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COLUMN-Asia utilities in dicey bet on cheap, low-rank Indonesia coal – by Clyde Russell (Reuters India – February 27, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.

SINGAPORE, Feb 27 (Reuters) – Many power utilities in Asia appear to be making what seems like an increasingly risky bet: that poorer quality coal from Indonesia will remain cheap and plentiful.

Generators from India to Southeast Asia and China are building or planning new coal-fired units designed to run on low-rank, sub-bituminous coal from Indonesia. Such coal has been growing in supply and currently trades at a discount of 24 percent to higher quality bituminous coal from rival supplier Australia.

But two factors are calling into the question the wisdom of building long-term projects reliant on low-rank Indonesian coal.

The first is that the Indonesian government is planning new rules and taxes designed to increase its revenue from coal mining, and the authorities appear not to mind if the result of these policies is a sharp reduction in exports.

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UPDATE 2-Vale quarterly loss more than doubles after tax payment – by Jeb Blount (Reuters U.S. – February 27, 2014)

http://www.reuters.com/

Feb 26 (Reuters) – Vale SA, the world’s No. 3 mining company by market value, said on Wednesday its net loss more than doubled in the fourth quarter after it took a $6.5 billion charge for an income-tax settlement with the Brazilian government and wrote off part of a failed potash investment.

Vale lost $6.45 billion in the three months ended Dec. 31 compared with a loss of $2.62 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012. The loss was well above the $3.83 billion average loss forecast of seven analysts in a Reuters poll and its worst quarterly since at least 1997 when Brazil’s government sold the company to private investors.

Vale’s full-year profit was $584 million in 2013, the worst annual result in more than a decade.

While the tax settlement resulted in one of the company’s worst ever losses, Vale continues to dispute the payments, which it considers double taxation of its overseas operations. By making the payment in November it was able to cut its potential liability in half. If a protest against the charges prevails in Brazil’s Supreme Court, the company has said it expects a rebate.

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EDITORIAL: Mining bosses find their voice at last (Business Day – February 26, 2014)

http://www.bdlive.co.za/

TOP executives at South Africa’s mining companies may at last be “finding their collective backbone” — as an investor once pointedly suggested they do — judging by recent public statements by Sibanye Gold CEO Neal Froneman and Northam Platinum CEO Glyn Lewis.

Mr Lewis got stuck into the government, citing “dysfunctional legislation” and an “overregulated environment”. Mr Froneman raised the possibility of clashes over the Mining Charter ending up in the Constitutional Court.

Such comments stand out because they are so unusual. Over the past five years or so only two mining executives spring to mind as having been prepared to openly challenge government utterances “on the record”. First was former Anglo American CEO Cynthia Carroll, who pulled no punches in her opposition to nationalisation proposals being bandied about.

New Anglo CEO Mark Cutifani followed suit. Addressing a dinner at last year’s mining lekgotla, he commented: “We must remove uncertainty and that means the state must stop threatening ownership.”

The norm for mining executives has been to keep quiet despite repeated provocation from government ministers and bureaucrats — some of it blatantly incorrect.

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Gold market breaches ‘covered up’ – by Andy Verity (BBC Newsnight – February 25, 2014)

http://www.bbc.com/news/

Dubai’s biggest gold refiner committed serious breaches of the rules designed to stop gold mined in conflict zones from entering the global supply chain, a whistleblower has revealed.

Amjad Rihan led an Ernst & Young team that audited Kaloti and found it was failing to carry out the proper checks. But after he told the Dubai regulator, it changed its audit procedures. He said that allowed details of the most serious findings to be covered up, with Ernst & Young turning a blind eye.

The regulator, Ernst & Young and Kaloti all say they acted properly. Mr Rihan told BBC Newsnight: “The risk of conflict gold entering Dubai and entering the global supply chain is extremely high.”

The audit team, which visited Kaloti last year, alerted the Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) and also urged superiors at Ernst & Young to notify other regulators and the gold-buying public.

