Some See Two New Gilded Ages, Raising Global Tensions – by Chrystia Freeland (New York Times – January 22, 2012)

www.nytimes.com

NEW YORK — On a bitter evening in mid-January, a group of bankers and book publishers gathered on the 42nd floor of Goldman Sachs’s global headquarters here. The setting could not have been more New York — skyscrapers twinkled out the windows to the north and a jazz ensemble played softly in the corner. But the appetizers, reflecting the theme of the event, were an international mishmash: thumb-sized potato pancakes with sour cream and caviar, steaming Chinese dumplings, Indian samosas and Turkish kebabs.

The party was in honor of the Goldman thinker who had served notice to the Western investment community a decade ago that the world was being transformed by the rise of emerging markets, in particular, the four behemoths that Jim O’Neill, then chief economist at Goldman Sachs, dubbed the BRICs: Brazil, Russia, India and China.

In a new book that Mr. O’Neill has published, “The Growth Map: Economic Opportunity in the BRICs and Beyond,” he argued that the BRIC concept had “become the dominant story of our generation” and described the next 11 emerging markets that are joining the BRICs.

But there is another force that is reshaping the global economy today, and the Goldman executives who toasted Mr. O’Neill are a reflection of that: the rise, in the developed Western economies, of the “1 percent” and the creation of what many are calling a new gilded age.

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BlackRock Holds Key to Mining Merger – by Dana Cimilluca (Wall Street Journal – February 17, 2012)

This article is from the Wall Street Journal: http://online.wsj.com/home-page

As mining giants Xstrata PLC and Glencore International AG aim to pull off an industry-redefining merger, the deal’s fate depends largely on one investor: BlackRock Inc.

With a 5.8% stake, BlackRock, the world’s largest money manager, was Xstrata’s largest shareholder after Glencore as of Feb. 14, according to FactSet. Glencore itself owns 34% of Xstrata.

Under the deal’s current structure, three-quarters of Xstrata shareholders would need to bless the union, which would create a firm with a market capitalization of $90 billion. Given that Xstrata governance rules, intended to protect minority shareholders, bar Glencore from voting its stake, it would be blocked if just over 16% of Xstrata shares are voted against the deal. The fact that opposition from such a small group could nix the deal gives BlackRock tremendous influence.

That sway is only amplified by the fact that several investors have already indicated they will vote against the deal on its current terms.

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Molycorp’s $1 billion rare-earth gamble – by Richard Martin (Fortune Magazine – November 18, 2011)

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/

How an American company is trying to break China’s monopoly on high-tech minerals.

FORTUNE — Few weekenders making the four-hour run from L.A. to Vegas notice the big mill works overlooking Interstate 15 at Mountain Pass Summit in California, near the Nevada line. Even fewer realize that the pale-pink buildings, gone patchy with age, are the focus of an extraordinary business drama that involves national security, China’s monopolizing the strategic market in rare-earth metals, and one company’s attempt to restore American preeminence in a crucial mining sector it once dominated.

Those sprawling buildings are owned by a Denver mining company called Molycorp (MCP), which is now spending nearly $1 billion to restart rare-earth-mineral production at Mountain Pass Summit and in the process revive a moribund U.S. industry. It won’t be easy. A decade ago the U.S. was the world’s biggest supplier of lanthanides, scandium, and other rare earths, and the Mountain Pass mine was the world’s largest producer of the minerals.

Rare-earth elements enable the creation of super-magnets, which operate at high temperatures and are also used for a range of high-tech applications, from missile-guidance systems to compact fluorescent light bulbs to wind power turbines to motors in electric vehicles.

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The Canaccord-China deal: When $1-B is a drop in the bucket – by Marilyn Scales (Canadian Mining Journal – February 9, 2012)

Marilyn Scales is a field editor for the Canadian Mining Journal, Canada’s first mining publication. She is one of Canada’s most senior mining commentators.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s current trip to China is touted as an opportunity to create partnerships between the two countries. One positive outcome has just been revealed: Canaccord Financial of Toronto and a Chinese bank plan to establish a Canada-China Natural Resource Fund and give it an initial endowment of US$1 billion.

