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Gold and Silver

Rob McEwen on the outlook for 2014 (Northern Miner – December 23, 2013)

The Northern Miner, first published in 1915, during the Cobalt Silver Rush, is considered Canada’s leading authority on the mining industry. 

Rob McEwen, chairman and chief owner of McEwen Mining (TSX: MUX; NYSE: MUX), shared his thoughts recently with The Northern Miner about the outlook for the mining industry in 2014. McEwen Mining’s principal assets consist of the San José mine in Santa Cruz, Argentina (49% interest), the El Gallo 1 mine and El Gallo 2 project in Sinaloa, Mexico, the Gold Bar project in Nevada, U.S.A., and the Los Azules copper project in San Juan, Argentina. McEwen owns 25% of the company’s shares.

The Northern Miner: Some would say you are an eternal optimist. Are you optimistic about 2014?

McEwen: Anything can be better than 2013. On a relative value basis, gold is looking very attractive, compared to the broad market. So I think there might be some rotation into gold and gold shares … The producers are going through a lot of rationalization and cost cutting and they’ll be putting out some better numbers in the next few quarters.

And there are a few exploration companies that have put out fantastic drill results lately that have started to move their share prices up, like Reservoir Minerals and Balmoral Resources, and I think you’ll see a little bit more of that with the juniors.

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US mining giant faces fight with Indonesia – by Olivia Rondonuwu (The West Australian – December 23, 2013)

http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/

High in the snow-capped mountains, the sight of tribesmen roaming in loincloths contrasts sharply with that of miners using hi-tech machinery to extract gold and copper ore at a huge US-owned facility in remote Indonesia.

The heavily-guarded complex is the resource-rich Indonesia’s biggest mine and has been a controversial presence for more than five decades — accused of environmental devastation and extracting huge wealth while giving too little back to a poverty-wracked area.

On a rare visit by the foreign media to Freeport McMoRan’s Grasberg complex in Papua province, AFP saw first-hand the challenge of mining at one of the world’s biggest gold and copper mines, where thin oxygen makes it difficult for workers to breathe.

Now, the company faces a fight with the state as it looks to extend its contract at a time when emboldened politicians are taking aim at foreign miners with measures forcing them to leave more of their profits in the country.

Indonesia is transforming into a freewheeling democracy and booming economy, with mining firms among foreign companies under scrutiny in what critics say is a climate of rising economic nationalism.

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REPEAT-FEATURE-Dominican gold rush hits a bureaucratic slowdown – by Ezra Fieser (Reuters India – December 23, 2013)

http://in.reuters.com/

Dec 23 (Reuters) – Little more than a decade ago, one of the world’s largest known gold deposits sat abandoned in the foothills of the Dominican Republic’s Central Cordillera mountain range. Car-sized boulders leached heavy metals into what locals called the “blood river,” its waters ran so red from contaminants.

Today the mine, which reopened as Pueblo Viejo this year, hums with activity. Trucks with tires twice the size of an SUV roll through its massive open pits on roads that cut through the 11-square-kilometer site (4.24 square miles), transporting tons of rock to a processing facility.

Some 2,000 people already work here, churning out shimmering gold bars that are exported to Canada and the United States, but the mine has the potential to create 12,700 more direct and indirect jobs and contribute $1.3 billion a year in exports. This dynamic, foreign-operated enterprise is part of the country’s effort to develop an industry that could help boost and diversify its tourism-dependent economy.

Yet despite robust commercial production by two of the world’s largest gold mining companies, Canada’s Barrick Gold Corp and Goldcorp Inc, development of the mining sector is vexed by bureaucratic delays and agitation by activists still concerned about pollution and government deals with foreign companies to exploit the nation’s riches.

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PRECIOUS-Gold falls, set for biggest yearly loss since 1981 – by Clara Denina (Reuters U.S. – December 23, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

LONDON, Dec 23 (Reuters) – Gold fell on Monday, on course for its largest annual loss in 32 years, as thin pre-holiday trade and signs of an improving U.S. economy growth kept investors fretting over the impact of the Federal Reserve’s stimulus tapering.

