law was first announced in 2009 but only a handful of firms made the downstream investments needed, betting on Indonesia backing down on the policy. Jakarta tweaked its rules on Saturday to allow copper, zinc, lead, manganese and iron ore concentrate shipments to continue.

Japan’s biggest nickel smelter, Sumitomo Metal Mining Co Ltd (SCM), said it had enough nickel ore to maintain its current production level of ferro-nickel only till May.

Philippines Sees Nickel Boon on Indonesia’s Ban: Southeast Asia – by Cecilia Yap (Bloomberg News – January 13, 2014)

January 13, 2014

http://www.bloomberg.com/

The ban on mineral-ore exports from Indonesia, the world’s biggest nickel producer, is poised to benefit neighboring miners in the Philippines, which are predicting an increase in sales. Shares of Nickel Asia (NIKL) Corp. advanced to the highest level since July.

The ban is positive as demand and prices for Philippine supplies will increase, according to Emmanuel Samson, chief financial officer at Nickel Asia. The Taguig City-based company accounts for about a third of Philippine output, Samson said in a telephone interview.

While the Indonesian ban is intended to encourage local processing and boost the value of commodity shipments from Southeast’s Asia’s largest economy, the curbs may hand an advantage to rival producers such as Nickel Asia. Buyers in China, the top user, stockpiled ore before the ban and it may take as long as six months to work off that extra inventory, according to Samson. Producers in China also need to adjust to the lower grade of ore that comes from the Philippines, he said.

“If they do that, it would be very easy for us to ramp up production,” Samson said in an interview Jan. 9. “We think the increase is not going to be until such time that the inventory level will come down,” he said, referring to prices.

Refined-nickel futures jumped as much as 2.4 percent to $14,190 a ton today on the London Metal Exchange, the highest level in two weeks, on concern supplies will be reduced.