Twitter

Asia Mining

China’s Baosteel in $1 billion bid to revive Australia iron ore project – by Sonali Paul (Reuters U.S. – May 5, 2014)

http://www.reuters.com/

SYDNEY – (Reuters) – Chinese steel giant Baosteel Resources and an Australian partner launched a $1 billion takeover bid for Australian explorer Aquila Resources in a move that could help break the grip of mega iron ore exporters Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton.

Monday’s unsolicited A$1.14 billion ($1.06 billion) offer to take over Aquila Resources Ltd (AQA.AX) could open up a new Australian iron ore export region to supply Asian steelmakers, by jumpstarting the $7 billion West Pilbara Iron Ore project (WPIO), half-owned by Aquila.

State-owned Baosteel’s move would be the biggest foray into an undeveloped iron ore project in Australia by a Chinese investor since CITIC Pacific’s (0267.HK) $10 billion Sino Iron project, which began producing last year after massive cost blowouts and delays.

Baosteel, which already has a 20 percent stake in Aquila, said it first invested in the company back in 2009 to help it fund the iron ore project and a separate coking coal mine.

“But after five years we haven’t seen any projects being started. So we have been very patient, but we’ve become frustrated,” chief financial officer Wu Yiming told reporters on a conference call from Sydney.

Read more

UPDATE 2-S.Africa’s Harmony Gold scales back Papua-New Guinea project – by Ed Stoddard (Reuters India – May 6, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

JOHANNESBURG, May 5 (Reuters) – South Africa’s Harmony Gold has scaled back the size and expenditure on building its Papua New Guinea Wafi-Golpu mine, enabling it to raise funding for the project, its chief executive said.

The gold and copper project, a joint venture with Newcrest Mining, sits on deposits with a metal content estimated to be worth $85 billion at current prices. The plans unveiled in 2012 called for spending of almost $6 billion to develop it.

The mining firm is now looking at a “significantly lower capex, something that will be well within our reach to fund”, CEO Graham Briggs told Reuters on Tuesday, after Harmony released its results for the March quarter.

“August is the time when we will be able to release more information on that,” he added. Harmony has scaled back its original plans as mining investors globally have shied away from big capital expenditures on projects in the face of rising costs and falling prices.

“The timing of big builds and the raising of that sort of money, and debt levels and shareholder views changed our minds, and now we are talking about a significantly smaller mine,” Briggs said.

Read more

Nickel price rise: too much too soon says new report – by Frik Els (Mining.com – May 5, 2014)

http://www.mining.com/

Indonesia surprised the mining world in January putting into effect an outright ban on nickel ore exports.

After a relatively subdued initial reaction on nickel markets – no-one thought the Asian nation would go through with the ban and when it did, the expectation was that the rules would be water down substantially – the price of the steelmaking raw material is now up 32% in 2014.

Indonesia accounted for around a fifth of global supply at an estimated 400,000 tonnes of contained metal so the potential was there for a big impact on the price.

But record inventories around the globe (hitting 285,000 tonnes in March), massive stockpiling by China’s nickel pig iron producers ahead of the ban, and years of growing mine supply (11% per year since 2009 to 2 million tonnes), kept the price near financial crisis levels by the end of January.

Traders only really entered panic mode when supply from the world’s largest producer Norilsk was also put in danger due to the possibility of sanctions against the Russian company over the crisis in Ukraine.

Read more

Indonesia needs to tackle infrastructure hurdles to build on its youthful potential – by Jim O’Neil (Emerging Markets.org – May 2, 2014)

http://www.emergingmarkets.org/

Jim O’Neill is Visiting Research Fellow to BRUEGEL and Economic Advisor to the International Finance Corporation

Indonesians probably have the most justifiable gripe of any nation, along with Mexico, not to be included in the Bric group that I dreamt up in 2001.

Indonesia has a larger population than two of the four Bric nations, Brazil and Russia, and of course, it has a remarkably youthful population also, with demographic dynamics that give its growth potential a lot of hope in the next couple of decades.