The metal posted its biggest weekly loss in a month after the Fed’s decision to start scaling back its bond-buying stimulus, which was followed by upbeat GDP data.

“Gold is in a bit of a limbo now because we know that the Fed starting to reduce their bond buying is a reality and the dollar should hold relatively strong from here,” VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said.

“I would argue that there is support at $1,190 … but there may be more downside as it doesn’t take much to move the market in thin holiday trading.”

Spot gold fell 0.6 percent to $1,195.00 an ounce by 1051 GMT. It had briefly rebounded above $1,200 an ounce in earlier trade as investors found value in the metal after prices lost 4 percent in the previous three sessions.

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Silvercorp short-seller hit with fraud allegations – by Rachelle Younglai (Globe and Mail – December 20, 2013)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Canadian regulators alleged on Thursday that a Silvercorp Metals Inc. short-seller committed fraud when he wrote negative reports about the mining company in order to profit from a drop in the miner’s stock.

The accusation from the British Columbia Securities Commission is a sharp reversal of fortunes for short seller Jon Carnes, who operates New York-based EOS Holdings LLC and runs a financial blog, called Alfredlittle.com, where he issued his first damning report against Silvercorp in September, 2011.

Mr. Carnes’s report alleged that the company inflated its profits and misled investors about production levels at its main silver mine in China. Since then, a Canadian named Huang Kun, who helped gather data on Silvercorp for Mr. Carnes, has been thrown into a Chinese jail, and Mr. Carnes has spent more than $2-million defending himself against Silvercorp’s defamation suit.

Now the B.C. regulator is alleging that Mr. Carnes lied about his investing experience and created a fake research group, fake names and fake research in order to help him profit from his negative reports, including his report on Silvercorp.

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African Barrick to compensate assault victims – by Geoffrey York (Globe and Mail – December 20, 2013)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

JOHANNESBURG — A Canadian-owned gold company says it is giving cash payments and other compensation to 14 women who were sexually assaulted by police and security guards at its controversial North Mara gold mine in Tanzania.

African Barrick Gold, a subsidiary of Toronto-based Barrick Gold Corp., says it spent two years questioning more than 200 people in an independent investigation of the sexual-assault allegations, which were first disclosed by Barrick in 2011. “Fourteen women are presently receiving remediation packages,” the company said in a statement to The Globe and Mail on Thursday.

“Although the exact components of each package depends on the individual claimant, they have included cash compensation, sponsored employment to provide job training, financial and entrepreneurial training, education expenses for claimants’ children, relocation expenses, home improvements, health insurance for claimants and their families, and counselling services.”

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Gold Set for First Annual Loss in 13 Years – by Matt Day (Wall Street Journal – December 19, 2013)

http://online.wsj.com/home-page

Precious Metal on Track to End a 12-Year Bull Run

Gold prices slid to three-year lows Thursday, effectively closing the book on a historic rally that lured investors on both Wall Street and Main Street.

Barring a rebound of unprecedented scale, the price of gold is set to notch its first annual decline in 13 years and its biggest drop since 1981. Gold is down 29% year-to-date.

On its way up, gold attracted legions of investors large and small, including big-name hedge-fund managers such as Paulson & Co.’s John Paulson, Greenlight Capital Inc.’s David Einhorn and Third Point LLC’s Dan Loeb. They bet that the Federal Reserve’s extraordinary stimulus launched after the financial crisis would weaken the dollar and stoke inflation, raising gold’s value as a form of protection.

Many investors got burned this year when Fed officials began to hint at scaling back the central bank’s bond-buying program designed to boost growth.

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Work begins on open pit – by Ron Grech (Timmins Daily Press – December 20, 2013)

The Daily Press is the city of Timmins broadsheet newspaper.

TIMMINS – Excavators and trucks have started moving earth and rocks around as construction begins on the Hollinger open-pit mine.

