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Asia Mining

Is the rally in global miners too good to be true? – by Ansuya Harjani (CNBC Asia – August 14, 2013)

http://www.cnbc.com/

Even as global resource stocks have had a stellar run-up in the recent weeks, driven by signs of stabilization in China’s economy, cheap valuations and short covering, questions are building over the sustainability of this trend.

Shares of large-cap mining companies such as Australia-listed BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto and U.K.-listed Vedanta have rallied between 11 percent and 14 percent since mid-July.

“There has been a lot of trading money coming into the space by longer-term investors who have wanted to buy the mining space, but haven’t had the clarity because of China, falling commodity prices,” Chris Weston, senior investment strategist at IG Markets told CNBC. “But the easy money has been made. The question now is how much more upside do we think there’s going to be,” he said.

According to Weston, further gains are likely in the near term given improving sentiment around the global economy. But beyond that, he says the outlook for mining stocks remains unclear, pointing to the risk of a selloff in commodities once the U.S. Federal Reserve begins to taper monetary stimulus and potential oversupply in resources such as iron ore in 2014.

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Glencore cuts budget for $5.9 billion Philippine project – by Erik dela Cruz (Reuters U.S. – August 13, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

MANILA – (Reuters) – Glencore Xstrata (GLEN.L) will cut up to 920 jobs and slash spending at its $5.9 billion Tampakan copper-gold project in the Philippines, one of several future mines under review since the company was formed in a record-breaking takeover.

Tampakan, a challenging project in a restive region of the southern Philippines, has not been officially put up for sale.

But, like many of the big-ticket mining projects previously held by Xstrata, it is under review by its new owners and is one of four projects Glencore has said it could sell to appease Chinese regulators’ concerns over its dominance in copper – if it is unable to sell the Las Bambas mine in Peru.

Sagittarius Mines Inc, which is 62.5 percent-owned by Glencore, said on Tuesday it had revised its work plan as the project still faced “substantial development challenges” – including a ban on open-pit mining in South Cotabato province.

That means it is unlikely to hit an already revised 2019 target for first production. “No investment decision can be made until the current project challenges are resolved and necessary approvals obtained,” Sagittarius spokesman John Arnaldo said.

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FBI arrests seven in $140 million penny stock fraud – by Bernard Vaughan (Reuters U.S. – August 13, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

NEW YORK – (Reuters) – Federal prosecutors said on Tuesday they arrested seven people in a more than $140 million international penny stock scheme that involved fraudulently inflating share prices and trading volumes.

Two people charged, including the alleged mastermind, remain at large, according to the office for the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of New York.

The fraud generated funds from investors in about 35 nations through various brokerage and bank accounts, according to a statement from the office of U.S. Attorney Loretta Lynch in Brooklyn.

The arrests, made in five states and in Canada, followed one of the largest international penny stock investigations ever conducted by the U.S. Department of Justice and the FBI, according to the statement.

“As alleged in the indictment, the defendants used our securities markets as a platform from which to run elaborate fraudulent schemes to victimize unsuspecting investors across the globe,” Lynch said in a statement. “Where others saw citizens of the world, the defendants saw a pool of potential marks.”

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UPDATE 1-Freeport says Indonesia export ban may cut copper output – by Fergus Jensen (Reuters India – August 13, 2013)

http://in.reuters.com/

Aug 13 (Reuters) – Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc’s Indonesian subsidiary warned that output from Grasberg, the world’s second-biggest copper mine, could be cut by a ban on unprocessed ore exports that takes effect next year.

The Indonesian government is pushing miners, especially foreign-owned operations such as Freeport’s Grasberg, to add more value within the country.

Freeport, which on Tuesday signed two memorandums of understanding with Indonesian companies planning to build smelters that would process its ore, said it might seek a way around the rules during its contract renegotiation with the government.

The company currently processes only around 40 percent of its ore mined in Indonesia at one smelter in East Java, PT Freeport Indonesia Chief Executive Rozik Soetjipto said on Tuesday, but the law now requires it to smelt all of the ore in Indonesia from January 2014.