In May the DMCC’s guidance required the audit team’s initial findings to be made public but by November that requirement had disappeared.

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Prospectors Say Drought Has Created California’s 2nd Gold Rush – by Art Barron (CBS Los Angeles – February 24, 2014) February 24, 2014

http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/

LYTLE CREEK (CBSLA.com) — Is 2014 a repeat of the great Gold Rush of 1849?

Prospectors in Southern California are heading to the hills, saying the severe drought has exposed gold that has never been touched by human hands. As water levels continue to drop more nooks and crannies are easier for these gold hunters to access.

“A lot of time you would just see a husband. Now you’re seeing the whole family out,” said Kevin Hoagland, of the Gold Prospectors Association of America.

Prospectors at Lytle Creek, 60 miles from Los Angeles in San Bernardino County, pan for gold, using metal detectors and sluice boxes. CBS2/KCAL9 reporter Art Barron witnessed veteran prospector Jack Barber pull up large pieces of the precious metal.

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UPDATE 1-Australia’s Rinehart nears $7.8 bln mine finance deal – sources – by Sharon Klyne, Joyce Lee and Prakash Chakravarti (Reuters India – February 26, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

Feb 26 (Reuters) – Australian billionaire Gina Rinehart’s Roy Hill iron ore project is close to finalising a $7.8 billion financing deal, sources said, a vital step towards an end-2015 start for the giant mine in Western Australia’s iron-rich Pilbara district.

The 55-million tonnes-a-year project, which would make Roy Hill Australia’s fourth-largest iron ore producer, will add to hefty new supplies coming on line from Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals Group.

It could also add to the wealth of mining magnate Rinehart, already Australia’s richest person with a $17.7 billion fortune, according to Forbes. Roy Hill is likely, however, to be the last new project of this scale to get off the ground, given worries over shaky underlying demand for iron ore in China, the world’s biggest consumer of the steel-making raw material.

Other miners are rethinking expansion and cutting costs as iron ore prices drop. At just below $120 a tonne .IO62-CNI=SI on Wednesday, prices have fallen more than 11 percent so far this year and are down almost 40 percent from a record high of $200 reached in February 2011.

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Catholic Church opposition to mining a myth – Cedron – by Dorothy Kosich (Mineweb.com – February 26, 2014)

http://www.mineweb.com/

“The industry needs a new and better approach to the Church,” says Professor Mario Cedron, ‘The visit of a delegation of mining executives to the Vatican last September is a start.”

SALT LAKE CITY (MINEWEB) – In a presentation to the Society of Mining, Metallurgy and Exploration Wednesday, Professor Mario Cedron of the Catholic University of Peru said the supposition that the Catholic Church opposes mining is based in myth and has no substance.

Some members of the clergy may express personal positions that are opposed to mining, Cedron advised, but no popes in modern memory have expressed anti-mining sentiments.

In fact, Pope John Paul II, a former coal miner, condemned the Liberation Theology political movement, which interprets the teachings of Jesus Christ in relation to liberation from unjust economic, political or social conditions. Cedron observed, “Many people call it Christianized Marxism.”

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First cartels, now vigilantes target Mexico mines – by Agence France-Presse (Global Post – February 25, 2014)

http://www.globalpost.com/

Dozens of trucks carry iron ore out of a mine in western Mexico, spinning dust into the air as they barrel past a guard booth peppered with scores of bullet holes.

The pockmarks are the scars of darker days, when the mine in the town of Aguililla, Michoacan state, was under the yoke of the Knights Templar drug cartel, which extorted the business.

The gang was chased out of town, but the mine still has to pay outsiders. The mine now forks out “compensation” to a vigilante movement which celebrated on Monday the first anniversary of a revolt that has driven the gang out of Aguililla and around 20 other towns in Michoacan.

The civilian militias say the mines are helping to finance their cause against the cult-like cartel which was deeply entrenched in Michoacan’s economy and terrorized the community through extortion, kidnappings and murder. Farmers and ranchers are also making donations to the militias that have liberated their towns.

