Polish Coal Miners Ride Solidarity Legacy to Oblivion – by Ladka Mortkowitz and BauerovaMarek Strzelecki (Bloomberg News – March 6, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

(Bloomberg) — For decades, Polish coal miners have enjoyed benefits that are the envy of their working class countrymen: An annual bonus of two months’ pay regardless of performance, company-sponsored holidays, retirement before 50, and no weekend shifts. Today, that legacy of the communist era threatens the mostly state-owned mining sector and is digging a hole in the national budget.

To understand why reform remains elusive, take a drive through Upper Silesia, the coal-rich region in southern Poland that’s home to two dozen mines. The snowy countryside, drained of color in the feeble winter light, is framed by smoking chimney stacks and elevator towers that haul coal up from the pits.

Even as European coal prices have fallen by half in recent years and producers have struggled, powerful unions have foiled government attempts to close failing operations, cut jobs, and restore the sector to profitability. In January, the Economy Ministry cautioned that without significant restructuring Kompania Weglowa SA — the European Union’s largest coal producer — risked bankruptcy.

With their historical ties to Lech Walesa’s Solidarity, Poland’s roughly 100,000 miners are clinging to their jobs. Their unions’ links to the 1980’s movement mean they can easily forge alliances across the political spectrum — and threaten any reform-minded government with widespread strikes.

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Copper faces looming supply gap – Teck Resources – by Simon Rees (MiningWeekly.com – March 5, 2015)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

TORONTO (miningweekly.com) – The level of new copper output will be unable to plug a supply gap that could develop as early as 2017, Canadian diversified miner Teck Resources manager for market research Michael Schwartz told an audience at the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada 2015 convention.

Teck had calculated that the average yearly rate of copper demand growth would reach 2.7% in the coming years. This equated to about 680 000 t of new supply being required each year, a level producers would be unable to match.

This supply/demand fundamental was in stark contrast with copper’s performance over the past 12 months, with Schwartz noting that Wood McKenzie had recorded a 300 000 t surplus for 2014. “Although we are showing a balanced market to a slight deficit,” he added.

The overhang had been reflected in the red metal’s price, which was currently hovering at around $2.65/lb, compared with a 52-week high of about $3.25/lb. Producers with cost-of-production rates above $2.50/lb would continue to struggle, Schwartz pointed out.

Disruption to output, which offered price support depending on its severity, would become an increasingly important issue as the industry mined lower-grade zones in remoter areas.

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Iron Ore Sinks as China Ushers in Slower Growth – by Rhiannon Hoyle (Wall street Journal – March 6, 2015)

http://www.wsj.com/

Iron ore prices crash to six-year low after China lowers its growth forecast

SYDNEY—As China’s top officials heralded a new era of slower growth, iron ore, a resource that has powered years of breakneck expansion in the world’s second-largest economy, bore the brunt of ill sentiment in commodity markets.

The steelmaking ingredient’s value crashed to a six-year low late Thursday, after China lowered its economic growth forecast, reigniting concerns about its appetite for the raw material at a time when supplies are already outpacing demand.

Some of the world’s biggest miners, including Rio Tinto PLC and BHP Billiton Ltd. , have been aggressively expanding their operations in the Pilbara iron-ore mining hub of northwest Australia, betting that China will still need more of the commodity to make steel for its skyscrapers and for industries such as auto manufacturing.

But with China’s growth already slowing, their expansion has resulted in an emerging iron ore glut.

Beijing has now further rattled the market by lowering China’s annual growth forecast to 7%–down from last year’s goal of about 7.5%, and actual growth of 7.4%. Chinese leaders are now talking of a “new normal” for the economy.

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Realizing the Indian Dream – by Jim O’Neill (Project Syndicate – March 5, 2015)

http://www.project-syndicate.org/

NEW DELHI – It is not often that I get to wear two hats at once. But that is exactly what happened earlier this month, when I spent a few days in New Delhi.

I was in India primarily as part of my current role as Chairman of a review for the British prime minister on anti-microbial resistance (AMR). But my visit coincided with the presentation of India’s 2015-2016 budget, the first under Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Given some of my other interests and experiences, I found what was presented to be very interesting.

Following recent revisions to its GDP figures, India’s economy has recently grown – in real terms – slightly faster than China’s. A key feature of my research into the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) more than ten years ago was that at some point during this decade, India would start to grow faster than China and continue to do so for dozens of years.

