UPDATE 1-India’s Goa should cap iron ore output at 20 mln T/yr -court panel – by Krishna N Das (Reuters India – March 26, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

NEW DELHI, March 26 (Reuters) – Iron ore production in Goa, usually India’s top exporting state of the raw ingredient for steel, should be capped at 20 million tonnes a year when an 18-month old mining ban is lifted, a court-appointed panel said, less than half peak output and curbing potential shipments to key buyer China.

But even with that limit, additional supply from Goa could further pressure iron ore prices in a global market expected to be in surplus this year as top miners boost output and Chinese demand slows.

India’s Supreme Court is likely to implement the recommendation from the panel, which it appointed in November to look at lifting the ban that was imposed to curb illegal mining. The court earlier allowed the sale of about 15 million tonnes of iron ore that had sat in a stockpile.

The panel also said in a report seen by Reuters that Goa should consider setting up a state iron ore mining company to minimise environmental damage by private miners. While analysts expect a gradual recovery in Indian iron ore exports over the next two years, the pace is likely to be modest and far from a record high of more than 117 million tonnes set in the fiscal year through March 2010.

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COLUMN-Cheaper Asian LNG depends on coal, Japan nuclear – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.K. – March 25, 2014)

http://uk.reuters.com/

(Reuters) – Asian spot liquefied natural gas prices have started their seasonal downturn after the winter peak, but how far they will fall depends on whether coal remains cheap and if Japan restarts some nuclear capacity.

LNG for May delivery was around $16.50 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), down from levels above $20 per mmBtu last month, reached as utilities re-stocked after peak winter demand. Last year, spot LNG LNG-AS fell 28 percent from the peak of $19.67 per mmBtu on Feb. 18 to a low of $14.13 on May 3.

Prices peaked at $20.50 per mmBtu on Feb. 7 this year, and a drop of a similar magnitude would see them fall to about $14.76 around May. However, much will depend on whether Japan does restart some nuclear generation, and whether it and China are willing to use cheaper coal despite the higher pollution.

None of Japan’s reactors, which used to supply about 20 percent of the nation’s electricity, are currently online, although two are now on a shortlist for a final round of safety checks.

Public scepticism remains high three years after the earthquake and tsunami that caused the destruction of the Fukushima plant, which led to the idling of nuclear generation.

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NEWS RELEASE: Royal Nickel Welcomes Construction of World’s First Processing Plant Capable of Producing Stainless Steel Directly Utilizing Nickel Sulphide Concentrate

Leading Chinese Stainless Steel Producer Tsingshan Expects to Bring Plant into Operation in 2014

Follows Strategic Alliance between Tsingshan and Royal Nickel

TORONTO, March 24, 2014 /CNW/ – Royal Nickel Corporation (TSX: RNX) (“RNC”) is pleased to report that Tsingshan Holding Group (“Tsingshan”), a party with whom RNC entered a strategic alliance in March 2013, is currently constructing the world’s first integrated nickel pig iron (“NPI”) plant to utilize nickel sulphide concentrate as part of the stainless steel production process. The plant is expected to begin operation within this year.

This significant innovation represents the first time that nickel sulphide concentrate will be directly used to create stainless steel. This innovation offers significant potential benefits to the producers of suitable nickel sulphide concentrate feed including lower costs due to simpler processing compared to traditional smelting and refining, and greater flexibility for more potential partners and customers. This plant is also expected to be possibly capable of handling nickel sulphide concentrate anticipated to be produced from RNC’s Dumont Nickel Project (“Dumont”).

Mark Selby, Interim President and CEO, commented, “The Tsingshan plant in China is an industry first and a positive development for projects such as Dumont.

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Philippine finance minister says government must get more revenue from mining – by Rosemarie Francisco and Erik dela Cruz (Reuters India – March 24, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

MANILA – (Reuters) – The Philippine finance minister said he will push mining companies to pay bigger shares of their revenue to the government even though the industry maintains that taxes are already too high and higher ones could kill the business.

Taxation of Philippine miners is a thorny issue that has delayed development of the country’s vast mineral resources. President Benigno Aquino, seeking to raise revenue from mining, has met stiff resistance.

Philippine Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima told the Reuters ASEAN Summit on Monday that the government should be getting one-half of gross revenue from mining. Last year, according to a government agency, direct state revenue from mining was worth only 2 percent of total output, though miners also pay corporate income tax of 32 percent and other fees to different agencies.

“Where I start is 50-50,” Purisima told the summit, held at the Reuters office in Manila. “The return of the government must be two-fold — as owner of the mineral, and two, as a taxing authority.”