“If there is no dispensation from the government… our mining capacity will need to be reduced … It’s very complicated,” Soetjipto said at a news conference in Jakarta.

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Mining the Gobi: The Battle for Mongolia’s Resources – by Bernhard Zand (Spiegel Online International – August 7, 2013)

http://www.spiegel.de/international/

Mongolia is over four times the size of Germany, with nearly 3 million inhabitants and a GDP of $10 billion (€7.5 billion) in 2012.

British-Australian mining corporation Rio Tinto employs 71,000 people in more than 40 countries and is worth about $60 billion.
These two unequal partners — a poor, potentially rich nation and the second largest mining corporation in the world — have joined together to mine one of the globe’s largest deposits of copper and gold. But will they be capable of distributing this wealth fairly?

The mine in question lies an hour’s flight south of the Mongolian capital Ulan Bator, near the border with China. There is enough copper in the ground here to build the Statue of Liberty more than 800,000 times over. Once the planned mine goes into full operation, it could increase the country’s GDP by a third. It could, at least in theory, bring prosperity to this country where many people still live in simple yurts and huts.

But in practice, the transaction between this global corporation and this country that is poor but rich in raw materials looks quite different. In fact, the project serves as a prime example of what is happening in a growing number of newly industrialized and developing countries.

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Indonesia’s consumer and natural resources boom falters – by Ben Bland (Financial Post – August 2, 2013)

http://www.ft.com/home/us

Jakarta – Mitra Adiperkasa, the retail group that operates Burger King, Zara and a host of other international food and fashion brands in Indonesia, has ridden the wave of middle-class consumption that transformed Southeast Asia’s biggest economy into one of the world’s hottest emerging markets.

But the group is scaling back its expansion plans and capital expenditure next year, for the first time since 2009, as Indonesian companies contend with problems including rising inflation and slowing Chinese growth.

“The main challenge for us is rising costs,” says Fetty Kwartati, head of investor relations at Mitra Adiperkasa, with salary and rental expenses increasing more quickly than sales. The company plans to open 60,000-70,000 square metres of new space next year, down from 90,000 square metres this year. Rising consumer spending has been one of the two pillars of Indonesia’s exuberant growth in recent years, alongside burgeoning natural resource exports.

But the latter has been badly affected by the slowdown in China, a major buyer of Indonesia’s coal, palm oil and rubber.

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Nickel producers fend off output cuts as losses mount – by Melanie Burton and James Regan (Reuters U.S. – August 2, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

SINGAPORE/SYDNEY Aug 2 (Reuters) – Nickel miners are clinging to plans to maintain production, despite a growing supply glut and prices around four-year lows, raising the risk of more writedowns and losses being unveiled in the current financial reporting season.

France’s Eramet this week reported a first-half operating loss and warned the second half would be worse due to weak nickel prices, while other top producers such as Vale SA , Glencore Xstrata and BHP Billiton report in the next few weeks.

Between a quarter to a half of the nickel sector could be running at a loss, according to industry estimates, hit by weak demand from China, the world’s top producer and consumer of stainless steel. Nickel is a key component of stainless steel.

Nonetheless, few miners have yet made deep cuts in output and the trend is set to put more pressure on depressed prices.

“It’s a staring contest, no one wants to be the first to take the pain,” said Robin Bhar, an analyst at Societe Generale in London.

Three month nickel on the London Metal Exchange hit $13,205 a tonne on July 9, the lowest since May 2009 and down from nearly $19,000 in February. Nickel is the worst performer on the exchange so far this year, down nearly 20 percent.

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COLUMN-China’s moves to cut metal capacity just getting started – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.S. – August 1, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

Aug 1 (Reuters) – China’s plans to force more than 1,900 companies to cut excess capacity in bloated industries including aluminium, steel and copper have met with an underwhelming response from the market.

Certainly, the moves to make China’s heavy industries more efficient will have little immediate market impact, but what analysts and investors may be shrugging off a little too lightly is that once trends and processes start, they tend to gather momentum.

The edict to close some capacity by September will do very little to end surpluses in aluminium and steel production in China, as they will impact less than 1 percent of capacity.

