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Gold and Silver

Barrick Goes Worst to First on Bets Gold Bottomed: Canada Credit – by Ari Altstedter (Bloomberg News – July 29, 2013)

http://www.businessweek.com/

Barrick Gold Corp. (ABX), the largest miner of the metal, has gone from the worst performer to the best among Canadian firms with U.S. dollar bonds, on bets gold prices have bottomed out after the biggest drop in 90 years.

Barrick bonds returned an average 3.2 percent this month, the most among the 50 largest issuers tracked by the Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. Corporate & Yankees Canadian Issuers Index. Barrick’s 5.25 percent notes due in April 2042 rose 5.1 percent in July, the biggest advance in the index. Last month the company’s debt was the biggest loser among the largest issuers on the index with a 10 percent decline, the data show.

Gold miners, including Goldcorp Inc. (G), the world’s biggest by market value, have announced at least $15 billion of writedowns in the past two months after the precious metal’s steepest quarterly drop in London trading in more than nine decades. The metal’s price has risen from almost a three-year low at the end of June, when Barrick announced it may write down as much as $5.5 billion.

“I think there’s a good chance we bottomed out,” said Scott MacDonald, who helps manage $600 million as head of research at MC Asset Management Holdings LLC in Stamford Connecticut. “You had a bubble in prices. You burst the bubble. Prices became more reasonable, and investors now feel the water is OK to go back in.”

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NEWS RELEASE: OMA member profile: Harte Gold — building a ‘heart of gold’

This article was provided by the Ontario Mining Association (OMA), an organization that was established in 1920 to represent the mining industry of the province.

While the price of gold has slid recently, this doesn’t mean that precious metals explorers and developers have been operating in a holding pattern waiting for a price rebound. Companies have been making adjustments, striving to control costs, advancing projects and building reserves. They know vagaries of gold price movements can be volatile both in going up and tumbling down.

The second quarter of 2013 saw a 13% decrease in average gold prices to US$1,414 per ounce. This marks the largest quarterly decline in gold prices since 1980. During that period, Harte Gold continued to advance its Sugar Zone property, located near White River 60 kilometres east of the Hemlo gold belt, towards becoming a producing mine.

The company was able to announce recently significant progress made on its Sugar Zone property during the second quarter of 2013. “The goal of Harte Gold’s optimization efforts is to generate project efficiencies, accelerate project timelines and low both up-front and overall project costs,” said Stephen G. Roman, President and Chief Operating Officer of Harte Gold. “The Sugar Zone deposit is a high grade gold deposit with significant potential along strike and at depth.”

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Gold on Earth formed in collision of exotic stars – by Dan Vergan (U.S.A. Today – July 17, 2013)

http://www.usatoday.com/

There’s gold in them thar neutron stars! That’s right, astronomers claim Earth’s gold, the stuff of wedding bands and pricey speaker wires, originated in cataclysmic collisions of exotic stars. The gold glinting on your wedding band was likely born in a cataclysmic merger of two exceedingly exotic stars, astronomers report Wednesday.

Dying stars billions of years ago cooked up most of the lighter elements in the universe, the oxygen in the air and calcium of our bones, and blasted it across the cosmos in their final explosive moments. We are stardust, as the singer Joni Mitchell put it.

But some of the heaviest atoms, including gold, defied this explanation, requiring an even more exotic origin.

A team led by Harvard astronomer Edo Berger now reports that gold is likely created as an aftereffect of the collision of two “neutron” stars. Neutron stars are themselves the collapsed remains of imploded stars, incredibly dense stellar objects that weigh at least 1.4 times as much as the sun but which are thought to be less than 10 miles wide.

While ordinary stars explode about once every century in our galaxy, Berger says, explosive collisions of two neutron stars happen only about once every 10,000 years. And it appears they spew out gold and other heavy elements in the week after their merger.

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Agnico’s spending cuts won’t affect Quebec mines – by Robert Gibbens (Montreal Gazette – July 25, 2013)

http://www.montrealgazette.com/index.html

The three Quebec gold mines of Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. will probably escape the $250 million in spending cuts the company plans this year and next to offset sagging bullion and base metals income.

Agnico Eagle, which started producing gold north of Val d’Or in 1988 with the launch of its rich LaRonde mine, has since become an international company with operations in northwestern Canada, Finland and Mexico. It targets overall annual output of 1.2 million ounces within three years.

It had planned to invest $600 million U.S. a year on mine development, but with gold down to about $1,350 an ounce from a peak of almost $2,000 and co-products silver and zinc depressed, Agnico Eagle has cut that number to $400 million.