Still, Purisima said it is the Philippine Congress that will decide the revenue-sharing formula, taking into account the industry’s position.

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Investors worried about Ukraine miss the real problem: China – by Eric Reguly (Globe and Mail – March 22, 2014)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

Rome — What’s scarier if you are an investor with an over-the-horizon view: The Ukraine crisis or the economic slowdown in China?

Blinded by the media glare, you would probably pick the Ukraine crisis, which began last month with the ousting of the country’s corrupt, pro-Moscow president and may have reached its climax this week with Russia’s annexation of Crimea – Vladimir Putin’s Anschluss moment.

But maybe the climax has yet to come. Investors in North America and the European Union are duly worried that the sanctions designed to punish Mr. Putin and his cronies will evolve into full-blown trade, investment and banking sanctions that would severely damage the Russian economy, the world’s eighth largest. Broad, punitive sanctions could in turn trigger retaliatory sanctions that could damage the fragile EU economy (less so the U.S. economy).

We got a hint of the possible mess to come on Friday, when Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev threatened to raise the price that Ukraine pays for natural gas and sue the country for $11-billion (U.S.) in arrears to Gazprom, the Russian state gas exporter.

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Investors return to Indonesia, but World Bank warns of challenges – by Peter Alford (The Australian – March 24, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/

WHILE a resumption of strong portfolio flows so far this year suggests the Indonesia story is getting renewed and favourable consideration from foreign investors, the World Bank has warned the country faces a highly challenging 2014.

The bank’s new Indonesian Economic Quarterly, pointedly titled Investment in Flux, appears as investment confidence, domestic and foreign, has got another lift from the confirmation of Jakarta governor Joko Widodo will contest, and most likely win, the 2014 presidential race.

The decision by Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle doyenne Megawati Sukarnoputri that “Jokowi” — not she — would carry the party’s banner in July lifted the Jakarta stockmarket 4 per cent in the final two hours of trade on Friday, while the currency strengthened nearly 2 per cent against the US dollar.

The 52-year-old former small businessman from Jogjakarta is perceived by investors, domestic and foreign, as by far the most market rationalist of the main candidates. A Jokowi administration is expected to promote public-private investment in critically underfunded sectors like transport infrastructure and healthcare.

The Jokowi effect reinforces strengthening sentiment about Indonesia apparent since late January, which in turn reflects significant improvements in current account deficit, government fiscal deficit and inflation outlook since the third quarter of last year.

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INSIGHT-Russia’s leading role in the Indonesian mining revolution – by Randy Fabi and Fergus Jensen (Reuters U.S. – March 23, 2014)

http://www.reuters.com/

JAKARTA, March 24 (Reuters) – Russia’s two metal giants have emerged as big winners from Indonesia’s new mining law, after leading a drive to get Jakarta to stick to its controversial mineral ore export ban in the face of opposition from miners and Asian buyers.

In its six-month lobbying campaign last year, United Company Rusal and Norilsk Nickel delivered a blunt message to Indonesian officials: We will only invest billions of dollars in smelters if you ban bauxite and nickel ore exports.

The effort seemed to have paid off, despite a denial by Indonesia that it was influenced. When the law came into effect this year, Indonesia enforced a water-tight export ban for only two major minerals – nickel ore and bauxite.

The halting of $3 billion of annual nickel ore and bauxite exports has already lifted the price of nickel and helped support aluminium, boosting the fortunes of Rusal and Norilsk, the world’s top aluminium and nickel producers, respectively.

At the same time, it has strengthened the case for the pair to invest billions of dollars in Indonesia to build smelters to replace costly capacity in Russia, a key part of a recovery plan for struggling Rusal and in line with Indonesia’s own aims to earn more from its minerals resources.

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Rio Tinto Puts Indian Women in the Driver’s Seat – by Joe Kirschke (Engineering and Mining Journal – March 19, 2014)

http://www.e-mj.com/

India is no easy place to be a woman. Despite comprising a workforce majority in the teeming nation of 1.2 billion with equal rights under a 1949 constitution, India’s women are almost universally exploited while often denied access to health, education and other basic needs. Worse, the world’s second most populous nation looms among the most dangerous places for gender-based violence.

Madhya Pradesh, one of India’s poorest regions and home to Rio Tinto’s Bunder Diamond Project, is emblematic: In 2011, the National Crime Bureau recorded 3,406 assaults against women—surely a conservative figure, and the highest rate nationwide. But while meeting local women pending development of India’s No. 1 diamond resource the year before, Rio officials noticed another grouping: dozens of raised hands at a community meeting—all hoping for driving skills.