The reasoning is straightforward. India’s demographics are considerably better than China’s, and the size and growth rate of a country’s workforce is one of the two key factors that drive long-term economic performance – the other being productivity. Between now and 2030, the growth rate of India’s workforce will add as much to the existing stock of labor as continental Europe’s four largest economies put together.

India is less urbanized than China, and it is in the early stages of benefiting from the virtuous forces that normally accompany that process.

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Glencore transitioning into deficit in most commodities – Glasenberg – by Martin Creamer (MiningWeekly.com – March 3, 2015)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

JOHANNESBURG (miningweekly.com) – Diversified major Glencore was transitioning into deficit in most of the commodities it produced, CEO Ivan Glasenberg said on Tuesday.

Glasenberg, who has presided over returning $9.3-billion to shareholders in dividends and buybacks since 2011, told analysts and media in teleconferences in which Creamer Media’s Mining Weekly Online took part that most of the company’s commodities were free of oversupply threats.

“In most of our commodities, there’s no big supply coming into the market,” he said, adding that some of its commodities were already in deficit.

“We’re pretty comfortable we’re in the right commodities, which should bode well for the future,” he said, outlining how the company had returned $3.3-billion to shareholders during 2014.

Both a miner and a marketer, Glencore did far better than its peers in the 12 months to December 31, with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) of $12.8-billion only 2% down on 2013.

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Layoffs and empty streets as Australia’s boom towns go bust – by Rebekah Kebede (Reuters India – March 6, 2015)

http://in.reuters.com/

(Reuters) – When Probo Junio got a visa to work in Australia, he thought he had won a ticket to the good life.

In 2013, the 45-year-old boilermaker left his hometown of Cebu in the Philippines, where he was getting paid about $10 a day, to work in Karratha in Western Australia for $30 an hour. Enough to support his relatives and build a new life Down Under.

What Junio didn’t expect was that Australia’s booming resources industry would go bust less than two years later, taking his job, and leaving him just 60 days to find work or go home.

“It’s very difficult because most of the companies don’t want 457 visa holders,” he said, referring to temporary permits for skilled workers.

Across the country, people like Junio are falling victim to downsizing. Jobs, once plentiful and well paid, are scarce. Real estate prices in boom towns are sinking and even the notoriously high coffee prices in mining capital Perth have leveled off at under $4.

Prices of iron ore and coal, the country’s two biggest export earners, have plunged during the last two years amid falling demand from China, in the wake of its economic slowdown.

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Iron ore glut hits new highs – by Sarah-Jane Tasker (The Australian – March 6, 2015)

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business

PORT Hedland, the world’s largest bulk-export terminal, shipped the most iron ore on a daily basis last month as suppliers increased output through the facility despite the slump in prices.

The latest statistics from the port showed monthly throughput of 48.8 million tonnes of the steelmaking commodity in February — a 6.2 million tonne, or 14.8 per cent, jump on the same period last year. Actual iron ore exports for the month hit 35.6 million tonnes, a 28 per cent hike on last February’s tally.

The push by Rio Tinto, BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals to increase tonnes into an oversupplied market has continued at a steady pace over the past few years. But the new supply is now hitting the market at a time when the price of the steelmaking commodity continues to fall and China forecasts its slowest growth in more than a decade.

A total of 1.27 million tonnes of iron ore was shipped from Port Hedland each day in February, according to Bloomberg. That surpassed the previous high of 1.21 million tonnes a day in September.

West Australian Premier Colin Barnett has previously accused the major miners of seemingly acting in “concert” with their new supply keeping the iron ore price at record lows, which is hitting his state’s budget.

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Thirty-three miners dead after pit blast in east Ukraine – by Maria Tsvetkova (Reuters U.S.A.- March 4, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

DONETSK, Ukraine – (Reuters) – Thirty-three miners were confirmed dead late on Wednesday after a coal mine blast in the rebel-held city of Donetsk near the battle front in eastern Ukraine, indicating no one trapped in the rubble survived.

Mine officials said the explosion was most likely caused by gas and not fighting in the war between Moscow-backed rebels and Ukraine government forces. Nevertheless, Kiev suggested the war had made the disaster worse, accusing the separatists of holding up a rescue effort by restricting access.