Most of the savings will come from delays in exploration and mine construction activity outside Quebec, CEO Sean Boyd told analysts Thursday. Year-end completion of a new cooling and ventilation system will boost output from LaRonde’s deep higher-grade reserves next year and the mine will produce 300,000 ounces a year for a long time yet.

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Gold earnings season as noisy as expected so far – by Peter Koven (National Post – July 26, 2013)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

The second quarter gold earnings were expected to be noisy, and they have not disappointed so far. Writedowns, plummeting profits and a vast range of realized prices have been key themes in the reports. Most importantly, the miners are unveiling the cost and capital spending reductions they merely hinted at for most of the year. They are a crucial step to preserve balance sheet strength amid a bear market for gold.

On Thursday, Goldcorp Inc. announced it is slashing spending by US$200-million in 2013, and reiterated mine closures are a possibility if gold sinks below US$1,200 an ounce for an extended period. It also cut exploration and general and administrative expenses. Rival Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. plans to cut more than US$200-million from next year’s budget.

The moves come just as credit rating agency Moody’s warned the gold producers “must take action” to protect their ratings and minimize earnings deterioration. Miners in virtually every commodity are trying to slash costs and spending right now, but there is a greater urgency in gold because of the rapid decline in price.

“They’re starting to show the first signs of capital discipline,” said Greg Taylor, a portfolio manager at Aurion Capital. While they have announced some aggressive measures to preserve cash, Veritas analyst Pawel Rajszel said that details have been limited so far, and that companies are largely pushing spending into the future rather than cutting it.

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Gold may be Dryden’s new economic generator – by Ian Ross (Northern Ontario Business – July 2013)

Established in 1980, Northern Ontario Business provides Canadians and international investors with relevant, current and insightful editorial content and business news information about Ontario’s vibrant and resource-rich North. Ian Ross is the editor of Northern Ontario Business ianross@nob.on.ca.

Mining and Dryden have not always been synonymous. But this area of northwestern Ontario is continuing to gain some profile with junior miners to continuing to advance gold projects despite challenges to raising exploration capital.

“There’s a lot of buzz around the mining sector and I’m getting more calls on that side of things from companies looking to jump in ahead of the curve,” said Nicole Gale, office manager at the Dryden Development Corporation (DDC).

For years, the community’s economy has always been impacted by the highs and lows of the forestry industry, namely the fortunes of the Domtar pulp mill. However, ongoing exploration work from area junior miners like Treasury Metals, Manitou Gold and Tamaka Gold has stirred up excitement in the small city of 7,600.

Located on the Trans-Canada Highway between Thunder Bay and Winnipeg, Dryden has always been a retail shopping hub for neighbouring communities. Now it’s aiming to be a local service hub for mining outfits.

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Top 10 gold miners: Shaky earnings and more billion dollar write-downs – by Lawrence Williams (Mineweb.com – July 26, 2013)

http://www.mineweb.com/

As the gold majors begin issuing their latest quarterly statements it is becoming apparent how shaky earnings are at current gold prices regardless of the massive writedowns being taken.

LONDON (MINEWEB) – Yesterday we saw World No. 4 gold miner Goldcorp writing $1.96 billion off its asset values during Q2 and World No. 2 Newmont $1.8 billion. This follows on notice of huge writedowns for the year of around $6 billion at Australia’s Newcrest, the World’s No. 6, and a statement from World No. 3, AngloGold Ashanti, that it would be writing its assets down by between $2.2 and 2.6 billion. The other gold majors yet to report will also likely be taking huge writedowns which will significantly impact June quarter financials.

But it’s not the writedowns which are necessarily the most significant factors to be taken into consideration by shareholders and the gold market itself. It is the actual decline in operating profits, and the all-in sustaining cost of production which should be a primary focus. Write-downs are just book adjustments on asset valuations, but the underlying financial health of the companies, and what they can afford to pay out in dividends, depends on ongoing profitability virtually regardless of the kinds of book financial adjustments that are being seen.

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Financial, human toll of ‘horrific’ Big Gossan accident costs FCX dearly – by Dorothy Kosich (Mineweb.com – July 24, 2013)

http://www.mineweb.com/

28 fatalities, the loss of millions of pounds of copper and thousands of ounces of gold, as well as creating a new oil & gas subsidiary, slammed FCX’s 2Q.