The diversified Anglo-Australian giant is now beating the curve in empowering women in a deeply tribal, hardscrabble land booming India has long since forgotten. Through community development, moreover, Rio Tinto is bringing a Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) win-win for women in a trajectory where half marry before 18, and 60% of whom give birth within a year amid one of the highest infant mortality rates worldwide.

The story surrounding Rio’s CSR footprint in the 15 villages of 15,000 inhabitants each surrounding its Bunder site dates to 2006, two years after the discovery of porous volcanic outcroppings revealed the deposit.

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Battle over Essar-led project reflects India’s new mining pains – by Nita Bhalla (Reuters India – March 20, 2014)

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MAHAN FOREST, India (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – With an axe on one shoulder and lugging a large log over the other, Bhajandhari Kushwaha emerges from the dense Mahan forest in central India with his dog by his side after a day of foraging and wood cutting.

For Kushwaha, the timber, leaves and seeds of this centuries-old forest not only sustain his family of five, they represent a vital part of his community’s cultural identity that has suddenly come under threat from two of India’s largest mining companies.

“This forest is our life. We get everything from it,” says the 45-year-old, vowing to fight plans by Mahan Coal Ltd (MCL) – jointly owned by London-listed Essar Energy Plc (ESSR.L) and the Aditya Birla-owned Hindalco Industries Ltd (HALC.NS) – to mine part of the 1,000-square-km (385-square-mile) woods for coal. “Whatever compensation the company is offering us, we do not want it. We will fight until we die, if that’s what it takes.”

It is a sentiment shared by many villagers in this dusty corner of Madhya Pradesh, a sign of growing popular resistance spurred by a new forest law that gives people a greater say over how natural resources are exploited.

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PRESS RELEASE: Jinchuan International (02363.HK) Announces Annual Results for the Year Ended 31 December 2013

Revenue Increased by 21.2% to Approximately US$742.2 million

Profit Attributable to the Owners Increased approximately 354.7% to Approximately US$203.9 Million

Hong Kong, Mar 20, 2014 – (ACN Newswire) – Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd (the “Company”, together with its subsidiaries, collectively referred to “the Group” or “Jinchuan International”, Stock Code: 2362) today announced its annual results for the year ended 31 December 2013 (the period under review)*. For the year ended 31 December 2013, the Group’s revenue amounted to approximately US$742.2 million (2012: US$612.2 million), representing a significant increase of approximately 21.2%. This increase in revenue was due to the Group’s increased sales of copper from its operating mines and also the increase in trade volume from its international trade. Profit attributable to the owners of the company increased for approximately 354.7% to approximately US$203.9 million. Basic earnings per share was US cents 4.69 (2012: US cents 1.05 ). The Directors do not recommend final dividend for the year ended 31 December 2013.

Mr. Yang Zhiqiang, the Chairman of Jinchuan Group and the Chairman of the Board of the Directors and Chief Executive Officer of Jinchuan International said, “2013 was a landmark year for the Group’s transformation into a global metal mining company. To in line with the Company’s strategy to transform its business to the mineral and metal resources sector, the Group had completed acquisition from Jinchuan Group of a high grade copper and cobalt mining asset in Africa and had achieved turning its core business into a pure mining play, with its growing international metal related trading to support a steady revenue stream for the Group. The Group will continue to maintain high profitability through competitive differentiation strategies of copper business, to further optimize market segment and to broaden the scope of application of special copper metal.”

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China doomsayers misguided and will be proven wrong – Vale CEO – by Juan Pablo Spinetto & David Biller (Mineweb.com/Bloomberg – March 20, 2014)

http://www.mineweb.com/

Vale CEO, Murilo Ferreira, says investors betting against China and its demand for iron ore from the company will be proven wrong.

Investors betting against China and the nation’s demand for iron-ore from top producer Vale SA will be proven wrong, Chief Executive Officer Murilo Ferreira said.

“The biggest enemy to our share price is a certain belief that China will be over,” Ferreira said during a presentation in Sao Paulo today. “They are once more betting against China as they did in 2004, 2005, 2006 and beyond and I think that people are going to fail again with their projections.”

Shares of Vale, which ships about half its iron ore and pellets to China, dropped to a five-year low earlier this month on concern a possible economic slowdown in the biggest buyer of the mineral will hurt sales. Iron-ore entered a bear market on March 7, losing 23 percent from a five-month high in August through today, as Australian miners including Rio Tinto Group boost supply and China tightens monetary conditions.

The world’s third-largest mining company has underperformed its main peers in the stock market for the past year as weakening demand growth in China and a multibillion-dollar tax dispute with Brazil weighed on investors’ confidence.