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EXCLUSIVE-Small miners size up mergers, deals may be elusive -Reuters survey – by Allison Martell and Euan Rocha (Reuters India – February 25, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

Feb 25 (Reuters) – Many of the small Canadian-listed mineral explorers that supply global major miners with new projects are considering merging with peers, according to a Reuters survey, but for most it may be tough to close deals.

Just over half the Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture-listed miners and explorers that participated in the Reuters survey said they are at least somewhat likely to announce a “merger of equals” over the coming 12 months, but only a handful said such a deal is “very likely.”

Out of favor with investors, most explorers – or junior miners – badly need cash. And the few with strong balance sheets figure there must be some great deals around. Several industry leaders have argued that consolidation could fix the sector.

But such discussions often come to a halt when executives at target companies realize that they will have to sell cheap. Some stocks have dropped more than 90 percent over the last two years, and bids reflect the low valuations.

“The guys running these small companies are promoters. They’re dreamers, and they’ll hang in until the cows come home,” said Tom Caldwell, head of brokerage and wealth manager Caldwell Securities. “Most would rather hang in there and end up with $10 in the treasury and start the game all over again in two years.”

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Illegal mining getting out of control – Shabangu – by Leandi Kolver (MiningWeekly.com – February 21, 2014)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

JOHANNESBURG (miningweekly.com) – Illegal mining in South Africa was getting out of control with about 6 000 people estimated to be involved in the practice of illegal underground mining and another 8 000 in illegal surface mining, Mineral Resources Minister Susan Shabangu said on Friday.

She pointed out that it was estimated that, in 2011, illegal mining subtracted about R6-billion from the country’s fiscus, adding that as the practice grew this figure would also grow and, therefore, it was something that had to be dealt with.

Shabangu on Friday met with local stakeholders, aiming to establish a local Ekurhuleni illegal mining forum, including unions, mining industry players, the Metro Police, the South African Police Service (SAPS) and the Department of Home Affairs.

After the meeting, she told media that while there was a Gauteng provincial forum on illegal mining, it was “not really moving in a way that helps us to take this process [forward] and deal with the matter decisively” and, therefore, the decision to set up the Ekurhuleni forum was made.

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MINT: The Next Economic Giants – by Jim O’Neill (BBC Radio 4 – January 2014)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/

Economist Jim O’Neill was the first to spot the huge potential of the BRIC countries – Brazil, Russia, India, and China, and predict how the world would change. In this landmark series, Jim travels to four countries which could one day stand alongside them and join the world’s economic elite. Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey – MINT – could become the new name on people’s lips, and further overturn the old world order.

For the four-part radio espisodes, click here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b03pn2h6/episodes/guide

Mexico

Mexico’s hope of becoming the workshop of North America was shattered by China’s domination of cheap exports, but recently, the Mexican dream is in sight again. As Beijing opts for “quality not quantity” of growth, companies are returning, drawn by competitive labour and proximity to the US market. In the first part of a landmark series, the economist Jim O’Neill travels across Mexico to investigate. He discovers that its ambitions now go far beyond cheap manufacturing. But can Mexico’s youthful, reforming government overcome the challenges of widespread poverty, crime and a huge number of people living outside the formal economy?

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Jim O’Neill interview: Why the Mints come after the Brics – by Sophie McBain (NewStatesman – January 23, 2914)

http://www.newstatesman.com/

The economist Jim O’Neill, who coined the term “Bric countries” (referring to Brazil, Russia, India, China), now says that the term is now tired, and argues that immigration should be widely accepted as a good thing.

Thirteen years ago, Jim O’Neill, a chief economist at Goldman Sachs, coined the term “Brics” to describe the four countries he predicted would be among the next global economic giants: Brazil, Russia, India and China. The acronym caught on, to an extent that O’Neill describes as “flattering” – but he also feels “irritated” by having to defend his theory.

