Singer Says Gold Rally Just Beginning as Goldman Sees Losses – by Katia Porzecanski and Simone Foxman (Bloomberg News – May 11, 2016)

Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Singer said that gold’s best quarter in 30 years is probably just the beginning of a rebound as global investors — including Stan Druckenmiller — weigh the ramifications of unprecedented monetary easing on inflation.

“It makes a great deal of sense to own gold. Other investors may be finally starting to agree,” Singer wrote in an April 28 letter to clients. “Investors have increasingly started processing the fact that the world’s central bankers are completely focused on debasing their currencies.”

Gold for immediate delivery rallied 16 percent in the first three months of the year, the biggest quarterly surge since 1986, as the Federal Reserve refrained from tightening and central banks in Europe and Japan pressed on with negative interest rates.

Druckenmiller, the billionaire investor with one of the best long-term records in money management, said last week gold is his largest currency allocation and the bull market in stocks was exhausted.

‘Very Powerful’

If investors’ confidence in central bankers’ “judgment continues to weaken, the effect on gold could be very powerful,” Singer wrote in the letter. “We believe the March quarter’s price action could represent something closer to the beginning of such a move than to the end.”

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