RENO (MINEWEB) – The tunnel collapse in a Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold training facility in Indonesia “was an incredibly horrific convergence of events that came together because of the geology of the rock and the influence of water and air on our ground support facilities, and unfortunately just happened as we were having this training meeting,” CEO Richard Adkerson told analysts during a conference call Tuesday.

On May 14th, the accident occurred at PT Freeport Indonesia, which resulted in 28 fatalities and 10 injured when the rock structure above an underground ceiling for a training facility collapsed in an unprecedented and unexpected event. While the accident occurred outside of mining operations, mining and processing activities at the Grasberg complex were temporarily suspended as Indonesian government authorities also conducted inspections.

“In the quarter, we lost roughly 125 million pounds of copper and 125,000 ounces of gold,” said Adkerson. “The full year impact will be greater than that. We estimate 230 million pounds of copper and 250,000 ounces of gold.”

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SA mining and the almost ‘unwinnable’ labour situation – by Jeff Candy (Mineweb.com – July 23, 2013)

http://www.mineweb.com/

Norton Rose Fulbright’s Joe Mothibi discusses the lay of the South African mining labour landscape and looks at the best and worst case outcomes for the current gold wage negotiations

GRONINGEN (MINEWEB) – GEOFF CANDY: Hello and welcome to this edition of Mineweb.com Newsmaker podcast. Joining me on the line is Joe Mothibi – he is a partner with Norton Rose Fulbright. Joe we saw over the course of last week, significant movement on the wage negotiation space within the South African gold sector. We saw the gold companies represented by the Chamber of Mines, putting out their first offer of 4% increases across the board for basic wages and for housing allowances, and on the other end of the spectrum we saw demands from the likes of AMCU of up to 130%, we saw demands from NUM of 61%. Clearly these are very far apart numbers, is this as far apart as you’ve seen it in the South African labour sector?

JOE MOTHIBI: Without a doubt, certainly in recent memory. What concerns me most is this probably is an indication or symptom of the instability which is actually occurring within the federation of COSATU and the weakness that is perceived by unions such as AMCU who then see a weakness and try and go in there and get a piece of the cake in terms of membership. Yes, but certainly it’s been quite stark indeed, the gap between what they each put on the table.

GEOFF CANDY: Now we’ve heard fairly strong words from the likes of AMCU and from NUM, Lesiba Seshoka telling Mineweb earlier last week that these demands or the offer by the companies was an insult, was a cause for provocation, Joseph Mathunjwa telling Mineweb that he probably wasn’t going to take it back to his members because it wasn’t very good.

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Is the Gold Price Set for an Explosive Rebound? – by By Byron King (July 22, 2013 – The Daily Reckoning Australia)

http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/

In recent months, the price of gold has tumbled. Along the way, lower gold prices have undermined the share price of many mining plays. The yellow metal is selling for its approximate cost of production at many of the world’s largest mines.

Yet for all the gloom and doom within the gold investment space, there are indications that physical gold is becoming scarce. In fact, gold may be setting up for an explosive rebound, both in its nominal price and in the value of companies that mine it…

Here’s the posted price of gold over the past year. We’ve endured a steady retreat from near $1,800 per ounce to the mid-$1,200s. Clearly, people are selling.

Gold had a decade or so in the doldrums in the 1990s. Then people started buying gold all through the first decade of the 2000s. Gold’s recent price decline comes after a solid decade of strong, steady gains. That’s what the chart indicates.

The back story to gold’s price rise is that in recent years, investors and some central banks accumulated large holdings of gold. This helped drive the gold price up.

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There’s gold in them thar hills – by Larry Meyer (The [Oregon] Argus Observer – July 21, 2013)

http://www.argusobserver.com/

Company could pull nearly $1 billion of gold from ground in Malheur County

If approved, a proposed gold mine in the middle of the remote Malheur County desert could produce more than 700,000 ounces of gold, according to estimates from the company seeking to build the mine.

At today’s current price of $1,290 per ounce, that would equal nearly a billion dollars, or $903 million, worth of gold in them hills.

The so-called Grassy Mountain gold mine, being proposed by Calico Resources, is still at least a couple of years away from actual production, but if all goes as planned, it could have a major impact on the region.

The Grassy Mountain mine site lies about 25 miles southwest of Vale and northwest of Owyhee Reservoir. The site of Calico’s claims covers about 62 acres. The total permit area is 270 acres, including a mill site and access road area.

Once up and running, Calico officials expect the mine to be in operation for eight to 10 years, but that could be longer if additional ore is discovered, according to Andy Bentz, the former Malheur County Sheriff, who is now public and governmental affairs officer for the company.