Outside the gates of the Zasyadko mine, about 30 relatives clamored for information about any survivors. Sergei Baldayev, a miner injured in the blast, mingled with the crowd, his face covered in scratches and one arm hanging motionless by his side, the result of a broken collarbone.

The sister of one miner who was in the pit at the time of the explosion, Alexei Novoselsky, stood in tears. “Tell me, are there survivors? Why are you concealing the truth?” she asked as a rescue worker tried to calm her. The Donetsk regional administration said 16 injured people were in hospital.

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From prime rib to chips and dip: Lean times at mining’s annual conference – by Susan Taylor and Euan Rocha (Reuters U.K. – March 4, 2015)

http://uk.reuters.com/

(Reuters) – When the world’s miners head for Toronto each year to attend their industry’s annual conference, they arrive with certain expectations. They’re accustomed to finding oyster bars, rowdy parties, open bars with high-end liquor and elegant hotel suites.

But this year’s gathering of the Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) is a more subdued affair, with lavish spreads and grand lodgings increasingly giving way to cheese platters and Airbnb rentals.

After a years-long downturn in the mining sector – and with little relief in sight – the 2015 convention, which runs through Wednesday, has lost some of its glitz.

“We’re seeing far less prime rib, far more chips, far more salsa,” said Benjamin Cox, chief executive of explorer Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (BAY.V). “I’m really depressed that I have to drink bourbon versus single malt scotch, it just doesn’t do it for me.”

Striking a more serious note, Cox also summed up the overall mood of the miners: “Everyone is panicked in the industry. If you are not humbled this year, whether you work for a major or a junior or anyone in-between, you are insane.”

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UPDATE 2-Trading cushions Glencore from commodity price plunge – by Silvia Antonioli (Reuters India – March 3, 2015)

http://in.reuters.com/

LONDON, March 3 (Reuters) – A 15 percent rise in earnings at Glencore’s trading division partially offset a hit last year from the slide in commodity prices, leaving the mining company’s core profit just two percent lower.

Swiss-based Glencore makes about a quarter of its earnings from commodities trading, which differentiates it from mining rivals and has allowed it to withstand a steep fall in oil and metal prices slightly better than its peers.

Glencore posted 2014 adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $12.8 billion, in line with expectations. Earnings at its trading division rose to $3.0 while mining earnings fell 7 percent to $9.8 billion.

The company has also been helped by its relatively small exposure to iron ore, the first major commodity to start a violent downward spiral two years ago.

Still, the more widespread slide in oil and metals prices last year forced Glencore to take a $1.1 billion accounting hit, with about half stemming from a pause in the development of iron ore projects it inherited from Xstrata in 2013.

The rest of the charge was largely due to an oil exploration project in Cameroon and lower platinum prices.

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Chilean Mining Minister Seeks to Reassure Miners on Water – by Alistair MacDonald (Wall Street Journal – March 1, 2015)

http://www.wsj.com/

The Chilean government is seeking to reassure mining companies that it has no intention of forcing miners to run their mines using a desalinated water supply, the country’s minister of mining said, in news that may come as a relief to a mining industry that has seen increased demands on it in developing markets.

In recent decades, Chile has built a reputation as being the most mining-friendly jurisdiction among developing economies. Lately, however, some miners and sector bankers say that while still a benchmark in the developing world, Chile isn’t as friendly a jurisdiction as it once was.

Aurora Williams said that while there has been some demands for miners to use desalinized water, in which seawater is stripped of its salt, her government doesn’t plan to force miners to use this water.

“This is not something that is being considered” by the government, she said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal.

Some miners, though, may have to use desalinized water, given the nature of Chile’s geography as a thin country bordering the sea. “It is what nature demands,” Ms. Williams said. Ms. Williams was speaking at the opening of the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada’s annual conference in Toronto.

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Juniors struggle in sea of red tape, fees and demographic losses – Benjamin Cox – by Simon Rees (MiningWeekly.com – February 27, 2015)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

TORONTO (miningweekly.com) – As the industry prepares for the 2015 Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada’s conference, many have written off the past year as another annus horribilis – a horrible year filled with more impairments, fire sales, debt headaches and muted prices.

The junior sector has struggled most, with many falling by the wayside or clinging on by their fingernails. But some have bucked the trend and have advanced their projects with inventiveness and flexibility.

