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We are not in 1974 anymore, says Maria van der Hoeven, as she scans the complex and multi-layered energy world.
That year OECD countries had hastily launched the International Energy Agency as a direct response to the Arab oil embargo that was hurting Western economies and had quadrupled crude prices. The Americans were concerned about their dwindling oil production and the Western world tasked the IEA to keep an eye on their fragile crude inventories.
But the world has moved on since then. “It has changed dramatically in more than one aspect,” Ms. van der Hoeven, who heads the agency, told a conference in Montreal last week. “The IEA has also been changing dramatically and has to change, because energy policy in 1974 was quite simple, although — how should I put it — not easy.”
The Paris-based autonomous IEA and its 28-member countries now have to balance climate change issues with economic development and the importance of non-OECD countries in the global economy — a far cry from just releasing crude stocks to counter OPEC’s machinations.
But one thing that is not going to change: the demand for oil. In 2010, fossil fuels made up more than 80% of the world’s energy, and despite the rapid deployment of renewable energy technologies, they will still command three-fourths of the market by 2035, according to the IEA’s estimates.