Mexican drug cartels have been diversifying into the iron ore business, smuggling ore worth about $US1 billion a year into China. But it’s the emergence of a more legitimate cartel – one run largely by Australians – that should worry China more.
Rio’s latest result shows how powerful the big three global producers have become. The company’s results for the six months to June 30, with underlying earnings rising 21 per cent to $US5.1 billion ($5.47 billion), are remarkable given that iron ore prices actually fell 20 per cent over the period.
After slashing costs, capital expenditure and debt, management hinted at higher dividends and more buybacks. If the mining boom is supposed to be over, no one told Rio Tinto.
The really interesting element to the result concerned production increases. Although lower iron ore and coal prices stripped $US1.4 billion from underlying earnings, volume increases, particularly in iron ore, offset that fall by more than $US900 million. All up, iron ore contributed more than 90 per cent of total profit.
With China slowing and the country’s government frantically shifting spending away from capital expenditure towards consumption, which dampens demand for ore, Rio Tinto and BHP are expanding output.