[Australia iron mining] Friends, countrymen, lend me your ores – by Richard Denniss (Brisbane Times – May 22, 2015)

http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/

Richard Denniss is an economist and executive director of The Australia Institute.

Australia has a bigger share of the seaborne coal market than Saudi Arabia has of the world oil market. And Australia has a bigger share of the seaborne iron ore market than all of the OPEC counties combined have of the world oil market. Everyone knows that if OPEC doubled their oil supply the world oil price would fall. Yet Australians are being told that our decision to double our iron ore exports between 2007 and 2014 had no impact on the price of iron ore.

Someone is talking crap.

While it’s hard for mere mortals to turn water into wine, it’s easy to turn wine into water. Just take a glass of wine, add a very large quantity of water and, hey presto, you’ve got water. But if you add water, one drip at a time, to a glass of wine, it’s virtually impossible to decide when it stopped becoming wine and started becoming water.

So what’s watery wine got to do with the price of iron ore? Lots.

Between 2005 and 2014 Australia built or expanded almost 400 mines. Not surprisingly, doing so put enormous pressure on the cost of the labour, capital and raw materials need to build them.

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Gold Fields Said to Be Among Final Bidders in Barrick Mine Sale – by David Stringer and Brett Foley (Bloomberg News – May 22, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Gold Fields Ltd. is among final bidders competing to acquire a $400 million Australian mine from Barrick Gold Corp., people with knowledge of the matter said.

The Johannesburg-based producer and China’s Zijin Mining Group Co. submitted final offers for the Cowal gold mine in New South Wales state, according to the people, who asked not to be identified as the details are private. They are competing with local suitors Evolution Mining Ltd. and Independence Group NL, which also submitted binding bids, they said.

Barrick, the world’s biggest gold miner, said last month it has fielded interest for mines it’s seeking to divest in Australia, Papua New Guinea and Chile. The Toronto-based company plans to reduce net debt by at least $3 billion this year, partly by selling the assets and cutting staff at its head office.

Zijin Mining has also expressed interest in Barrick’s Porgera mine in Papua New Guinea, the people said. Representatives for Gold Fields, Independence Group and Evolution declined to comment, while spokesmen for Barrick and Zijin didn’t immediately respond to calls and e-mails seeking comment.

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Vale iron ore deal a ‘reminder’ for Australia: Roy Hill – by Tess Ingram (Sydney Morning Post – May 22, 2015)

http://www.smh.com.au/business

Roy Hill chief executive Barry Fitzgerald has said the iron ore expansion deals Brazilian miner Vale inked with China this week are a reminder Australian producers need to remain competitive in the global iron ore market.

Mr Fitzgerald, the man responsible for the development of Gina Rinehart’s $10 billion Roy Hill mine, joined majors BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto in warning of the Brazilian iron ore producer’s growing competitiveness with its Australian rivals.

“What it does remind me, and it should remind all of us, that we in the mining industry are in a competitive, international business,” Mr Fitzgerald told a Morgans Financial breakfast in Perth on Friday. “What we do needs to reflect the pressures and the actions of our competitors.”

On Tuesday, China agreed to fund Brazilian iron ore giant Vale’s major S11D expansion and invest in huge ships that will transport high-quality ore from Brazil to Asia for a lower cost.

The project, which should be finished next year, is expected to produce 90 million tonnes of high-quality iron ore at a unit cost of $US11 a tonne. Vale also announced this month it would begin shipping a blended product – Brazilian Blend fines – with an iron content of 63 per cent.

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RPT-UPDATE 2-U.S. SEC fines BHP Billiton $25 mln in 2008 Olympics bribery probe – by Jonathan Stempel (Reuters U.K. – May 20, 2015)

http://uk.reuters.com/

BHP Billiton Plc will pay $25 million to settle charges that it violated a U.S. anti-bribery law by failing to properly monitor a program under which it paid for dozens of foreign government officials to attend the 2008 Summer Olympics in Beijing.

The accord resolves U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission charges that BHP, one of the world’s biggest mining companies, violated the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act when it sponsored the attendance of officials who were “directly involved with, or in a position to influence” its business and regulatory affairs.

BHP, which has offices in London and Melbourne, Australia, neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing in agreeing on Wednesday to settle the civil case. It also said the U.S. Department of Justice ended a related criminal probe without taking action, and that all U.S. investigations into the matter are complete.