The situation is unlikely to change any time soon, Oreninc MD Benjamin Cox told an audience at the Canadian Institute of Mining’s Management and Economic Society, in Toronto, on Wednesday. “So are you thinking about how you’ll survive over the next two years?” he asked. “Because I can tell you it’s not going to get better for a little while yet.”

Critical for the juniors had been the ongoing dearth of finance and liquidity. The major cause of this was the preference among investors for oil and gas over mining when choosing the extractive industries.

Of the money that was moving towards mining, most was being fed into the seniors’ corporate restructuring, leaving the juniors waiting at the back of the line.

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Platinum CEOs say mechanisation not a panacea – by David McKay (MiningMx.com – February 27, 2015)

 http://www.miningmx.com/

THE mechanisation of mines has become a buzzword in the South African mining sector construed as something of a panacea for investors especially in the platinum sector where estimates suggest two-thirds of production is still cash negative.

For unions, however, mechanisation implies looming job cuts. According to Chris Griffith, CEO of Anglo American Platinum (Amplats), the Anglo American listed subsidiary, mechanisation is neither quite of these things entirely, although he acknowledges there’s a long-standing debate on the effect of mechanisation and the impact on jobs.

“[I]t is common cause that better productivity is better for the economy,” said Griffith in a presentation at the Mining Indaba conference earlier this month. “Jobs don’t get lost – they get created in new areas,” he said, adding that mechanisation was “… a social and economic imperative”.

Tell that to Lonmin shareholders who witnessed the efforts of former CEO, Brad Mills, who pioneered mechanisation from about 2007 at the group’s operations with the intention of taking mining costs down to 35% of total costs from 65% at that time. It failed and cost him his job.

Said Griffith in an interview with Miningmx: “Mechanisation is not universal panacea; sometimes it’s not the solution. At Lonmin, it was at an early stage of mechanisation but we’ve had a long history since then.

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BHP Sounds Warning as Casualties Mount in Iron Ore Price War – by Thomas Biesheuvel and Jesse Riseborough (Bloomberg News – February 24, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

(Bloomberg) — The first fractures are appearing in an escalating iron ore price war that’s putting more producers out of business.

The biggest mining companies led by Rio Tinto Group, BHP Billiton Ltd. and Vale SA have persisted with multi-billion dollar expansion plans, citing still-healthy earnings even in the wake of a price collapse. Now, for the first time, one of the big three has voiced concern they may have gone too far.

“I do fear that other competitors have an awful lot more capital waiting in the wings to invest in expanding,” Andrew Mackenzie, chief executive officer of BHP, the world’s largest mining company, told analysts on a conference call on Tuesday after reporting a 35 percent decline in underlying profit from his iron-ore division. “We do look to the future and see a degree of pressure downwards on iron-ore prices.”

BHP, Rio and Vale have been squeezing smaller rivals in their quest for market share, while demand growth in China, the biggest consumer, slows. From Sierra Leone’s jungle to Sweden’s Lapland, abandoned mines are beginning to dot the global landscape.

“They wanted to make sure no one else entered the market and to maximize their own market share,” said Seth Rosenfeld, an analyst at Jefferies International Ltd. in London. “They’ve now done that as they’re expanding and no one else is.”

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Australian coal industry takes another step closer to the abyss – by Peter Ker (Sydney Morning Herald – February 27, 2015)

http://www.smh.com.au/

The downturn in the Australian coal industry has deepened, with three major mining companies warning on Friday that more jobs will be cut, mines will close and assets will be written down to a shadow of their former value.

Rio Tinto, Glencore and Brazilian miner Vale have all reiterated their pessimistic view of the coal sector’s future, revealing major changes to their local operations.

Glencore has made the most aggressive move, announcing that it will cut its Australian coal output by 15 million tonnes in 2015, or more than 20 per cent when compared to 2014 volumes.

In a move that is likely to put more than 100 jobs on the line, Glencore said the cuts would “more closely align” its coal output with customer demand, and some expansion projects would be slowed. “We will defer some projects and ensure that inventory management and blending are optimised,” the miner said in a statement.

The move comes less than a year after Glencore tried to merge its Australian coal division with Rio Tinto’s, underlining the predicament the Australian coal sector finds its self in.

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