“Someone has just written a book called Broken Brics, and I’m just like, yawn,” he says, collapsing into his seat with feigned exhaustion. “If I dreamt it up again today, I’d probably just call it ‘C’,” he adds, perking up. “China’s one and a half times bigger than the rest of them put together.”

But O’Neill, now 56, is moving on, from both banking and the Brics. He left his role as chairman of Goldman Sachs in April 2013 after 18 years of working at the investment bank. Deciding that he couldn’t better his former role, he resolved to do something different. I’m meeting him at a private members’ club in central London to discuss his newest acronym, Mint, and the accompanying Radio 4 series.

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BRICs Creator O’Neill Wowed by New Lula’s Success: Mexico Credit – by Nacha Cattan (Bloomberg News – December 18, 2013)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Jim O’Neill has been tracking economic reform initiatives in countries across the world during his 33-year career on Wall Street. Only a few of them, he said, rank higher than what Mexico achieved this year.

“I can’t think of many other countries that have had a period of such deep reforms,” said O’Neill, who coined the term BRICs while serving as a top Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economist in 2001, correctly predicting a surge in growth for Brazil, Russia, India and China. “Markets are only just really starting to give Mexico any credibility now that the energy reform is going through.”

President Enrique Pena Nieto shepherded through at least 10 constitutional amendments in his first year in office, including measures to open Mexico’s oil industry to private investment for the first time in 75 years. He is slated to enact as soon as this week the new drilling rules, which are aimed at luring oil majors from Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) to Chevron Corp. (CVX), after a majority of states ratified the changes adopted by the national congress.

O’Neill estimates the reforms will boost Mexico’s long-term economic growth to 5 percent from the current 3 percent, helping trigger a bond rally that will top gains in other emerging markets next year. Barclays Plc predicts the reforms will spark investor demand for bonds in coming weeks, with yields on longer-term securities falling about 0.25 percentage point by year-end.

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UPDATE 2-Indonesia to ease export tax, 1st rollback of mining rules – by Wilda Asmarini and Yayat Supriatna (Reuters India – February 24, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

JAKARTA, Feb 24 (Reuters) – Indonesia will ease a controversial tax on mineral concentrate exports for firms that build smelters in the country, in the first rollback of new rules that have caused its mining industry to grind to a halt.

The move is a potential victory for U.S. mining giants Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold and Newmont Mining Corp . A senior government official said Freeport would resume exports of copper concentrate in the “near future”.

Around $500 million a month in ore and concentrate exports have stopped since President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono in January imposed mining rules, which included the progressive tax and a mineral ore export ban, to force companies to build smelters and process raw materials in Indonesia.

“The export tax can be changed. For those who have seriously committed to building smelters, we will ease it,” said Sukhyar, director general of coal and minerals for the mines ministry. “The export tax can be lowered or maybe eliminated to zero percent.”

By contrast, Indonesian government officials have said over the last few weeks that Jakarta would not back down from the export tax or any of the mining regulations passed last month.

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BHP Billiton CEO Andrew Mackenzie: Economy is sound – by Peter Ker (The Age – February 24, 2014)

http://www.theage.com.au/

BHP Billiton boss Andrew Mackenzie says he is optimistic about Australia’s economic prospects, despite the departure of the car makers and last week’s closure of the Alcoa smelter at Point Henry.

But Mr Mackenzie told Channel Nine’s Financial Review Sunday program the swath of job losses in manufacturing highlighted the importance of the nation uniting behind a single productivity agenda.

Mr Mackenzie has been particularly upbeat about the future of the Australian economy since taking over as chief executive in May, and his mantra that Australia still has ”everything to play for” has often been at odds with the gloomy prognoses of federal governments.

Mr Mackenzie has regularly urged Australia to help itself by reforming industrial relations, taxes and its productivity performance, and said the high-profile corporate closures were a reminder of that.

”To be pro-Australia for a moment I wish they hadn’t happened … but I have a global perspective, I see what happens elsewhere in the world and I still think Australia has an awful lot going for it,” he said.

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