Numbers are numbers and facts are facts: we make serious money when we figure out how those statistics could affect the future. For the past year, we’ve been haranguing about the global shortage of cobalt. We’re not alone in this. See John Petersen‘s series of beautifully analytical data-driven articles and Chris Ecclestone‘s thesis. The key facts you need to know:
1. roughly 97% of the world’s supply of cobalt is produced as a by-product of nickel or copper production. Fact;
2. the spot prices for copper and nickel have plummeted to and have stayed at levels that make many deposits uneconomic. Fact;
3. as a result of these economics, the owners of some of those copper and nickel mines are closing the mines, putting those mines on care and maintenance in a Hail Mary that someday the commodity price will recover enough to someday make these mines economic. Fact;