COLUMN-China risk story just getting started, while Greece nearly over – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.S. – July 6, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

LAUNCESTON, Australia, July 6 (Reuters) – What’s the bigger risk? Greece leaving the euro zone in a messy debt default or China continuing to pump money into its faltering stockmarket while trying to boost the rest of the economy through cheap debt?

While Greece is probably ahead in the news headline count, especially in the developed world, the main impact from the weekend rejection by Greek voters of the terms of a new bailout is likely to be short-term market volatility.

This can be seen in crude oil, with West Texas Intermediate futures dropping as much as 4.4 percent and Brent futures falling as much as 1.6 percent early on Monday. The euro currency and stocks outside of China also stumbled as the Greek vote against austerity brought the Mediterranean nation closer to a debt default and leaving the single currency.

But the declines were relatively modest and probably reflected the reality that Greece is just 0.25 percent of the global economy, and accounts for a tiny 0.5 percent of the euro zone’s total exports.

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China’s steel dragon has lost its appetite for American coal – by John Dizard (Financial Times – July 3, 2015)

http://www.ft.com/home/us

It may be too late to save the coal industry from looming financial disaster, says John Dizard

As the headlines earlier this week told you, the US coal industry scored a win at the Supreme Court. With a 5-4 majority it ruled that the Environmental Protection Agency had to consider compliance costs when it issues emissions rules for power plants. The court sent the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (Mats) back to the agency to justify its net economic benefits.

Whatever short-term cheer this brought to the coal-mining companies, it has come too late to save most of the industry from looming financial disaster. Coal company shares and bonds bounced up for a day and then fell back into depression.

Most US coal capacity, more than 500m tons of annual production, is owned by companies in financial distress. The unsecured bonds of Arch Coal, behind which are more than 130m tons of capacity, are selling for 14 to 17 cents on the dollar. Peabody Coal (about 200m tons of capacity) has a bond maturing in 2018 that is priced at 48 cents on the dollar.

Even after the oil and gas price plunge, many oil and gas exploration and production companies with big reserves and negative cash flows have been able to raise new equity and refinance debt. The coal trade, on the other hand, is attracting little investor interest.

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REFILE-Iron ore price fall a sign China’s economic might waning – by James Regan and Ruby Lian (Reuters U.S. – July 3, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

SYDNEY/SHANGHAI, July 3 (Reuters) – Iron ore prices dropped to the lowest in more than two months on Friday, sending shivers through the mining industry and heightening worries that Chinese economic activity is slowing just as ore piles up at its ports.

China uses more than a billion tonnes of iron ore a year to make steel – 14 times the consumption of the United States – but Beijing’s efforts to shift the economy to consumer-led growth means steel consumption is peaking faster than expected.

“It’s clear China can no longer consume all the iron ore that’s out there, so something’s got to give,” said James Wilson, a sector analyst for Morgans Financial in Perth.

Shares in Australia’s biggest mining houses, including Rio Tinto , BHP Billiton and Fortescue Metals Group led the Australian bourse lower after the price of the raw material fell by 5 percent.

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Mongolia premier pledges to end Tavan Tolgoi coal mine impasse – by James Kynge and James Wilson (Financial Times – July 2, 2015)

http://www.ft.com/intl/markets/emerging-markets

London – Mongolia will “in the very near future” end an impasse over investment in a $5bn coal mine and push forward “Steppe Road” infrastructure plans with Russia and China, the prime minister has said as he seeks to shore up investor support for his country’s flagging economy.

Saikhanbileg Chimed also indicated that Mongolia planned to launch another sovereign bond as the country seeks to get “back to business” following two years of slowing growth in gross domestic product, plummeting foreign direct investment and rating agency downgrades of its junk-rated “Chinggis” bonds.