The fund intends to:

•Invest in both public and private natural resource and energy companies or projects in Canada;

•Promote interaction and sustainable development among Chinese, Canadian and other nature resources companies, and’

•Create opportunities for substantial returns on investment (be profitable) through the strategic and market-oriented allocation of the fund’s capital.

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Australia experiences huge wave of [mining] expansion – by Matthew Fisher (National Post – February 10, 2012)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

“Unhindered by the foreign funded environmental coalition
that is attempting to destroy a large part of Canada’s
economic future by preventing pipelines linked to Alberta’s
oil sands, the terminals at Darwin will collect gas
harvested from the Timor Sea and shipped via a 890-
kilometre underwater pipeline.”(Matthew Fisher-Nationa Post)

DARWIN, AUSTRALIA – Exports of iron ore, gold, bauxite and liquefied natural gas to Asia are fuelling a phenomenal wave of economic expansion for Australia.

Keeping accurate tabs on the number of mega-projects is as difficult as it is to figure out the exact size of its economy because it is expanding so quickly.

The iron ore industry is expected to increase exports five-fold by the end of the decade. Figures for the growth in gas exports are projected to be much bigger. The high price of gold has also been a boon.

While most of the West frets about tomorrow, at least $300 billion will be spent soon on mills, drilling rigs, pipelines, heavy machinery, port dredging, marine supply bases and railways for projects that have been approved for Queensland, the Northern Territory and Western Australia.

The marine collection terminal that is the final link in one of the larger developments which got the green light last month – the $37-billion Ichthys natural gas field – will be built near Darwin Harbour.

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Historic Canada-China trade agreements benefit both mining sectors – by Dorothy Kosich (Mineweb.com – February 9, 2012)

www.mineweb.com

After 20 years of negotiations, Canada and China are closer to ratification of a Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement that may benefit mining and mining services in both nations.

RENO – The Canada Mining Innovation Council applauded Wednesday’s announcement by Prime Minister Stephen Harper that Canada and China completed negotiations on a historic Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement (FIPA).

Negotiations for this agreement took 18 years and major players in mining, manufacturing, and the financial sectors were consulted to get to this stage. Harper and Chinese Premier Wen Jaibao Wednesday signed a declaration of intent which must be legally reviewed and ratified by both governments.

If ratified, Canadian mining companies would enjoy more protection and promotion of their Chinese investments through legally-binding rights and obligation. Wen also called for studies into the feasibility of a free-trade agreement between China and Canada.

Jiang Shan, minister counselor from China’s Ministry of Commerce, told China Daily, “Chinese enterprises could make forays into or add investment in the categories of coal, iron ore and potash manure.”

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NEWS RELEASE: Canada world’s top exploration country for ten years

Metals Economic Group’s 22nd Corporate Exploration Strategies Study

U.S. dollar currency is used throughout this press release.

Vancouver, British Columbia, January 24, 2012 – According to Metals Economics Group’s (MEG) Corporate Exploration Strategies (CES), Canada has been the world’s top country for exploration for the last ten years, since overtaking Australia in 2002. Canada’s allocation for 2011 represents 18% of worldwide spending. (Metals Economics Group’s study covers expenditures for precious and base metals, diamonds, uranium, and some industrial minerals.)

“Three provinces—Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia accounted for more than 60% of the $3.1 billion in planned Canadian nonferrous exploration spending in 2011”, states Jason Goulden, MEG’s Vice President, Research. “Of the 781 companies that planned to explore in Canada in 2011, almost 91% were based in Canada, together contributing about 82% of the planned Canadian nonferrous exploration total.”

Goulden adds, “Worldwide, Canadian-based companies accounted for more than half of the 2,400+ active explorers—each with a budget of at least $100,000—covered by the 2011 edition of CES, and together accounted for 40% of the $17.25 billion budgeted by all companies for nonferrous exploration in 2011.” 