The SEC said BHP invited 176 government officials to attend the Olympics at company expense, including 98 who worked for state-owned enterprises that were customers or suppliers, under a “global hospitality” program tied to its sponsorship of the games.

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Tony Abbott and Joe Hockey lose their way on iron ore – by Jennifer Hewett (Australian Financial Review – May 21, 2015)

http://www.afr.com/

Pick your dollar-per-tonne figure. After a minor recovery from recent lows, the iron ore price seems to be at risk of falling back again. Certainly, there’s no sustained improvement in sight. Pick your reason.

The inevitable volatility of a global commodities market? Or Chinese futures traders relying on sentiment about oversupply, thanks to Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton’s statements about future production? Or Brazil’s iron ore industry receiving new assistance from the Chinese government? Or the big miners’ success beating back Andrew Forrest’s complaints and initial prime ministerial enthusiasm for an iron ore inquiry? Or a combination?

Australia’s most senior politicians are obviously confused about the right answer. The government’s formal backing away from an inquiry on Thursday just confirmed a belated and clumsy attempt by Tony Abbott and Joe Hockey to extricate themselves from a political contradiction. They had backed an inquiry after being persuaded by a powerful combination of forces, ranging from Forrest himself, to a ravaged budget, to radio broadcaster Alan Jones criticising the damage to the national interest.

At the time, they also thought a government-led inquiry would be better managed than the prospect of another Senate inquisition dominated by Labor and independents.

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China to bankroll Vale iron ore expansion – by Amanda Saunders (Australian Financial Review – May 20, 2015)

http://www.afr.com/

China will help to bankroll a major expansion by Brazilian iron ore giant Vale and invest in huge Vale ships that will transport high-quality ore to North Asia – a deal that will reshape the global industry and put more pressure on Fortescue Metals Group.

On a state visit to China with Premier Li Keqiang​, Chinese officials agreed to invest in up to eight of Vale’s huge iron ore carriers, known as Valemax ships.

More importantly, China will loan the company up to $US4 billion ($5 billion) to help fund a $US16.5 billion expansion called S11D. The project, which should be finished next year, will produce 90 million tonnes of high-quality iron ore that will be shipped to China at a cost almost as low as that achieved by industry leader Rio Tinto.

While Fortescue’s Andrew Forrest has repeatedly attacked BHP Billiton and Rio for continuing to expand into a weak iron ore market, Brazil’s plans are accelerating.

Vale plans to increase capacity to 450 million tonnes as early as 2018 from 330 million tonnes this year. Its expansion easily eclipses the combined tonnes BHP and Rio will put into the market over the next three to four years.

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Friends desert Andrew Forrest on calls for iron ore inquiry – by Paul Garvey and Andrew Burrell (The Australian – May 20, 2015)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/

Fortescue Metals Group chairman Andrew Forrest appears ­increasingly isolated in his campaign for a parliamentary inquiry into the iron ore market, with even West Australian Premier Colin Barnett, an outspoken critic of BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, ­rejecting the proposal.

In a major blow to the billionaire, Tony Abbott yesterday backed away from his previous support for an inquiry to invest­igate allegations that the Fortescue Metals Group chairman’s main rivals, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton, have driven down the iron ore price and tried to push smaller players out of business by threatening to flood the market with iron ore.

Mr Forrest last night hit out at the major miners’ efforts to derail the inquiry push. “You’d have to say the reaction from BHP and Rio to an inquiry is nothing short of hysterical,” Mr Forrest told The Australian.

“I’ve never seen two sensible, conservative companies work so hard to be less transparent.” The Prime Minister distanced himself from the inquiry calls, four days after he warned of “predator behaviour” that needed examining. Mr Abbott said the government hadn’t made any decision on the inquiry, which had met resistance from Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane and Trade Minister Andrew Robb.

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Iron ore miners should leave the market if they can’t compete – by Richard Heaney (The Conversation U.S. Pilot – May 19, 2015)

http://theconversation.com/us

Richard Heaney is the Winthrop Professor at University of Western Australia

Iron ore prices are plummeting, federal budget tax receipts are shrinking and Fortescue Metals Group chairman, Andrew “Twiggy” Forrest, reckons he knows who is to blame: BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.

Forrest says these competitors drove down prices by flooding the market with product and has pushed for a federal parliamentary inquiry into their actions – a prospect Prime Minister Tony Abbott is said to be considering.