These basic attractions are partly what led me to thinking of the notion of an additional group of emerging economies to focus on: the so-called Mint countries; Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey. Each of these has the potential to be a significant part of the world economy if not quite as important as the Bric economies. I define a Bric in a global context these days, as an emerging economy that if not already 3% of global GDP or more, one that has that clear potential in the next decade or two. For the Mint economies, I think of them as emerging economies that either are, or have the potential to be somewhere between 1%–2% of global GDP.

Read more

Chinalco Mining sets sights on copper projects in Latin America – by Eric Ng (South China Morning Post – April 25, 2014)

http://www.scmp.com/business/commodities

Metal unit keen on copper projects in Peru with its huge potential and friendly environment

Chinalco Mining, the non-ferrous and non-aluminium metals unit of aluminium giant Chinalco, is seeking acquisition opportunities in Latin America for copper projects with long-term return rates of more than 10 per cent.

Chief executive Peng Huaisheng said the region presented more development potential, especially Peru, where the company has been developing the Toromocho copper project since 2007.

“Our understanding is that Peru offers greater potential within Latin America,” he said. “Peru has a strategy to catch up with Chile in metals and mining development, so it provides an overseas-investor-friendly investment environment.”

Chile is the world’s largest producer and resource holder of copper, which is used widely in the power distribution and construction sectors. China imports about 70 per cent of its raw copper ore needs. Hong Kong-listed Chinalco Mining’s US$3.5 billion Toromocho project, about 140 kilometres from Lima, started trial commercial production in December.

Read more

COLUMN-Indonesia to make it even harder for foreign miners – by Clyde Russell (Reuters India – April 23, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters columnist. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, April 23 (Reuters) – Indonesia’s decision to start cancelling investment treaties with 62 countries has passed with little comment, but the move may have a greater impact than the recent banning of mineral ore exports.

Indonesia last month kick-started the process of terminating all of its bilateral treaties by notifying the Netherlands that its agreement to protect and promote investment would end in 2015, and signalling that the others would end as soon as possible.

The agreements, which are common between states, protect the rights of investors in each other’s country, and typically include clauses about fair treatment, no expropriation and guarantees that profits can be repatriated.

Most importantly for many investors in countries like Indonesia, with its patchy record on legal certainty, is the right of appeal to the Washington-based International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID).

Among the countries that have treaties with Indonesia are major foreign investors including China, India, Australia, Britain, Singapore and Russia. However, the United States and Japan are among nations that don’t have agreements.

Read more

Teck Resources Ltd to cut 600 jobs, warns current coal supply is ‘uneconomic’ – by Peter Koven (National Post – April 23, 2014)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

TORONTO – Steelmaking coal producers have started to slash production in response to lower prices, but Teck Resources Ltd. is warning that a lot more supply needs to be cut by high-cost rivals to bring the market into balance.

“Prices are currently at their lowest level since 2007, and margins are at their lowest level in 10 years,” chief executive Don Lindsay said on a conference call Tuesday. “We continue to be surprised there remains so much uneconomic coal supply on the market.”

Vancouver-based Teck announced on Tuesday that it will cut roughly 600 jobs as it tries to reduce costs and adapt to lower commodity prices, particularly for coal. The company’s realized coal price in the first quarter was US$131 a tonne; by comparison, Teck sold its steelmaking (or coking) coal for an average of US$257 a tonne in 2011.

The market has gotten even worse in recent weeks. The benchmark price for the second quarter is just US$120 a tonne, while spot prices have flirted with US$100.

Prices are falling because of concerns about rising production, slowing growth in China and the fact the Chinese government is closing some the country’s dirtiest steel mills to reduce air pollution.

Read more

COLUMN-Everybody but the curve thinks iron ore is going down – by Clyde Russell (Reuters India – April 22, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

(Reuters) – It’s hard to find any bullish predictions for iron ore prices, with the consensus being that it will drop to below $100 a tonne. Except this isn’t reflected in the financial markets.

The latest bearish signal for iron ore is the decision by an Indian court to allow the mining of 20 million tonnes per annum in the state of Goa, most of which will end up on the export markets.

While this isn’t enough ore to cause prices to slump, it adds to the overall growth in supply, which is widely expected to overwhelm growth in demand, especially as top buyer China’s economy loses some momentum. But despite the bearish outlook, the actual pricing for iron ore, both in the spot and futures markets, is holding up well.