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[Xstrata and Glencore] Last of the big mining deals – by Peter Koven (National Post – February 8, 2012)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Mick Davis began his discussion of the biggest mining deal in history in an unusual way: by ripping his advisors.

“An advisor is somebody who gives you advice on what you would like to do, and simultaneously advises the market on what you may do through the press,” the blunt chief executive of Xstrata PLC said on a conference call Tuesday.

His feelings are understandable. Thanks to a constant flow of leaks in the European press, the friendly takeover of Xstrata by Glencore International PLC, its key shareholder and the world’s biggest commodity trader, was considered a fait accompli long before it became official this week.

The US$41-billion all-stock deal, announced Tuesday, creates a new dominant player in the mining industry. It will have a market value of about US$90-billion (the fourth biggest overall), and combining Xstrata’s mining operations with Glencore’s extensive knowledge of commodity logistics and trading creates a company with unique expertise across the whole commodity value chain.

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Glencore, Xstrata Turn to Selling Deal – by Dana Cimilluca, John W. Miller and Rhiannon Hoyle (Wall Steet Journal – February 7, 2012)

http://online.wsj.com/home-page

Long-Awaited Deal Would Create Commodities Giant, but Some Mining-Firm Shareholders Balk at Premium

Now that Xstrata PLC and Glencore International AG have unveiled their widely expected plan to merge and form a mining-and-commodities behemoth, the hard work begins: selling the deal to shareholders and regulators.

As expected, the companies announced Tuesday they will combine in a swap of Xstrata shares for Glencore stock that would give Glencore 55% of the new company, to be called Glencore Xstrata International PLC. In a sign that investor approval of the deal isn’t a given, Xstrata shares fell by 4.9% to 1,200 pence ($18.99) in London; Glencore slipped 3.8% to 443.25 pence.

And even if shareholders ultimately go along, the companies might also have their work cut out for them winning approval from regulators around the world.

Underscoring the perils for the deal’s principal architects—Xstrata Chief Executive Mick Davis and his Glencore counterpart, Ivan Glasenberg—two of Xstrata’s top shareholders, Standard Life Investments Ltd. and Schroder Investment Management Ltd., came out against the deal, saying Glencore needs to pay more.

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Xstrata-Glencore deal a possible game changer – by David Ebner (Globe and Mail – February 7, 2012)

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

VANCOUVER— The merger of Glencore International PLC and Xstrata PLC has the potential to spark a new wave of deals in the mining industry, particularly among copper producers, some analysts say.

The two companies are expected to announce an $88-billion (U.S.) deal Tuesday that will unite one of the world’s biggest traders of commodities with one of the largest miners of base metals. The new company will be a massive player in resources such as zinc, thermal coal, nickel and copper.

And even though their union has been anticipated for months, even years, the reality of a merged Xstrata-Glencore might be enough to jar others to action.

“There’s a big difference between almost pregnant and pregnant,” said Michael Locker of consulting firm Locker Associates in New York.

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The natural resources deficit: the implications for German politics – by Anna Kwiatkowska-Drożdż (Centre for Eastern Studies – February 8, 2011)

http://www.osw.waw.pl/en

The Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW) is a Polish think tank dealing with analyses of the political, economic and social situation in the neighbour countries, Central and Eastern Europe, the Balkans, Southern Caucasus, Central Asia and Germany. (Warsaw, Poland) 

Falling amounts of natural resources and the ‘peak oil’ question, i.e. the point in time when the maximum rate of extraction of easily-accessible oil reserves is reached, have been among the key issues in public debate in Germany on all levels: expert, business and – most crucially – the government level. The alarming assessments of German analysts anticipate a rapid shrinkage of oil reserves and a sharp rise in oil prices, which in the longer term will affect the economic and political systems of importer countries.

Concerns about the consequences of the projected resource deficit, especially among representatives of German industry, are also fuelled by the stance of those countries which export raw materials. China, which meets 97% of global demand for minerals crucial for the production of new technologies, cut its exports by 40% in summer 2010 (compared to 2009), arguing that it had to protect its reserves from overexploitation.