Forrest told ABC RN Breakfast last week that, “When the chief executives of two of the most important companies to Australia both talk the market down, both say they’re going to oversupply the market there’ll be a lot of collateral damage to the Australian economy, employees by the tens of thousands, companies, and we no longer have a free market.”

On Tuesday, BHP Billiton CEO Andrew Mackenzie responded by saying his firm has been a “very responsible fair producer” that had already partially slowed production, adding that:

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Rio Tinto’s Andrew Harding ‘stunned’ by Twiggy Forrest’s iron ore war – by Matthew Stevens, Julie-anne Sprague, John Kerin and Ben Potter (Sydney Morning Herald – May 20, 2015)

http://www.smh.com.au/

Rio Tinto iron ore chief executive Andrew Harding says he is stunned by the public campaign waged against the company by rival Fortescue Metals Group.

Mr Harding denied Rio Tinto is flooding the market with iron ore and expressed deep frustration with Fortescue founder Andrew Forrest’s aggressive public relations campaign, which he believes is winning political support by distorting reality.

Mr Forrest has led a public campaign against Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton for weeks that has won the support of Prime Minister Tony Abbott, who is supporting a parliamentary inquiry into the iron ore industry and the nation’s biggest taxpayers against several of his own cabinet ministers.

Mr Harding said there could be “extraordinary” ramifications for Australia in its strong reputation for promoting free and open markets.

“It is stunning. I am absolutely stunned,” he said in an interview. “As I keep saying, there is a reality dysfunction.  The commercial reality of it all gets overlaid by the claim ‘that is rubbish’ and ‘that is not how it works’, but no one ever goes on to explain how it works in the alternative.

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Rio Tinto puts aluminium assets on block in potential $1bn deal – by James Wilson and Neil Hume (Financial Times – May 17, 2015)

http://www.ft.com/intl/companies/mining

London – Rio Tinto is making a fresh attempt to sell unwanted aluminium assets in a potential $1bn deal, the latest sign of global miners’ attempts to restructure in the face of a commodities downturn.

The Anglo-Australian company has engaged Credit Suisse to find a buyer for its Pacific Aluminium business, a group of smelters in Australia and New Zealand, according to people aware of Rio’s plans.

The move is part of trend among mining groups, which are cutting back on non-core assets. BHP Billiton, the world’s largest mining company, is spinning off a collection of assets into a separate company called South32, which is due to start trading Monday.

Rio has not created a separate spinout vehicle but has sold $4bn of assets in the past two years, chief executive Sam Walsh said this month.

The company has tried to sell Pacific Aluminium, known as PacAl, in the past, but halted its efforts in 2013 after there was scant interest in its lossmaking operations. “The market was aware PacAl wasn’t going to sell . . . I am a realist. Let’s get on with life,” Mr Walsh said at the time.

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COLUMN-Any Australian iron ore inquiry won’t solve major issue – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.S. – May 15, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

SINGAPORE, May 15 (Reuters) – Any inquiry into the collapse of iron ore prices by the Australian Senate is likely to provide a great opportunity for political point-scoring for a domestic audience, but won’t address the main issue.

It’s still not clear whether independent Senator Nick Xenophon has enough support from the major parties, the ruling Liberals and the opposition Labor, to launch an inquiry, but he did receive backing for the idea from Prime Minister Tony Abbott.

If any inquiry did go ahead, it would provide a platform for Andrew Forrest, the chief executive of No.4 iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group, to continue his campaign against the expansions of No.2 and No.3 miners, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton.

Forrest would most likely relish the chance to continue to portray his company as the tough “Aussie battler” being bludgeoned by heartless multinationals that have failed to act in the interests of Australia and its people.

While this sort of attack may play well in the domestic media arena, it’s also likely that any Senate inquiry would find that BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto haven’t done anything illegal in ramping up iron ore output to levels beyond demand growth.

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Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s iron ore inquiry slammed – by Peter Ker and Tess Ingram (Sydney Morning Post – May 15, 2015

http://www.smh.com.au/

A parliamentary inquiry into the iron ore industry would be entirely inappropriate and damage Australia’s international image, former Australian Competition and Consumer Commission chairman Graeme Samuel says.

