The prospect of mining copper in Arizona has traders lining up bets that Augusta Resource Corp. (AZC), the target of an unsolicited bid by HudBay Minerals Inc. (HBM), will win a higher offer.
Shares of Vancouver-based Augusta rose 15 percent above HudBay’s all-stock bid, which was valued yesterday at C$2.78 a share, or about C$440 million ($400 million) including net debt. The gap, one of the widest among pending North American deals in which traders expect bidding wars, indicates investors are anticipating a boost from HudBay or another suitor.
Augusta’s Arizona copper project is in the last stages of attaining necessary permits. Laurentian Bank of Canada said it’s large enough to attract other producers including OZ Minerals Ltd. (OZL) and Teck Resources Ltd. (TCK/B) and estimates the company’s value is at least C$3.89 a share based on similar deals. Freeport-McMoRan (FCX:US) Copper & Gold Inc., based in Arizona, is another possible suitor with the financial (FCX:US) strength to outbid HudBay, according to National Bank Financial.
“The market expects that this may be the initial offer and Augusta could negotiate better terms,” Shane Nagle, a Toronto-based analyst at National Bank, said in a phone interview. “It’s a high-quality asset. There is room certainly to sweeten the offer.”