Official approval for investors to start work on the Tavan Tolgoi (TT) coking coal mine in the Gobi desert should follow soon after a review of the investor agreement in parliament this month, Mr Saikhanbileg told the Financial Times in an interview. Investors in the project include China’s Shenhua Energy and Japan’s Sumitomo Corp.
“TT will be unlocked in the very near future,” he said.

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[Mine workers as slaves] Japan’s UNESCO heritage bid draws ire over past labour abuse – by Elaine Kurtenach (Associated Press/Metro News – June 30, 2015)

http://metronews.ca/

GUNKANJIMA, Japan – Of countless ghostly abandoned factories and mines in Japan, this fortress island near Nagasaki is among the most notorious. It is also a source of national pride.

Gunkanjima, or Battleship Island, is one of 23 old industrial facilities seeking UNESCO’s recognition as world heritage “Sites of Japan’s Meiji Industrial Revolution” meant to illustrate Japan’s rapid transformation from a feudal farming society into an industrial power at the end of the 19th century.

UNESCO’s World Heritage Committee is expected to approve the proposal during a meeting being held in Bonn, Germany, through July 9 after Japan and South Korea informally agreed on a promise to acknowledge, though it is unclear how, that Koreans were among the people who toiled at Gunkanjima and some other sites. The compromise also includes an agreement by Japan to support South Korean proposals for some world heritage site listings.

Japan’s bid for UNESCO recognition is confined to the 1868-1912 era of the Meiji Emperor, who presided over the country’s rush to industrialize and catch up with Western colonial powers. It excludes the years that followed, when Japan annexed Korea and eventually invaded China and other parts of Asia before and during World War II.

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Korea objects to heritage status for Japan’s World War II ‘slave labour’ sites – by Donald Kirk (The Independent – May 26, 2015)

http://www.independent.co.uk/

Japan has rebuffed South Korean demands that it admits Koreans served as slave labour at seven mines, shipyards and factories that Japan is seeking to be listed as Unesco world heritage sites.

A Korean Foreign Ministry official said that Korea’s ambassador for Cultural and Unesco Affairs, Choi Jong-moon, had returned empty-handed from Tokyo after debating the case of the Korean workers.

Mr Choi had sought to reach an understanding on Japan’s bid for Unesco world heritage status for 23 Japanese industrial sites, including the seven where Korea says 60,000 Koreans were forced to work for no pay. Japan denies this was the case.

The row focuses on whether those sites qualify for world heritage status solely for their role in the rise of modern Japan in the late-19th century during the long reign of the Emperor Meiji. The Japanese say that era has nothing to do with the period in which Koreans laboured under Japanese masters while Japan ruled Korea from 1910 to the end of the Second World War.

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Japan Admits World War II Prisoners Worked at a Mine Owned by the Premier’s Family – by Norimitsu Onishi (New York Times – December 19, 2008)

http://www.nytimes.com/

TOKYO — The Japanese government has acknowledged for the first time that Allied prisoners during World War II were made to work at a coal mine owned by the family of Prime Minister Taro Aso, contradicting his longstanding denials.

The admission came after the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, under prodding from an opposition lawmaker, released documents showing that 300 Australian, British and Dutch prisoners of war worked at a mine owned by Aso Mining during the last four months of the war.

At a parliamentary session on Thursday, Foreign Ministry and health officials acknowledged the validity of the documents, about 43 pages retrieved from the basement of the Health Ministry building.

The acknowledgment was another embarrassment for Mr. Aso, whose popularity has plummeted since he took office three months ago. His erratic stewardship over an increasingly shaky economy and insulting remarks about groups including the elderly have lowered his approval ratings to about 20 percent and drawn public attacks from his own Liberal Democratic Party.

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COLUMN-Greece a sideshow to China’s main game for commodities – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.K. – June 29, 2015)

http://uk.reuters.com/

LAUNCESTON, Australia, June 29 (Reuters) – With the focus on whether Greece will or won’t default on its debts or even stay within the euro zone, the important news of China easing its monetary policy again has been largely sidelined.