Speaking after Prime Minister Tony Abbott declared his support for an inquiry into the behaviour of the struggling industry, Mr Samuel said the parliament should not be trying to intervene in a global market.

“I don’t know what parliament thinks it can do, is it going to limit the exports of BHP and Rio Tinto? I can’t imagine what role parliament has in dealing with an international market of this nature,” said Mr Samuel.

“The very reason we have independent competition authorities is to ensure politicians don’t get involved in political situations. This is an attempt to intervene in the market in a way that is entirely innappropriate.”

Mr Samuel’s comments come after ACCC chairman Rod Sims said last month it was “misguided” to think BHP and Rio were engineering the recent price fall.

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Western Australia Budget Deficit Shows Boom Turning to Bust – by Jason Scott and Benjamin Purvis (Bloomberg News – May 14, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

The state at the forefront of Australia’s biggest resources boom since the 1850s gold rush forecast a worsening budget deficit next year as plunging commodity prices hit revenue.

Western Australia’s government said its net operating deficit for the year ending June 30, 2016 will double to A$2.71 billion ($2.2 billion), from a A$1.29 billion gap in 2014-15, which was its first shortfall in 15 years. Economic growth is forecast to slow to 2 percent in the next fiscal year, the lowest rate since 1990-91, while net debt will peak at A$36.3 billion in June 2018.

Treasurer Mike Nahan is turning to asset sales to reduce debt as a 39 percent fall in iron ore prices in the past 12 months hits the state’s finances. Standard & Poor’s put Western Australia on notice last month that it may cut its AA+ rating due to falling mining royalties that are weakening its budget position.

‘There’s a sober realization now in the state that things have changed,’’ said Michael McLure, a professor of economics at the University of Western Australia Business School. “The government now has a growing debt problem that it’s trying to manage at a very difficult time.”

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BHP Rejects Supply Restraint in Iron After Glasenberg Salvo – by Jasmine Ng, Martin Ritchie and Jesse Riseborough (Bloomberg News – May 14, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

BHP Billiton Ltd. defended its strategy of expanding iron ore output into an oversupplied market as prices decline, saying that the company’s approach was rational and it wouldn’t countenance cutting back on output.

“Our performance will be dependent on being the most efficient supplier and it shouldn’t be dependent on supply restraint,” Alan Chirgwin, iron ore marketing vice president, told a conference. “We have high-quality resources. We have a management team that’s operating in a very cost-disciplined way. We should be taking advantage of those things.”

Iron ore slumped 40 percent in the past 12 months as BHP and Rio Tinto Group in Australia and Brazil’s Vale SA expanded low-cost output to boost sales volumes and cut costs, spurring a surplus as China slowed. The strategy drew criticism from rivals including Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. and Glencore Plc, which said that the approach damages the industry. It’s also drawn flak from political leaders including Colin Barnett, the premier of Western Australia where BHP and Rio operate mines.

“What we’re doing very clearly is we’re operating our enterprise in a very economically rational way,” Chirgwin said in Singapore on Thursday. “We took action, so it wasn’t just words. In 2011, that’s the last time our board approved billions of dollars of additional investment in expansion.”

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Chinese iron ore mines face ‘annihilation’ as BHP, Rio Tinto, Vale boost output – by Jasmine Ng, Feiwen Rong and Jesse Riseborough (Sydney Morning Herald – May 13, 2015)

http://www.smh.com.au/

Iron ore production in China is poised to shrink further as cheaper imports and faltering demand threaten to close mines supplying mills in the top steelmaker. Most private mines in China have costs that are too high and produce ore of too low a quality to survive, according to Sanford C Bernstein & Co. Output that fell 20 per cent to 311 million metric tons last year would drop to 271 million tons this year and shrink further next year, Goldman Sachs said.

Iron ore retreated 39 per cent over the past 12 months as Australia’s Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton as well as Brazil’s Vale SA boosted low-cost production to cut costs and protect market share, spurring a glut as China slowed. The outlook for supply, and consequences for miners in China, will be in focus on Thursday as executives from the biggest producers address a conference in Singapore. BHP chief executive officer Andrew Mackenzie warned on Tuesday that lower prices were here to stay.

Georgi Slavov, head of basic resources research at Marex Spectron Group, said in an email: “Mines not part of larger cash or credit line-rich steel groups are facing annihilation. Utilization in China keeps dropping, which means more and more mines are struggling to meet the ends and produce.”

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