In aluminium, about 260,000 tonnes of annual capacity may be shut, a fraction of the existing capacity of about 27 million tonnes, which is already about 28 percent higher than demand of about 21 million tonnes.

For steel, the ruling may result in about 7 million tonnes of annual output being idled, but the China steel association says there is 300 million tonnes of surplus capacity. In copper, some 654,000 tonnes of production may be closed, which is insignificant when compared with the existing idle capacity of more than 7 million tonnes.

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COLUMN-Pain of drop in China coal imports isn’t evenly shared – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.S. – July 29, 2013)

http://www.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, July 29 (Reuters) – The sharp drop in China’s coal imports in June helped to finally bring growth in imports closer to that for power output and was validation of the view that inbound cargoes had been unsustainably high.

While a pullback in imports had been expected for several months, the breakdown of the customs data shows the pain hasn’t been evenly spread amongst China’s major suppliers. Total imports in June were 18.037 million tonnes, down 22 percent from May and 19.6 percent from the same month a year earlier.

This was enough to drag the year-to-date growth in coal imports down to 13.9 percent in June from May’s 22.3 percent. The rate is also less than half the 28.7 percent jump in imports achieved in 2012 over 2011.

Part of the reason imports had been strong in the first five months of 2013 was that prices were competitive with domestic producers. Falling domestic prices as demand for power generation eased caught up with imports in June. But it’s not necessarily the higher-cost suppliers that are being squeezed out of the market.

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India eyes B.C.’s coal reserves as it ramps up steel production – by Gordon Hoekstra (Vancouver Sun – July 28, 2013)

http://www.vancouversun.com/index.html

Delegation meets with B.C.’s premier, new international trade minister

India wants to buy a bigger chunk of B.C.’s vast metallurgical coal reserves to feed its growing steel industry, a potential boost to the province’s No. 1 export business, worth $5.7 billion a year.

A high-level delegation led by India’s Steel Minister Beni Prasad Verma was in B.C. this month and met with Premier Christy Clark, International Trade Minister Teresa Wat and B.C. coal industry representatives.

The Indian government forecasts that by 2017 the country will need twice as much metallurgical coal. The additional 47 million tonnes of metallurgical coal India forecasts it’ll need every year is more than B.C.’s entire annual production of 24 million tonnes.

However, British Columbia sits on vast coal reserves of an estimated 13 billion tonnes with several proposed metallurgical coal mines in the environmental assessment process. Karina Brino, president of the Mining Association of B.C., said the province’s coal industry is paying close attention to the burgeoning Indian market.

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Good money in mining – by Hanim Adnan and Choong En Han (Malaysia Star – July 27, 2013)

http://www.thestar.com.my/

MINING in Malaysia is not the big business it used to be. Tin mining tycoons are now corporate folklore, no thanks to the collapse of the global tin market in 1985.

The industry was then overshadowed by industrialisation and the oil palm industry. Its glorious past is manifested by the oil and gas industry which is the multi-billion ringgit industry it deserves to be due to planning and the work undertaken by Petroliam Nasional Bhd.

Apart from oil and gas, minerals are being mined by small-time miners in a rather ambiguous manner in most mineral-rich states. But that is about to change. The sector is now focusing on large-scale mining of major minerals such as gold, iron ore and coal. It’s no longer the domain of tin.

Last year, iron ore topped other major minerals in terms of production with 10.7 million tonnes mined valued at RM2.02bil. That is followed by gold with 4.6 million gm (RM700.8mil), coal at 2.95 million tonnes (RM442.2mil) and tin-in-concentrate at 3.66 million tonnes (RM236.5mil) respectively.

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POSCO’s global expansion plan hits India roadblock – by Hyunjoo Jin (Reuters India – July 25, 2013)

http://in.reuters.com/

SEOUL – (Reuters) – Some investors in South Korean steelmaker POSCO are starting to sour on a long-delayed $12 billion project for a steel mill in Odisha that was once hailed as a profit driver.

The investment is part of a global expansion spree led by POSCO Group Chairman and Chief Executive Chung Joon-yang, a nearly decade-long strategy that was intended to capitalise on rapid emerging economy growth and help reduce the company’s reliance on its domestic market.