As fascinating as the Greek machinations are, ultimately they will have little impact on commodity markets, other than the potential to boost some safe-haven demand for gold and possibly other commodities, such as agriculture, which have little correlation to equities and bonds.

The real news is that the world’s largest commodity producer, consumer and importer appears to be taking more determined steps to boost its flagging growth rate.

China’s central bank cut lending rates for the fourth time since November, while also trimming the amount of cash that certain banks have to hold as reserves.

In a possible sign as to how serious the authorities are in getting money to flow faster through the economy, this was the first time since the global financial crisis in 2008 that both interest rates and the reserve ratio were cut at the same time.

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Govt set to mine mineral resources off Okinawa (Japan News – June 28, 2015)

http://the-japan-news.com/

The Yomiuri Shimbun

The Natural Resources and Energy Agency intends to conduct deep-sea test mining of minerals found on the seabed off Okinawa Island, in fiscal 2017.

The government aims to mine as much as 1,000 tons of zinc, silver and other mineral resources at a depth of about 1,600 meters in the sea off the island.

It is a world first to conduct such large-scale mining of minerals that lie under the seabed, according to the agency. A large number of mineral deposits have lately been found one after another in waters near Japan.

Currently, the Hishikari gold mine in Kagoshima Prefecture is the only domestic commercial mine in the country, the agency said.

Japan is 100 percent dependent on imports for minerals such as iron, copper and zinc, which are indispensable for the production of cars and home electrical appliances.

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‘Malaysia Is the Winner’: Indonesia Miners Go Overseas After Ban – by Yoga Rusmana (Bloomberg News – June 26, 2015)

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Malaysia is emerging as an unexpected beneficiary of Indonesia’s ban on ore exports as mining companies from its larger Southeast Asian neighbor pump cash into local bauxite deposits to meet demand from China.

At least five Indonesian miners invested in Malaysia by the end of last year, teaming up with partners to extract the ore and ship it to China, according to Erry Sofyan, chairman of the Association of Indonesia Bauxite and Iron Ore Producers. More companies may follow, Sofyan said in an interview in Jakarta.

The investments highlight the challenge Indonesia faces in trying to boost its metal-processing industry. The policy, which also covered nickel, aimed to compel investments in higher-value facilities and shipments to address concern the country was selling off resources on the cheap.

While some smelters are being built in Indonesia, the curb boosted prospects for rival suppliers, including the Philippines, Malaysia and Australia.

“Malaysia is the winner from the Indonesian export ban,” Sofyan said on Thursday.

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Two-Month Low Nickel Prices Continue to Slide Further Amid Nickel Glut – by Anne Lu (International Business Times – June 25 2015)

http://www.ibtimes.com.au/

A jump in nickel stockpiles has brought the metal to a two-month low as production continues to outstrip consumption, especially in China, the world’s biggest consumer of nickel. According to London Metal Exchange (LME) data, inventories rose 0.6 percent to 461,436 metric tonnes on Monday, its biggest gain in two weeks. Nickel for delivery in three months settled at US$12,410 [$16,000] a tonne — the lowest price since April 20.

“More metal continuing to show up in LME warehouses points to the fact that maybe the underlying demand isn’t as strong, and that has bearish implications,” Mike Dragosits, a senior commodity strategist at TD Securities, said in an interview with Bloomberg.

Analysts think that nickel prices still have further to fall, with many investors looking to get out of their positions at the earliest sign of a nickel rally. Many investors who were lured into nickel during the metal’s rally in early 2014 didn’t get out fast enough when the slide began, so they are lightening their positions every time the metal rallies, keeping a ceiling on the price.

Prices surged to 50 percent from January to mid-May 2014 as Indonesia, then the world’s top nickel exporter, banned exports of the metal, leading many analysts and investors believing that global nickel stockpiles are soon to be depleted.

