Marilyn Scales is a field editor for the Canadian Mining Journal, Canada’s first mining publication. She is one of Canada’s most senior mining commentators.
Cut, cut, cut. As market factors cut the price of gold, so miners are struggling to cut the cost of producing it, shaving away with staff cuts, asset sales, operating costs, and closure.
The gold price has fallen to four-year lows. Now it is struggling to boost itself up from US$1,142/oz on Nov. 5 to about US$1,165/oz at noon on Nov. 11. Is this the start of an upward trend or is it merely a small blip on a continued downward spiral? No one knows.
Despite strong demand from Asia, the gold price just seems to go nowhere. The strengthening American dollar is also exerting downward pressure on the price of gold. The result is that few optimists are singing gold’s praises these days.
Gold miners were an enthusiastic group as the gold price ran up to US$1,924/oz. Margins were understandably high and producers focussed on getting as many ounces out the door as possible to take advantage of the price. But the next year, 2012 saw a softening and the seeds of the current problems were sown. The price continued to slide, and a year later the industry took write downs in the neighbourhood of US$26 billion.
The low price is particularly alarming as small producers on the high end of the cost curve report all-in sustaining costs at US$1,200 and more. Many mid-tier producers are bumping up against the US$1,100 ceiling.