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Gold Prices Will Rebound – by Frank Yu and Warren Song (Epoch Times – July 19, 2013)

http://www.theepochtimes.com/

The price of gold has declined more than 20 percent so far in 2013. At below $1,300 per ounce, a fair amount of discussion has been happening around the value of gold.

Since gold does not generate any income and it is relatively expensive to store, its valuation has historically been difficult to assess. Recently, with the U.S. dollar rising and interest rates edging up, hot money began to move out of gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and into other channels—notably, U.S. equities. Now let’s attempt to assess the value of gold.

Gold has always had its own unique value. Because central banks can print money in large quantities to stimulate the economy, gold, which has a finite supply, will always have followers who view it as a way to preserve monetary value. This is especially true in many less-developed countries where the majority of the population does not have freedom or access to move money and invest in the U.S. stock market.

Historically, families in many parts of the world pass part of their fortunes to the next generation in some form of jewelry and gold. In most developing countries, corruption is a major issue and an especially large portion of the wealth is concentrated in the hands of a small number of people.

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Exclusive: Chile indigenous group likely to appeal Barrick ruling -lawyer – by Alexandra Ulmer (Reuters India – July 19, 2013)

http://in.reuters.com/

SANTIAGO – (Reuters) – A Chilean indigenous group will likely ask the Supreme Court to review a lower court decision on Barrick Gold Corp’s Pascua-Lama gold mine, because the ruling does not go far enough to protect the environment, a lawyer representing the group told Reuters on Thursday.

The appeal will probably also seek a re-evaluation of the suspended $8.5 billion project and ask that Barrick present a new environmental impact assessment study, a potentially lengthy and costly process, the lawyer, Lorenzo Soto, added.

The Copiapo Court of Appeals on Monday ordered a freeze on construction of the project, which straddles the Chile-Argentine border high in the Andes, until the company builds infrastructure to prevent water pollution.

“It’s very likely we appeal the decision,” Soto said. “What we’re interested in is that the project be re-evaluated. What is optimal, in our opinion, is for the project to present a new environmental impact assessment.”

Soto said the decision on whether to appeal would be made on Friday. The Diaguita indigenous group has until Monday to file with the court, he added.

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Gold price headed north of $2 000/oz, even $5 000/oz – gold bull McEwen – by Henry Lazenby (MiningWeekly.com – July 17, 2013)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

TORONTO (miningweekly.com) – NYSE- and TSX-listed McEwen Mining chief owner Rob McEwen has plenty of faith that the gold price will, within the next two years, head north of $2 000/oz and even cross the $5 000/oz mark in the not too distant future.

In an interview with Mining Weekly Online, McEwen said that while there was a lot of sentiment out there that the gold price would go lower, he believed the price of the yellow metal would go much higher.

McEwen pointed to historical precedents where governments debased their currencies through monetary expansion in excess of their sustainable debt loads, which caused the currency to devalue relative to assets such as gold.

In the past, these happened in isolated cases, but were more commonplace these days, as many countries and regions, including the US and the European Union, were concurrently pumping cash into their economies to keep them buoyant.

In some cases, as in the US, debt was reaching unprecedented levels at around $17-trillion. He said it worked well when interest rates were low, but should rates climb to about 5%, the debt service costs alone would be about a trillion dollars, which would crowd out other essential public services.

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Gold Imports by India Seen Shrinking as Curbs Increase Costs – by Swansy Afonso & Pratik Parija (Bloomberg News – July 17, 2013)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest consumer last year, may tumble in the second half as the government curbs shipments to contain a record current-account deficit and stem a slide in the currency.

Inbound shipments may drop 22 percent to 372.5 metric tons in the six months through December from 478 tons a year earlier, according to a median of estimates from 10 importers, jewelers, analysts and trade groups compiled by Bloomberg.

That may still boost full-year imports to about 902 tons from 860 tons in 2012, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data from the World Gold Council and the All India Gem & Jewellery Trade Federation.

Falling Indian demand for physical gold may deepen a bear market in bullion as some investors sell the metal amid signs of an improving U.S. economy. Shoppers from India to China and Turkey crowded retail outlets to buy jewelry, coins and bars in April after the precious metal posted the biggest two-day loss in three decades. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says that gold will reach $1,050 by the end of 2014, while Credit Suisse Group AG forecasts $1,150 in about a year.

“I see no reason to buy more gold,” said Bharti Chandra, a 38-year-old housewife, dressed in a salwar, who was selling an old necklace in Mumbai’s Zaveri Bazaar, the largest bullion market in the country.

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