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COLUMN-Adani walking away, or upping ante on Australian coal project? – by Clyde Russell (Reuters U.s. – June 25, 2015)

http://www.reuters.com/

LAUNCESTON, Australia, June 25 (Reuters) – Is India’s Adani Mining preparing to walk away from its A$10 billion ($7.7 billion) coal project in Australia’s Queensland state, or upping the ante in trying to speed up approvals for the huge project?

Adani surprised industry observers by confirming on Wednesday it had halted engineering work on its Carmichael coal project in the frontier Galilee basin in central Queensland.

The planned 40-million tonne per annum mine is supposed to start producing in 2017, with Adani intending to ship to India to meet the growing demand for power generation.

The explanation from Adani on why it stopped independent contractors from working on the mine, rail and port infrastructure was that it was rejigging the budget on the project as it faces delays in obtaining all the necessary government approvals.

Delays in getting approvals from the Queensland government meant that the previous project timelines were no longer achievable, Adani said in a statement.

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Adani halts engineering work on Aus coal mine project: report (The Hindu – June 24, 2015)

http://www.thehindu.com/

Adani Group has halted engineering work related to Australia’s largest proposed mine, raising speculation that it could abandon the contentious $16.5 billion project altogether

India’s mining giant Adani Group has halted engineering work related to Australia’s largest proposed mine, raising speculation that it could abandon the contentious $16.5 billion project altogether.

Adani last week advised four major engineering contractors to stop work on projects around the Carmichael mine in Queensland including a joint venture rail line and the expansion of Abbot Point port, Guardian Australia reported citing industry sources.

The report quoted sources as saying that the move to suspend preparatory work by WorleyParsons and Aecon, Aurecon and SMEC at this stage of a project was unheard of and made no sense as a savings measure even amid delays.

“It’s Adani’s practice not to comment on specific commercial arrangements,” a spokeswoman for Adani was quoted as saying by the daily.

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[India] CM Help Sought to Tide over Chrome Ore Crisis (New Indian Express – June 24, 2015)

http://www.newindianexpress.com/

BHUBANESWAR: Pushed to the verge of closure on account of severe chrome ore crisis due to non-extension of mining leases, the ferrochrome industry in Odisha is crying for urgent attention.

With mining output from three major producers – Tata Steel, Misrilal Mines and BC Mohanty and Sons – dropping to a trickle, the industry has rushed an SoS to Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik seeking his intervention to resolve the issue.

The apex industry body, Indian Chamber of Commerce (ICC), has stated that non-extension of chrome ore mining leases in accordance with the new Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Act, 2015 (MMDR) has not only threatened the plants but is also causing huge revenue loss for the Government.

The newly amended MMDR Act has allowed extension of lease period of captive mines till 2030 and non-captive mines till 2020. Under the rules, chrome ore mining leases of the three miners are deemed to have been extended up to 2020 as a majority of the mineral is used for non-captive purpose.

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Spectre of illegal mining looms over India – by Ajoy K Das (MiningWeekly.com – June 22, 2015)

http://www.miningweekly.com/page/americas-home

Kolkata (miningweekly.com) – Is illegal mining rearing its head in India again?

The concern has moved centre stage following the murder of a journalist in the central province of Madhya Pradesh for opposing the mining mafia and moving the courts against illegal mining.

Even though three people, all involved in illegal manganese mining and part of the mining mafia in the region, have been arrested on charges of murder, sections within the federal and provincial governments have expressed concern about whether the murder was an isolated incident or whether it signalled the re-emergence of the mining mafia despite changes in legislation and stringent punitive action.

Data collated from Indian Bureau of Mines showed that provincial governments had filed 727 cases during the past year following the inspection of 2 427 operational mines. The courts upheld charges in the cases of 25 mines.

Of the mines inspected, as many as 1 347 were operating in violation of the newly promulgated Mines Minerals Development and Regulation Act (MMDRA) 2015 and 357 mines had their mining licences cancelled over the past year.

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