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Jeb Handwerger: China Isn’t Slowing Down, It’s Buying Up (Resources, that Is) – Interview by Tom Armistead (The Energy Report – March 18, 2014)

http://www.theaureport.com/

Headlines about a Chinese economic slowdown may get good web traffic, but the real story is that China is buying up uranium and other resources around the world, says Gold Stock Trades writer Jeb Handwerger. Meanwhile, tensions in Russia highlight the massive country’s resource dominance in natural gas, oil, uranium, platinum group metals, rare earths and nickel. Handwerger tells The Mining Report that North America is already acting to develop resources that can meet both domestic and international demand—and this global geopolitical uncertainty is an investment opportunity.

The Mining Report: Jeb, how will the companies you follow be affected by the crisis in the Ukraine and the growing tensions in East Asia over China’s claims on islands held by Japan and the Philippines?

Jeb Handwerger: This is really all about natural resources and the ability to control the trade. There’s a whole list of 10 to 15 strategic minerals that come from China almost exclusively. Russia, on the other hand, has a major control on palladium, platinum group metals and nickel, as well some of the agricultural fertilizers, such as potash. Russia also has a critical supply of uranium; it produces about 3,000 tons of uranium, close to double United States production of uranium. Not only that, but Russia has strategic ties with Kazakhstan, which produces close to 20,000 tons of uranium—over 36% of global supply.

I’ve written for years that these metals and these materials are at risk of critical supply shortfall.

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Australian Nickel Processor Eyes Indonesian Ore Piles – by James Regan (Jakarta Globe – March 18, 2014)

http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/

Perth. At a small plant on the outskirts of Perth, metallurgists have been turning raw ore shipped from top Indonesian nickel miner Aneka Tambang (Antam) into a concentrate to meet the country’s new export guidelines.

After a year of tests, Australia’s Direct Nickel says it has now entered into a joint venture with Antam for a feasibility study on building a full-scale plant on Indonesia’s Halmahera island using its new nitric acid-based technology.

The agreement comes as Antam struggles to meet Indonesia’s tough new export rules, which prevent the company from shipping raw mineral ore to Chinese nickel pig iron producers and instead demand it processes the ore before export.

“We could not have asked for a better time to start planning our first commercial plant in Indonesia,” said Direct Nickel Chief Executive Russell Debney. Antam has warned its nickel ore production could fall by as much as 87 percent this year as sales to China dry up due to the ban.

“What they want now is cheaper alternatives to enable them to apply to the government for concessions to keep exporting,” Debney said.

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World Bank scornful of Indonesia’s mineral ore ban – by Jonathan Thatcher (Reuters India – March 18, 2014)

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JAKARTA – (Reuters) – The World Bank delivered a blunt assessment of Indonesia ban on mineral ore exports on Tuesday, warning that it would hit trade and government revenue and risked undermining already weak investor sentiment towards Southeast Asia’s biggest economy.

Implemented in January, five years after the law was initially passed, the ban has been met with confusion in the mining sector.

It was introduced to encourage mineral processing in Indonesia in order to increase the value of exports. But, one group of mining companies has mounted a legal challenge, warning that the ban on exports will force them out of business.

“The long term gains are at best uncertain,” Jakarta-based World Bank economist Jim Brumby said, adding there were no success stories elsewhere in the world where countries had tried to impose similar bans.

Brumby was speaking at the launch of the Bank’s quarterly economic report. The World Bank estimated that for the period 2014-2017, the negative impact on net trade could be $12.5 billion because of the loss of export revenue while capital goods imports, to build smelting capacity, will have to rise.

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Juniors jump at chance in Mongolia – by Sarah-Jane Tasker (The Australian – March 18, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

MONGOLIA — a landlocked country in central Asia — boomed as the resources cycle peaked but just as quickly as the investment flooded in, it flowed out as the government radically changed the rules.

MONGOLIA — a landlocked country in central Asia — boomed as the resources cycle peaked but just as quickly as the investment flooded in, it flowed out as the government radically changed the rules.

Now, after years of largely being ignored by foreign investors, the country is trying to win favour with the global resources sector with another change of its rules — but this time in a move to say it is open for business.

David Paull, who heads junior Aspire Mining, has witnessed the rise and fall of Mongolia’s appeal in the competitive global resources space. Having penned an exploration deal in the country in October 2009, just weeks before a government agreement for the massive Oyu Tolgoi project was signed, Paull has been front row for the roller-coaster ride.

“It was a very hot environment, then it got extremely cold from mid-2012 onwards and that coincided with the fading of the global commodities boom,” he says.

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