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Australia-China relationship a lesson for Ottawa [about resources] – by Matthew Fisher (National Post – February 7, 2012)

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Canadians are about to discover that Prime Minister Stephen Harper has caught China fever. The Prime Minister arrives Tuesday in Beijing to shout that Canada is open for business.

Australia caught China fever some years ago and because of it the Land Down Under has been creating a staggering amount of wealth out of one of the greatest resource booms of all time.

To little fanfare elsewhere, Australia’s trade to China has tripled over the past five years to more than $60-billion a year.

When imports are included, trade between the countries is $80-billion a year, compared with a relatively piddling $30-billion a year of trade between Canada and China.

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Glencore-Xstrata deal meets shareholder opposition – by Sarah Young and Eric Onstad (Reuters – February 7, 2012)

This article came from: www.reuters.com

LONDON (Reuters) – Two top 10 shareholders in miner Xstrata said on Tuesday they would vote against a takeover by commodities trader Glencore, threatening the industry’s biggest deal to create a powerhouse spanning mining, agriculture and trading.

Standard Life Investments, the fourth largest investor in Xstrata, and Schroders head of UK equities said the deal to buy the remaining 66 percent of Xstrata for $41 billion undervalued their shares.

The two own 3.6 percent of Xstrata, according to Thomson Reuters data. Their statements may persuade others to follow suit and block Glencore’s ambition to create a company to rival mining heavyweights such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.

“I’m in complete agreement with Standard Life and we intend to do exactly the same. This is a fabulous deal for Glencore, it’s probably a great deal for the Xstrata management, but it’s a poor deal for Xstrata’s majority shareholders,” Shroders’ Richard Buxton told Reuters.

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Xstrata agrees $41bn Glencore takeover deal – by Sarah Young and Eric Onstad (Mineweb.com – February 7, 2012)

This article came from: www.mineweb.com

In the biggest merger in the mining sector since Rio and Alcan, Glencore and Xstrata will form a company worth $90bn, Mick Davis will be CEO.

LONDON (Reuters) – Commodities trader Glencore agreed on Tuesday to buy the remaining 66 percent of miner Xstrata for $41 billion in a record deal to create a powerhouse spanning mining, agriculture and trading.

In what has been billed as a merger of equals, Glencore, the world’s largest diversified commodities trading house, and Xstrata will form a company worth $90 billion to rival other mining heavyweights such as BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.

The new group, which will have mining assets from New Caledonia to the Democratic Republic of Congo, are expected to use their combined clout to look at other deals, including potentially a takeover of Anglo American, analysts say.

“M&A is a space that you’d expect the combined group to be in,” Xstrata chief executive Mick Davis, who will be CEO of the enlarged Glencore, told Reuters.

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Canada doesn’t know how to protect its [resource] interests [from China] – by Terry Glavin (Ottawa Citizen – February 4 2012)

This column is from the: http://www.ottawacitizen.com/index.html

“We are sitting ducks.”

That’s the way Anthony Campbell, the former head of the Intelligence Assessment Secretariat of the Privy Council Office, put it to me the other day. We were talking about Beijing’s designs on Canada’s energy resources, Beijing’s adroit cunning in enfeebling Canadian foreign policy, and how Canadians have been rendered unable to cope with the drama as it unfolds.

The Chinese Year of the Dragon began inauspiciously with Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Industry Minister Joe Oliver riffing on a clever talking-points stratagem dreamed up by neophyte Conservative war-room hangabouts. It featured American billionaire socialists infiltrating into Canada to ambuscade the construction of Canada’s last-hope economic lifeline, to China.

Most Canadians had probably never even heard of the Enbridge project, which is a plan to build a huge bitumen tube from Alberta’s oilsands to saltwater on the northern British Columbia coast. Still, whatever Ottawa was shouting about, it seemed to contain enough resemblance to a kernel of truth. So it worked for a while.

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