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JOHANNESBURG — Zambia’s government is under mounting pressure to reverse a royalty hike that could trigger thousands of layoffs at a copper mine owned by Barrick Gold Corp., but a rollback is unlikely until after an election this month, analysts say.
Trade unions, business groups and opposition politicians are pressing for a reversal of the sharp increase in the royalty rate on open-pit mining in Zambia. At least 12,000 jobs are in jeopardy across the mining sector in Africa’s second-biggest copper-producing nation, according to the Chamber of Miles of Zambia.
“It has created a lot of anxiety among Zambian workers,” said Nevers Mumba, one of the three leading presidential candidates in the Jan. 20 election. “Other investors could pull out of Zambia,” he said in an interview.
“There’s a risk of a run in that sector. I’m concerned about the ripple effect – it could have a terrible impact.” Under the new tax regime, which took effect on Jan. 1, the royalty on open-pit mining has tripled to 20 per cent, compared to the previous rate of 6 per cent.
Barrick and First Quantum Minerals Ltd. are among the Canadian mining companies that will be heavily affected by Zambia’s higher royalty rates. Barrick and First Quantum are two of the biggest foreign investors and private employers in Zambia.
Because of the royalty increase, Barrick has announced that it will suspend operations at its Lumwana copper mine, which employs 4,000 workers. The company says it will begin laying off workers in early March and will idle the mine by June.
Barrick acquired the mine through its troubled $7.3-billion purchase of Equinox Minerals in 2011. The acquisition has driven down Barrick’s stock and led to a series of writedowns, wiping out most of the mine’s value.
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