“We finally got our permits a couple of weeks ago, so construction is slowly beginning,” Marc Lauzier, general manager of Goldcorp Porcupine Gold Mines, told The Daily Press Thursday. “We’re actually just finishing up the roads now and the contractor who will be doing the overburden stripping is starting to mobilize.

“There may be a couple of drills drilling. We don’t expect to be blasting before mid to end of January. Initially, all we’re going to do is move some earth around … For the most part, it will look like a pretty regular construction project.”

The open-pit operation is expected to create about 60 new jobs. “We’re on a slow ramp-up. Right now we have the people we need, but over the next two or three months, I definitely expect we will start hiring people,” said Lauzier.

“We have about 120 who are already here and we will eventually have a total workforce of about 180. Certainly, over the next year, we will create probably 60 new positions but they won’t all happen in the first couple of months of the year. We will gradually build this up.

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Go short gold, long nickel – Barclays – by Geoff Candy (Mineweb.com – December 19, 2013)

http://www.mineweb.com/

The bank expects 2014 to be another tough year for commodities but sees good things to come from a move out of structural surplus.

GRONINGEN (MINEWEB) – 2014 is likely to be another difficult year for Commodities, writes Barclays, in a note out earlier this week. But, it expects base metals to out perform both oil and precious metals in the early parts of the year.

The main reasons for this are twofold. Firstly, on the base metals side, Barclays expects 2014 to mark the end of a period of structural surplus that has afflicted base metal markets to a greater or lesser degree since 2007/2008.

“Markets such as aluminium and lead are expected to move into deficit, while surpluses in nickel and zinc are likely to shrink dramatically. Even in copper, the one exception, where we expect supply to grow faster than demand, the surplus next year is likely to be very modest indeed,” the bank writes.

This, Barclays says is primarily a result of an acceleration in demand growth that is currently running at an annualised rate of around 8%, which it points out is double the level of the first quarter of 2013.

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Decline Shutters [South African] Mines – by Paul Burkhardt (Bloomberg News – December 17, 2013)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

A half-dozen unemployed workers from the Blyvooruitzicht gold mine southwest of Johannesburg finish off the last scraps of a slaughtered cow in the searing October heat. Since losing their jobs in August, meals have become much less predictable.

The men stand near a small wood fire as the sun shines off a hill of extracted earth, in sight of a housing block that was supposed to be vacated. One holds a jaw bone over the flame, nibbles the meat off, and tosses the rest into a rusty barrel. What’s left of the carcass with its entrails spilling out is starting to dry at their feet.

The scene, resembling something from an apocalypse film out of Hollywood, is an extreme example of the impact gold’s 25 percent drop this year may have on towns around the world that are dependent on the precious metal. Mining companies have announced plans to shutter mines or reduce operations from Nevada and Peru to Papua New Guinea in the Pacific Ocean, as gold heads toward its first annual loss in 13 years.

Blyvooruitzicht’s name means “happy prospect” in Afrikaans. These days that’s not such a sure thing. The mine’s most recent operator, Johannesburg-based Village Main Reef Ltd., cut funding and closed it last summer, letting go the remaining 1,700 workers. Plunging prices made it difficult to profitably extract gold, especially with electricity prices soaring and workers demanding higher wages.

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Fed cuts bond-buying but stresses easy policy – by Jonathan Spicer and Jason Lange (Reuters U.S. – December 18, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

WASHINGTON – (Reuters) – The U.S. Federal Reserve announced plans to trim its aggressive bond-buying program on Wednesday but sought to temper the long-awaited move by suggesting its key interest rate would stay lower for even longer than previously promised.

In what amounts to the beginning of the end of its unprecedented support for the U.S. economy, the central bank said it would reduce its monthly asset purchases by $10 billion to total $75 billion. It trimmed equally from mortgage and Treasury bonds.

The move, which could come as a surprise to many investors, was a nod to better prospects for the economy and labor market and marks a historic turning point for the largest monetary policy experiment ever.