Asian spot prices .IO62-CNI=SI were $113.30 a tonne on Monday, down 15.6 percent so far this year. But they are up 8.2 percent from the year low of $104.70 on March 10 and 31 percent above the 2012 low of $86.70, which was the weakest price for three years.

But more importantly than the spot market, the main paper markets are also showing pricing resilience. The curve for Singapore iron ore swaps <0#SGXIOS:> has a good track record of pointing to turns in market pricing.

Read more

Rio’s Oyu Tolgoi woes deepen – by Matt Chambers (The Australian – April 22, 2014)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

MONGOLIA has stepped up criticism of Rio Tinto over continuing delays to expansion of the pair’s $US11.5 billion ($12.3bn) Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine, revealing a big divide still stands in the way of the profitable second stage of the giant mine.

In a letter to Rio chief Sam Walsh leaked to the Mongolian press at the weekend, Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag chided Rio over behind-the-scenes moves to declare it was seeking an end-of-year extension to project financing for the $US5.1bn underground expansion of Oyu Tolgoi.

Lenders’ commitments for a $US3.6bn financing package for the stalled expansion expired last month because Rio and the government could not agree on Mongolia’s take from the project, access to water, and a $US2bn cost blowout on the first-stage ­expansion.

The disagreement threatens to derail the underground expansion of the project, which is where most of the value is set to be ­realised. The March 27 letter from Mr Altankhuyag, who has declared Mongolia is ready to wrap up the funding, shows the government is unhappy with Rio’s public statements on the project.

Read more

Indonesian ban on unprocessed ore exports may help Vale – (CBC News Sudbury – April 17, 2014)

http://www.cbc.ca/sudbury/

A new commodities report projects a boost in the price of nickel over the next three years — and that will have an impact on mining companies in Sudbury.

The projected price hike is connected to what’s happening overseas in Indonesia, where that country recently put a ban on exports of unprocessed ore—an effort to encourage foreign investment in domestic refining activity.

The country produces about 28 per cent of the world’s nickel, so its withdrawal from the global market marks a significant drop in supply. Recent nickel prices have reflected this new reality, as it reached a six-month high this week at $8.11/lb.

“I have revised upward my price forecast for 2015 to $9 a pound,” said Patricia Mohr, a commodities specialist with Scotiabank.  “We started this year at prices just a little above $6, so it does represent quite an improvement.”

Miner Vale has operations in Indonesia, but spokesperson Cory McPhee said the company won’t be affected by the ban. “We’re a company that actually produces a refined nickel product in Indonesia,” he said.

Read more

Even in this market, miners see assets worth overpaying for – by Brian Milner (Globe and Mail – April 17, 2014)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

The bargain-hunters scouring the mining world for dirt-cheap acquisitions must be getting frustrated. The battle for Osisko Mining Corp. in Quebec and a Chinese company’s full-price purchase of a Peruvian copper mine show that softer demand, weaker prices and the pounding many miners have taken in the stock market aren’t pushing producers to part with valuable core assets for chump change.

Miners’ willingness to hang tough suggests the battered sector has reached a bottom. Producers are willing to wait and for good reason – there is an increased willingness among potential buyers to pay top dollar for high-quality assets.

In the Osisko case, Yamana Gold Inc. and Agnico Eagle Gold Inc. have reached a friendly deal to buy the Montreal-based gold miner for $3.9-billion and divvy up its assets. The stock and cash offer works out to $8.15 a share, 11 per cent above a revised bid from Goldcorp Inc.

Goldcorp sweetened its original hostile offer by about $1-billion to $3.6-billion when it became apparent that Osisko wasn’t about to be low-balled on its prized Canadian Malartic mine in Quebec.

Read more

COLUMN-China economic data shows trend to less-intensive commodity use – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.K. – April 16, 2014)

http://uk.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters columnist. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, April 16 (Reuters) – China’s economic growth data contains a short-term positive and longer-term negative for commodity demand in the world’s largest user of raw materials.

The positive is that gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 1.4 percent in the first quarter is soft enough to justify the mini-stimulus spending on infrastructure planned by the authorities.

