Before this decade is over, there is a reasonable chance that India and Brazil will be larger than the UK
Earlier this month, the political leaders of the so-called Brics countries, who were meeting in the city of Fortaleza in northern Brazil, announced plans to set up a joint development bank. The new institution will be headquartered in Shanghai, run by an Indian president, and backed by $100bn (£59bn) of capital.
It is two years since this idea was first mooted. If nothing else the plans demonstrate that these extremely diverse countries can agree on something quite specific if they put their minds to it. It is a development that I have more than a passing interest in, having coined the BRIC acronym – for Brazil, Russia, India and China – back in 2001. So how significant is the launch of this new institution?
Some have suggested that it will start vying for influence with the World Bank and could mark the beginning of the demise of the global order that has existed since the end of the Second World War. Well, maybe. Much will depend on the remit of the Brics bank and how the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund respond. It is worth noting that the IMF issued a statement welcoming the new organisation. I suspect that neither it nor the World Bank will see the Brics bank as direct competition. After all, there are already the Asian and African development banks, and many countries have their own versions – the BRICS countries included.
The first article I wrote that included the Bric acronym (South Africa has since been added to make it Brics but the country was never part of my economic vision) was called “The World Needs Better Economic Brics”.