The Fed’s asset purchase program, a centerpiece of its crisis-era policy, has left it holding roughly $4 trillion of bonds, and the path it must follow in dialing it down is rife with numerous risks, including the possibility of higher-than-targeted interest rates and a loss of investor confidence.

The Fed “modestly” reduced the pace of bond buying in light of better labor market conditions, it said in a statement following a two-day policy meeting.

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Barrick Gold loses two more directors – by Rachelle Younglai (Globe and Mail – December 18, 2013)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Two of Barrick Gold Corp.’s independent directors resigned suddenly on Tuesday, the company said in a surprise announcement that came less than two weeks after it overhauled its board and nominated four new independent board members.

Robert Franklin and Donald Carty had been in charge of talking to Barrick’s institutional investors about their concerns regarding the company’s governance. They joined Barrick in 2006 when the gold producer bought Placer Dome, where they served on the board. Mr. Carty is currently the chairman of Porter Airlines Inc.

They had led the search for the new slate of independent Barrick directors, which culminated in a board revamp announced early this month that included the planned exit of chairman Peter Munk along with two other long-standing directors. Major Barrick shareholders had clamoured for boardroom changes after it awarded Barrick co-chairman John Thornton with a $11.9-million (U.S.) signing bonus, which he used to buy Barrick stock.

The unexpected departure of two more Barrick directors signals that institutional investors continued to look for governance improvements even after the board overhaul, earlier this month.

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Chilean communities struggle after halts at Pascua Lama, other mines – by Marta Lillo (Globe and Mail – December 17, 2013)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Real estate broker Patricia Cortés began a small corporate events business in the northern Chilean town of Vallenar four years ago, with her eye on a gold mine.

Her hopes for success were pinned on the vast Pascua Lama gold-copper project that had begun taking shape 150 kilometres away in a glacier-covered area of the Andes on the border with Argentina.

Vallenar is the closest commercial centre to Pascua Lama, and the town was set to reap rich benefits from the $8.5-billion (U.S.) project. Once it gets going, Pascua Lama, with 18 million ounces of proved and probable gold reserves, is expected to produce up to 850,000 ounces in its first five years.

But prospects for the Cortés’s business look much bleaker now that Barrick Gold Corp. has shelved construction of the mine, citing lower metal prices and a series of regulatory and legal roadblocks imposed by the Chilean government.

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New Gold signals delay at B.C. mine as low prices bite – by Peter Koven (National Post – December 14, 2013)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Thanks to plunging gold prices, a British Columbia project that looked like a priority for New Gold Inc. a year ago is not such a priority anymore.

The Vancouver-based miner announced late Thursday it will put its Blackwater project on the backburner and focus on building the smaller Rainy River project first. The announcement came as the company released results from a feasibility study on Blackwater.

The results were roughly in line with an economic assessment released last year. But the gold market is much weaker today than it was then, meaning the expected returns on the project are lower as well.

At a gold price of US$1,300 an ounce (above the current level of US$1,235), Blackwater has a net present value (NPV) of US$991-million, and a decent internal rate of return of 11.3%, according to the study. But if gold falls to US$1,150, the NPV sinks to just US$403-million. That is not attractive for a mine expected to cost US$1.9-billion.

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Barrick considers new executive compensation rules – by Rachell Younglai (Globe and Mail – December 16, 2013)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Barrick Gold Corp. is seeking to align the bulk of its executives’ compensation with the gold company’s performance and is expected to require top managers to hold their stock until retirement.

After a tumultuous year where Barrick’s stock plummeted 50 per cent and the company recorded nearly $14-billion (U.S.) in writedowns, the miner is considering a plan that would require its executives to hold their shares until they leave the company.

Currently, executives are paid a mix of cash, stock options, restricted share units and performance-based share units. They are not required to hold their Barrick shares until retirement and can exercise their stock options at certain dates.

“That would be a step in the right direction,” said Chris Mancini, an analyst with the Gabelli Gold Fund, which holds 2.9 million Barrick shares. “To the degree that this could have executives think toward long term, that would be a positive development,” he said.

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