While many in the market will focus on the year-on-year GDP growth of 7.4 percent being ahead of the market consensus for 7.3 percent, the more important figure is the quarterly outcome. If annualised, this would come in at 5.8 percent, well below the government’s target for 7.5 percent growth.

Even a mini-stimulus that boosts spending on rail and other infrastructure would be positive for demand for major commodities, such as iron ore, copper, crude oil and coal. There are, of course, risks to the short-term outlook in the form of a crackdown on using commodities as collateral for financing deals.

Read more

Canada knew nuclear deal with China could be seen as ‘weak’: Docs – by Carl Meyer (Embassy News – April 16, 2014)

http://www.embassynews.ca/

Briefing notes say even though safeguards changed, non-proliferation policy would still be achieved.

After a major Canadian uranium mining firm landed deals with Chinese state-owned enterprises, the Harper government met several times with the firm and then announced a new protocol to ship raw Canadian uranium directly to China—even though it knew the protocol’s safeguards could be perceived as “weak,” government documents show.

Nuclear disarmament advocates fear the new scheme is an example of commerce driving policy in Ottawa. They say it could set a precedent that countries can establish workarounds to international nuclear security standards if the status quo was seen to be restricting potential trade.

“Commercial interests, as important as they are, must be shaped and constrained by non-proliferation considerations,” said Cesar Jaramillo, program officer for space security and nuclear disarmament at Waterloo-based Project Ploughshares.

But Canada says the deal with China will ensure Canadian uranium is used only for “strictly peaceful, non-military purposes” and that the new requirements are “appropriate to the level of the proliferation risks involved.” The Chinese Embassy also assured Canadians that its nuclear facilities are safe and under control.

Read more

UPDATE 2-BHP and Australian rivals raise iron ore targets as competition grows – by James Regan (Reuters India – April 16, 2014)

http://in.reuters.com/

SYDNEY, April 16 (Reuters) – Australian miners are racing ahead with plans to expand iron ore production to capture more of the Chinese market for the steelmaking ingredient, amid strong competition from the world’s biggest supplier Vale of Brazil.

Efforts to beat already ambitious output targets comes as a crackdown in China on using commodities as collateral to raise cash risks unleashing iron ore sales from tens of millions of tonnes sitting in Chinese port warehouses, pressuring prices.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd, which is raising production 57 percent this year, says its needs iron ore prices to stay between $110-$120 a tonne for the next 12-18 months in order to pay off a targeted $2.5 billion in debt.

The Australian Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics forecast an average price of $110 a tonne this year but only $103 a tonne in 2015. By 2016, Citigroup sees the price falling to $80.

Iron ore was quoted at $117.10 .IO62-CNI=SI on Wednesday. BHP, the world’s biggest diversified mining company, on Wednesday lifted full-year iron ore production guidance by 5 million tonnes to 217 million as it pushes ahead with new mine work in Australia.

Read more

World Gold Council Press Release: NEW REPORT PREDICTS SUSTAINED STRONG GOLD DEMAND IN CHINA IN NEXT FOUR YEARS

http://www.gold.org/

Follow the World Gold Council @GOLDCOUNCIL and download the full report at http://www.gold.org/supply-and-demand/china-report

New York, 15 April 2014 – A major report published today by the World Gold Council “China’s gold market: progress and prospects” suggests that private sector demand for gold in China is set to increase from the current level of 1,132 tonnes(t)[1] per year to at least 1,350t by 2017[2]. Following the record level of Chinese demand in 2013, which saw the country become the world’s largest gold market, the report suggests that while 2014 is likely to see consolidation, the succeeding years are likely to see sustained growth.

The report examines the factors that have driven China’s rise to become the number one producer and consumer of gold since the market began liberalising in the late 1990s. It also highlights why despite this steep growth in demand, the market will continue to expand, irrespective of short term blips in the economy.

The next six years will see China’s middle class grow by over 60%, or 200m people, to a total of 500 million. Comparing this to the total population of the US, which stands at 319m, puts the size of this new market of affluent consumers, with the propensity to buy gold, in perspective.

In addition to these newly emerging middle classes, rising real incomes, a deepening pool of private savings and rapid urbanisation across China suggest that the outlook for gold jewellery and investment demand in the next four years will remain strong.

Read more