But a series of acquisitions left POSCO with a debt burden that has more than doubled over the past three years, while slowing growth in major markets such as China has hurt steel prices and margins. Last week, the steelmaker said it will bow out of a $5.3 billion steel mill development in Karnataka.

“The steel market is not in good shape, and we share investors’ concerns about the overall market conditions,” a POSCO executive told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorised to talk to the media. “The Odisha investment would be a burden to us.”

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Financial, human toll of ‘horrific’ Big Gossan accident costs FCX dearly – by Dorothy Kosich (Mineweb.com – July 24, 2013)

http://www.mineweb.com/

28 fatalities, the loss of millions of pounds of copper and thousands of ounces of gold, as well as creating a new oil & gas subsidiary, slammed FCX’s 2Q.

RENO (MINEWEB) – The tunnel collapse in a Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold training facility in Indonesia “was an incredibly horrific convergence of events that came together because of the geology of the rock and the influence of water and air on our ground support facilities, and unfortunately just happened as we were having this training meeting,” CEO Richard Adkerson told analysts during a conference call Tuesday.

On May 14th, the accident occurred at PT Freeport Indonesia, which resulted in 28 fatalities and 10 injured when the rock structure above an underground ceiling for a training facility collapsed in an unprecedented and unexpected event. While the accident occurred outside of mining operations, mining and processing activities at the Grasberg complex were temporarily suspended as Indonesian government authorities also conducted inspections.

“In the quarter, we lost roughly 125 million pounds of copper and 125,000 ounces of gold,” said Adkerson. “The full year impact will be greater than that. We estimate 230 million pounds of copper and 250,000 ounces of gold.”

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INDIA HUNTS FOR COAL IN BC (Asia Pacific Post – July 23, 2013)

http://www.asianpacificpost.com/

India has announced that it is exploring options for sourcing coal from British Columbia, including equity participation in assets and acquisition of mines just as Vancouver city council voted to ban the handling, storage and trans shipment of coal at its marine terminals and berths.

The ban, mostly symbolic, was passed as Port Metro Vancouver, the No. 2 exporter of coal in North America triggered controversy over planned expansion of its facilities. Vancouver city council has no jurisdiction over the port operations.

Even before the ink was dry on the 9 to 2 vote which aims to curb greenhouse gas emissions and set the air quality target to “breath the cleanest air of any major city in the world”, a high powered delegation from India met with British Columbia Premier Christy Clark to scour for coal resources.

The Indian delegation was led by Steel Minister Beni Prasad Verma who is looking to feed India’s steel industry which is growing at a fast pace and needs additional quantities of coking coal. “The delegation held a series of discussions with the coal asset owners and various avenues for sourcing coking coal to India to meet its ever-growing requirement were discussed,” an official statement said.

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UPDATE 2-ArcelorMittal abandons dormant Indian project – by Krishna N Das (Reuters India – July 17, 2013)

http://in.reuters.com/

NEW DELHI, July 17 (Reuters) – ArcelorMittal, the world’s top steelmaker, said it would scrap a planned steel plant in India due to delays in acquiring land and an iron ore mine, obstacles that have also caused South Korea’s POSCO to abandon plans.

The decision to scrap the planned 12 million-tonnes-a-year (MTA) plant in the eastern state of Odisha, comes a day after the world’s fifth biggest steelmaker, POSCO, said it was ditching a 6 MTA plant in the southern Karnataka state because of delays in receiving iron ore mining rights and opposition from residents which had held back land acquisition.

The failed projects will be a blow to India’s federal government, which on Tuesday relaxed foreign investment rules to draw in funds needed to turn around slowing economic growth and support a weak rupee.

ArcelorMittal India and China Chief Executive Vijay Bhatnagar said the company’s other two projects in mineral-rich states of Jharkhand and Karnataka were making “steady progress” and it would continue to pursue them.

The Jharkhand plant is expected to have an annual capacity of 12 million tonnes, while the one in Karnataka is expected to have capacity of 6 million tonnes.

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